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What's my best move here?

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thundza   United States. Apr 05 2007 11:44. Posts 2001

JeffRaider is 35/25 and Revolution is 24/18 over about 100 hands. Nothing much had transpired between us in the 100 hands. I had repoped and c-bet JeffRaider a few times before with success, not too much action with Revolution. In this position, Revolution was priced in preflop w/ Jeffs call.

My question is, what will Revolution flat the flop with? Does 66 - QQ make the most sense? What other hands does this represent?

Submitted by : thundza

PokerStars Game #9264684944: Hold'em No Limit ($0.25/$0.50) - 2007/04/05 - 13:19:25 (ET)
Table 'Tethys III' 6-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: O'DoyleRules ($30 in chips)
Seat 2: ^S0u1burn ($51.80 in chips)
Seat 3: jeffraider ($104.85 in chips)
Seat 4: gunne61 ($47.50 in chips)
Seat 5: rEvo|uTioN ($53.70 in chips)
Seat 6: drsthundza ($97.05 in chips)
drsthundza: posts small blind $0.25
O'DoyleRules: posts big blind $0.50

Holecards
Dealt to drsthundza KsKc
^S0u1burn: folds
jeffraider: raises $1.50 to $2
gunne61: folds
rEvo|uTioN: calls $2
drsthundza: raises $5 to $7
O'DoyleRules: folds
jeffraider: calls $5
rEvo|uTioN: calls $5

Flop (Pot : $21.5)

   8c7s9h
drsthundza: bets $15
jeffraider: folds
rEvo|uTioN: calls $15

Turn (Pot : $51.5)

   8c7s9hAc
drsthundza: ...

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pausing stinger video to google ninja porn - myth 

thundza   United States. Apr 05 2007 11:46. Posts 2001

Also, the turn A doesn't scare me too much...

pausing stinger video to google ninja porn - myth 

TalentedTom    Canada. Apr 05 2007 12:23. Posts 20070

Well if the A dosn't scare you - then you need to put him all in it's the only bet you you have left* You are right - it shouldn't scare you, a more likley holding is a PP (hopefully not a set)

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

Sheitan   Canada. Apr 05 2007 12:26. Posts 4217

Bet Turn size of pot, if he raises you can suspect he's holding TJ - 89 - 78 or A10 meaning he beats you. That's why i would have gone allin pf after he raises me, i never let someone see the flop after they raise me pf, he's likely holding AA when you hold KK 0,0022% of the time on a 6 max ring, so it's massive ev+.

Odds are exactly 50%, either happens or it doesnt  

thundza   United States. Apr 05 2007 13:34. Posts 2001

Sheitan, what are you talking about? Always pushing pf w/ KK is not the most +ev move ... And what are you talking about 0.0022%??? I agree it is very unlikely that he has AA, but that is b/c the way the pf and flop action went...

pausing stinger video to google ninja porn - myth 

ToT)MidiaN(    United Kingdom. Apr 05 2007 14:34. Posts 5070

your preflop raise is too small - the stacks are deep jeffraider and you wanna cut down on their implied odds (and also get more value since they're more inclined to call a bigger reraise if the stacks are deeper). this preflop reraise isn't even potsized, i would suggest repopping to at least $9 here. turn is gay, not cause the A scares you, but because it may scare him. all the same you can't really c/f and c/c doesn't really accomplish anything so just put him in and hope he calls with TT/JJ/QQ. i can see him popping up with a set a lot, but that's what you get for your small preflop raise.

One day good. One day bad. And some days, even hope 

Sheitan   Canada. Apr 05 2007 14:35. Posts 4217

Okay forget what i just said i didn't read the hand correctly, that's why maybe im running so bad these days. (8H long flight + 6H difference with Europe + 3H train = ggme).

I think you're beat here, and the board is no good for you, i would check turn and fold to any bet, especially since an A just hit the board.

Odds are exactly 50%, either happens or it doesnt  

Narious   Canada. Apr 05 2007 15:36. Posts 4800

I'ld just put him in. If he's got me beat than I'm gonna pay him off. He's only got like 2/3rds potsize bet left so it's not like your gonna check fold.


thundza   United States. Apr 05 2007 15:42. Posts 2001

I agree with your analysis midian, pf should have been more given the situation. I'll post the results in a bit .

pausing stinger video to google ninja porn - myth 

 



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