Gadget

I'm interested in playing in this tournament and would like to see the interest level for people to buy pieces. Here is the link to the tournament schedule. I would like to play Event #1 for 3 bullets, and the Main Event. If there is only moderate interest I will play Event #1 only.

I have never gotten a live stake before, but I've been a member of this forum for probably 7 years. Here is my OPR for pre black friday times, I've been playing live ~$200 MTT's and $1/$2 with success for the past 6 months.


I will be selling with a 5% markup to offset some of the travel expenses. Here are the 2 packages depending on how much interest I get.

Package 1:
Event #1 Day 1B - $260
Event #1 Day 1C - $260
Event #1 Day 1D - $260
Main Event - $1600
+5%
=$2500
Will Sell 75% in 5% increments:
5% = $125

Package 2:
Event #1 Day 1B - $260
Event #1 Day 1C - $260
Event #1 Day 1D - $260
+5%
=$820
Will Sell = 50% in 10% increments:
10% = $82

Again, first time offering a live package. Let me know if anything seems out of line...

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Comments (6)

So I've been working on a statistical model for projecting fantasy points and I finally have it working to give me some basic numbers. I have a lot of stuff I still plan on adding, but for now it is using all the info I've been using by hand for the past few months. I don't want to give out all the specifics of it, but it takes the fantasy points per minute of each player and multiplies that by a number of factors based on the matchup that day. I manually input the number of minutes above/below the players season average of minutes I think they will play that day. This gives me the ability to account for injuries on a daily basis. The best part is it takes my ~2 hour research process daily down to about 15 minutes, giving me time to look at things a bit more in depth. Here are my top picks at each position for today with my projection:

PG:
Lowry(8300): 41
Lillard(7900): 36
Brooks(3600): 23

SG:
Harden(9200): 43
Stephenson(7600): 35
Green(5900): 27

SF:
Ariza(6600): 32
Batum(6200): 29
Parsons(7200): 34

PF:
Booker(3500): 25
Robinson(4300): 29
Love(11600): 51

C:
Noah(9100): 41
Howard(9300): 41
Hibbert(5400): 29


I haven't gotten a Full Tilt email yet. Has anyone else not received an email that is expecting one?

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Comments (2)

So I had a really bad DFS day yesterday. The Cavs/76ers blowout hurt my lineup a lot, the spread was Cavs -4 so I consider that to just be variance. I was facing a bunch of blatantly sub-optimal lineups for $50+ h2h's, so it kind of sucks that my lineup under performed so badly. That is going to happen from time to time though. Today should be a good day. Lot's of games, and none of them stand out as being exceptionally good value. Narrowing down my list of players was harder today than it is most days, here are my top 4 at each position:

PG:
Lillard(7500)
Curry(9900)
Thomas(7900)
Mills(4800)
**I like Rondo but I'm avoiding due to the trade deadline tomorrow at 3pm

SG:
Hayward(7200)
Harden(8600)
Green(5700)
Stephenson(7500)

SF:
Ariza(6600)
Parsons(7000)
D Green (3500)
George(8200)
**I like Gay with Cousins potentially out. Matchup is pretty bad though.

PF:
Thompson(5600)
West(6700)
Robinson(3500)
McRoberts(4900)
*Not the night to spend on PF imo

C:
Howard(9100)
R Lopez(6300)
Zeller(3600)
Vucevic(6500)

Good Luck

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Comments (12)