Daily Fantasy Wednesday

New to LiquidPoker? Register here for free!

Forum Index > Poker Blogs

Gadget United States. Jan 29 2014 17:18. Posts 295

I'm going to try to make a little blog entry every Wednesday since it is the biggest NBA fantasy day of the week. I get off work at 4 and rosters lock at 7, so I spend most of that time researching and making lineups, so I'll try to keep this breif.

The first question today is whether to take LeBron/Durant tonight or not. I honestly don't think it's much of a question at all. They both have terrible matchups. OKC is a -15% defensive matchup vs SF's and MIA is a -11% matchup. That is an extremely severe decrease. Unless you're putting your money on the stars coming to play in the big game, the math doesn't add up for taking either of these guys.

PG:
MCW (8300) - Slightly negative matchup (-3.5%) but that number was generated with Avery Bradley in the Lineup. I think this is a +% matchup without Rondo and Bradley. Close spread is a plus as well.
Lowry (8100) - Slightly positive matchup. Spread is large, probably only playing him if DeRozan is out.
Knight (6500) - Positive matchup, but spread is high and minutes are questionable. Not a bad play though.
Augustin (6500) - Good matchup (+5%). If Hinreich misses Augustin will probably be in my lineup.

SG:
Ellis (7200) - Positive matchup (+3.5%), close spread, worried Beverly might guard him a good amount. Will be in my lineup in all liklihood.
Henderson (5700) - Positive matchup (+2.5%), should be getting more shots with Kemba out. Not many people will have him and he has a nice floor.

SF:
Green (5900) - You have to force a few Celtics into your lineup and Green seems to have the most stable role. Huge positive matchup (+17%) and a close spread.
Marion (5100) - His season average(24.3) is almost at his price value, close spread and a slightly positive matchup.

PF:
Davis (9700) - Averaging 2 more FP's than Love over the last 10 games and has a nuetral matchup. I like him over love for 1k less.
Nowitzki (8000) - Good plus matchup (+9%), and a close spread.

C:
Jordan (7500) - He's averaging his price value over the last 10 (37.1), but the matchup is slightly negative and the spread is big.
Turiaf (3500) - Plug him in. Minimum salary, great matchup, proved that he will get good numbers last game when Pekovic got hurt.

A lot can change in the next 2 hours, these are my picks as of now. I registered for some golf this weekend. Let me know if you guys have any picks for that. I plan on doing a little research tonight.

EDIT:
*****Lot's of crazy inactives today. Here's my lineups

FD
MCW
Lowry
Ellis
Gordon
Marion
J Green
Love
A Johnson
Steimsma

DK
MCW
Ellis
Marion
Turiaf
Steimsma
Lowry
Love
Ajinca

0 votes

Last edit: 29/01/2014 18:47

Sanai United States. Feb 04 2014 11:55. Posts 643

Hey, saw this too late! If you do one tomorrow, I will definitely chip in with my own views and hopefully we can get a discussion going.

You still sticking mainly to H2H's? Just bubbled in a bunch of 50/50s and it definitely sucks lol.

Joeingram1 United States. Feb 04 2014 14:31. Posts 943

nice breakdown, would be interested in reading more anytime you play, am currently obsessed with playing and watching basketball and my season fantasy leagues, haven't ventured into daily fantasy for basketball yet tho