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Math check

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fira   United States. Jun 05 2014 01:20. Posts 6345
I think I have this right but I'd like some confirmation:

Say there's $1 in the pot. Someone goes allin for $1, and we have him covered. We'd need 33% equity to make it a break-even call, right? Since we gain $2 when we win, and lose $1 when we lose, we need to win a third of the time to break even.

Kay now I'm pretty sure this is correct. Guess I'll post it for giggles.

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The72o   Zimbabwe. Jun 05 2014 01:32. Posts 6112

No!
It's always 50/50, either you win or you lose.

A Hard Way to Make an Easy Living 

devon06atX   Canada. Jun 05 2014 01:38. Posts 5459

seven-teen thousands=

we only come out at night.

Yes, you're right man. Except on the break-even part. It's profitable then.

Fuck em' if they can't take a joke.

 Last edit: 05/06/2014 01:44

devon06atX   Canada. Jun 05 2014 01:46. Posts 5459

And no, this whole concept was mind-blowing to me, I call down tons of shit I shouldn't now hahahhaa..

But seriously, it makes you a better player. Think about it some homey g


fira   United States. Jun 05 2014 02:13. Posts 6345

i had K9c on K864cc facing a pot shove. i called and the guy had 64o. felt like i made a mistake but apparently not according to this wizard math concept


LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jun 05 2014 04:52. Posts 15163

it's 33.33^%
more if there's rake to breakeven
seems like you've been calling too much

93% Sure!  

Forrest Gump   Argentina. Jun 06 2014 16:43. Posts 1217

just write the formula: if P is the wining frequency (1-P is the losing frequency), you have P*2*(1-rake)+(-1)*(1-P) = EV
the formula grows as P grows, so just look for solutions of P when EV is 0 and you have the break even point
But, yeah, your intuition was right, becouse the solution is aproximately (bet to call)/(total pot after you call)

ADZ124: why do people put pictures of their child in stars.. its like please help feed my child im a fish i cant play? 

 



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