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Goodbye August! |
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Bejamin1   Canada. Sep 01 2014 14:46. Posts 7042 | | |
Well folks, sometimes a picture is worth a thousand words. This month was a real struggle for me mentally, but having climbed the mountain I feel much better now that the calendar is passing into September and I can put August behind me. Even if the results were not what I would have wanted, I did experience a tremendous amount of growth in my game. At the beginning of the month I came in feeling like a million bucks. I'd figured out PLO25 and I was going to crush it. Unfortunately, as over-confidence so often does I started allowing leaks into my game and playing much too loosely in particularly hazardous spots. As a result, I more or less took a dive bomb with my BR in the first week. At some point I crashed from 2250 all the way down to 1100 or so. It was all I could do to stop the bleeding.
The truth of it, this game is hard, very hard. It takes a lot of mental fortitude to will yourself into playing every day and even more to actually play with the focus that is required to win. A week of lost focus can set you back for months, and that's what happened to me this month. However, at the end of it all I'm feeling better than ever about my game. Sure I ran a bit bad, a subject I love to complain about in hand history postings but people should know the anger is much less than the words actually posted. It's just a way for me to exhume the frustration from my nervous system. In terms of running bad I think I finished something like 12 buy-ins under EV in the 45k hands which is better than the 20+ that it was earlier in the month. Truthfully though, until someone takes the time to truly build a proper luck calculator for this game we'll never really know that much. Flops in 3-bet/4-bet pots are critical. As are the pots where 75%+ of your stack is in by the turn and the last little bit goes in on the river after either you or your opponent hits. Still so much work to be done there to build one that gives any real indication of how you run. So I've settled to just ignore EV as much as I can.
In terms of goals I missed my chance to build for a shot at PLO50, but I did rebuild the bankroll back to $1850 by the time the month was over, maintained Platinum Star, and now have 52k FPP's stored up. It will be nice when I get to 100k, maybe stars will let me buy the bonus without being Supernova, it's happened before for others on here. We'll see.
My goals for this month are as follows... DRUM ROLL PLEASE...
1. Stop Posting Negative Hand Histories - Instead, post interesting hand histories or hands you feel you butchered and allow everyone else to carve them up so I can think more creatively about the lines I'm taking and why.
2. Do some math homework, I simply need to understand more about the intricate complexities of the math in PLO.
3. Continue to talk to players that are better than me.
4. Play 60k hands, I managed 45k hands last month and that's not bad when working 30 hours a week and doing a Master's Thesis at the same time, but I can do more.
5. Continue to exercise regularly, it gives me more energy and I sleep better.
6. Build the mental fortitude to not care about bad luck. I've heard from some very intelligent players that this simply takes years to do and I can't expect it to happen overnight. I think they're right about that, especially for me personally, but I'll keep working at it.
Obligatory Graph & Stats:
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Sorry dude he Jason Bourned me. -Johnny Drama | |
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Rinny   United States. Sep 01 2014 14:51. Posts 600 | | |
wow 30 hours a week and a thesis! I'm going to work 40 hours a week and take 6 credits and I was starting to feel anxiety, but you've inspired me! GL w/ poker/job/academics ! |
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dogmeat   Czech Republic. Sep 01 2014 15:43. Posts 6374 | | |
this redline certainly isnt good? |
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PuertoRican   United States. Sep 01 2014 16:32. Posts 13141 | | |
Good luck with your September goals~ |
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devon06atX   Canada. Sep 01 2014 16:59. Posts 5459 | | |
Thumbs up man
Kill it. As much as I hate you spamming the hand section, you're the lp member I hope that wrecks its competition
Slam that shit home |
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Bejamin1   Canada. Sep 01 2014 17:11. Posts 7042 | | |
| On September 01 2014 14:43 dogmeat wrote:
this redline certainly isnt good? |
I agree with that - PM me some of your thoughts about making it better. My issue is that it's somewhat inversely related. And at PLO25 there is a lot more calling obviously than at higher stakes. Sure I can bet harder in certain spots and get more folds but in a ton of situations that isn't even what I really want to happen...
My thoughts would be I think that it's alright as long as I'm making the required gains in my showdown value (which after about halfway through the month and reorganizing things you see that start to shoot upwards much more expectedly on the graph). |
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Sorry dude he Jason Bourned me. -Johnny Drama | |
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Bejamin1   Canada. Sep 01 2014 17:19. Posts 7042 | | |
So I've been playing PLO casually since something like 2007. I think I lost another 300k hands somewhere on an old database from a previous computer of PLO50 but nonetheless here is the remainder of my current database from way back then before my 2-3 year hiatus from poker. I've played about 125k hands in the 3 months since I started playing again 90% of which was in the last 2 months. Will continue to keep grinding and keep posting.
So some things I find interesting about the timeline. Partly it's just "absolute values" in terms of the other hands being played at higher stakes but that red line does become much more palatable. Obviously I've mostly been breaking even at PLO25 and have been tinkering with my game for the past 125k hands. I feel like I'm finally on the right track but I guess we'll wait for this months results (hopefully ending up at PLO50 before the end of the month) will have to be the measuring stick for that one.
In terms of my complaining about EV. Well I guess you can see why, 300k hands, mostly all at PLO25 and PLO50, $3000 under EV. Which obviously doesn't include the plethora of spots where you're sucked out before the last $5 gets in on the river. Nor does it measure flop luck in terms of 3-bet and 4-bet scenarios. In a 300K sample (but realistically, a much lower sample of "all-in" hands where EV is being calculated) it's hard to tell what that means. Probably puts me 1 standard deviation below normal, possibly two. Still pretty well within normal range, just not where you'd want to be ideally.
In the end the way I try to think of it is this - regulars will all go through stretches of running bad from time to time, they can last years. In order to keep the fish coming back to get excited and gamble, they have to win and get lucky sometimes, intermittent reward cycle. Some days it's your day to be the reward, and the other days your edge takes over and you win. The only thing I can control is working as hard as possible to develop my edge and hone my game. I can't control anything else. So that's where my focus must go. Unfortunately I've had the pleasure of being the reward more often than I'd like, but if I focused on improving my game instead of being annoyed about bad luck I'd probably be winning more than enough to compensate for the rewards given. It is what it is. Grind more, keep practicing. |
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Sorry dude he Jason Bourned me. -Johnny Drama | |
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whamm!   Albania. Sep 01 2014 19:52. Posts 11625 | | |
yeah the rake is pretty gross at 50nl below even if the players are bad still. |
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K40Cheddar   United States. Sep 02 2014 00:04. Posts 2202 | | |
15,900 in rake?
poker would be easy as shit if there was no rake wtf. |
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lhr0909   China. Sep 04 2014 23:46. Posts 423 | | |
That's sick volume you put out for the month. I have dropped off so much in volume this month just because of work and moving. I still haven't put my desktop together..
Good luck with everything! Especially poker! |
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