Well, before starting this new challenge I was pretty confident I could maintain a 2.5ptbb/100 winrate over 40k hands at NL25 Full Ring on FTP, without any major variance or swings. Well, I think I was wrong. Either that, or I just suck at this game.
Check this out:
In there are three hands that were absolutely horrible. In all of these I'm pretty sure im over 90% favourite to win:
Submitted by : LilDeano89
Full Tilt Poker Game #6042716618: Table Alliance - $0.10/$0.25 - No Limit Hold'em - 6:29:10 ET - 2008/04/15
Seat 1: StrannikN ($24.65)
Seat 2: ANT_NN ($5.95)
Seat 3: Dreamlife ($31.60)
Seat 4: ehybrid2 ($62.10)
Seat 5: UQLAW ($25)
Seat 6: baolei1985 ($13.65)
Seat 7: montyP123 ($58.80)
Seat 8: l_STANG_l ($19.95)
Seat 9: Dave10551 ($6.40)
ANT_NN posts the small blind of $0.10
Dreamlife posts the big blind of $0.25
The button is in seat #1
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to UQLAW  
ehybrid2 has 15 seconds left to act
ehybrid2 raises to $0.85
UQLAW raises to $3
baolei1985 folds
montyP123 folds
l_STANG_l folds
Dave10551 folds
StrannikN folds
ANT_NN folds
Dreamlife folds
ehybrid2 calls $2.15
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $6.35)
  
ehybrid2 bets $6.35
UQLAW calls $6.35
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $19.05)
ehybrid2 has 15 seconds left to act
ehybrid2 bets $19.05
UQLAW calls $15.65, and is all in
ehybrid2 shows  
UQLAW shows
Uncalled bet of $3.40 returned to ehybrid2
River (Pot : $53.75)
ehybrid2 shows two pair, Kings and Sevens
UQLAW shows two pair, Queens and Sevens
ehybrid2 wins the pot ($47.85) with two pair, Kings and Sevens
UQLAW adds $25
Summary
Total pot $50.35 | Rake $2.50
Board:
Seat 1: StrannikN (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: ANT_NN (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 3: Dreamlife (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: ehybrid2 showed and won ($47.85) with two pair, Kings and Sevens
Seat 5: UQLAW showed and lost with two pair, Queens and Sevens
Seat 6: baolei1985 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: montyP123 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: l_STANG_l didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: Dave10551 didn't bet (folded)
Submitted by : LilDeano89
Full Tilt Poker Game #6030003258: Table Carlisle Crossing - $0.10/$0.25 - No Limit Hold'em - 7:48:37 ET - 2008/04/14
Seat 1: UQLAW ($25.50)
Seat 2: l rod bandit l ($26.20)
Seat 3: MrXdu ($29.05)
Seat 4: Lightning01 ($25.70)
Seat 5: El7Greco ($3.95)
Seat 6: liss25ve ($9.50)
Seat 7: W111BTH ($13.15)
Seat 8: rakiesander ($25)
Seat 9: byers1tt ($22.95)
liss25ve posts the small blind of $0.10
W111BTH posts the big blind of $0.25
The button is in seat #5
Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to UQLAW 
rakiesander folds
byers1tt folds
UQLAW raises to $1
l rod bandit l raises to $1.75
MrXdu has 15 seconds left to act
MrXdu folds
Lightning01 folds
El7Greco folds
liss25ve folds
W111BTH calls $1.50
UQLAW raises to $5
l rod bandit l calls $3.25
W111BTH: cant fold?
W111BTH has 15 seconds left to act
W111BTH calls $3.25
Flop(Odds) (Pot : $15.10)
  
W111BTH checks
UQLAW bets $20.50, and is all in
l rod bandit l has 15 seconds left to act
l rod bandit l calls $20.50
W111BTH folds
UQLAW shows
l rod bandit l shows  
Turn(Odds) (Pot : $56.10)
River (Pot : $56.10)
UQLAW shows two pair, Kings and Sevens
l rod bandit l shows two pair, Aces and Sevens
l rod bandit l wins the pot ($53.30) with two pair, Aces and Sevens
UQLAW adds $25
Summary
Total pot $56.10 | Rake $2.80
Board:
Seat 1: UQLAW showed and lost with two pair, Kings and Sevens
Seat 2: l rod bandit l showed and won ($53.30) with two pair, Aces and Sevens
Seat 3: MrXdu didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: Lightning01 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: El7Greco (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: liss25ve (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 7: W111BTH (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 8: rakiesander didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: byers1tt didn't bet (folded)
Also, I cant find the HH, but my AA lost to AK all-in preflop for 260BB's as well.
For like the first 2500 hands I was still feeling my around around the level of play at the tables, so lost like 1.5-2 buy-ins through that, but I feel like I know how the tables at this limit play now. To meet my goal of 2.5ptbb/100, after 7.5k hands I should have been up around $90. Well, if I would have won the above pots (total of like $180), I'm probably up overall. So atm I'm not overly concerned that I'm out of my league at NL25. However, my bankroll atm on FTP is sitting at like $300 ($60 of deposit bonus has been released). I'm thinking this is probably a little low to be 8-tabling NL25 FR, as my initial deposit of $400 was pushing it as far as being properly rolled goes. So, new plan is to 4-table NL25 FR for a little while, at least until I'm unstuck from the past 3 days. (bankroll around $475). See how that goes ne way.
Any comments/suggestions are welcome, as always!
Stay on the lookout for updates...
May luck be on my side!
LilDeano89
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