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a prop bet

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tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 22:23. Posts 2591
ok, I ran bad today at NL100, so what did I do...
I made a prop bet with a good friend of mine to get my mind somewhere else..
gogo genius!
He is giving me 2.5 to 1 odds that I can not win 100 buyins in 2 weeks at NL.25 6max so I've laid down $100 to his $250
However, I do not feel $100 for $250 will keep my determination and drive up to par for two weeks, so I'm willing to lay down the same bet for two other respected/well known members who would like to join in.

I am willing to take 2 other ppl (well knowns on here) for $100 a piece, or if ur a well known baller on here that obviously $200 is nothing to, then I will do 1 person for the remaining $200.
This is nothing serious, it is more of a spur of the moment type thing for fun, and like I said I don't think $100 will keep my incentive or interest.
I have never done this before nor have I done the math of how I should go about any of this, I am just trusting my gut and going at it.
I feel I will profit in this experience at least mentally if not in my wallet.

Once I have 1 or 2 other people involved, I will post a screenshot similar to this but with a different starting time and no IM:

This is a screenshot of the deal already made and same rules will apply here as well.

If I get action, I will also blog daily results, at least once a day until the prop bet is over.
This bet will start as soon as I get a total of $300 for $750 in action and I post a screenshot with times and balance here.
If your interested and want more details let me know
It should be said I am far from Daut44's or LeatherAsses level so I do not think this will be a breeze for me like it probably would be for some, but I do think I can do this.
It should also be said that my good friend who knows my poker game better than anyone else besides myself thinks I can't and is betting the $250 against me. So two weeks from now we will know who is right
It is a good bet.
I will be going to bed within the next 6 hours, and if I get no action and have not started by the time I wake up tomorrow, then I will start with the prop bet I have now and edit this blog
tc and gl all!


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The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action.Last edit: 19/08/2008 03:00

TheTrees   United States. Aug 18 2008 22:32. Posts 1592

2 to 1? I'd be willing to give you action on this. I can send the money to a better known "baller" if needed


angryfishes   Australia. Aug 18 2008 22:35. Posts 410

same
ill give u action 2 to 1

book me for $200, and like above, ill send the money to a better known baller if needed


tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 22:39. Posts 2591

it's 2.5 to one tho

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

TheTrees   United States. Aug 18 2008 22:40. Posts 1592

 Last edit: 08/12/2008 23:55

tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 22:43. Posts 2591

any details that need ironing out

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

Python817   Canada. Aug 18 2008 22:43. Posts 2733

7.1 buyins a day at nl25 doesnt sound that hard


Python817   Canada. Aug 18 2008 22:44. Posts 2733

actually it might be harder than I think I duno but if you run bad for a few days you're screwed


tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 22:50. Posts 2591

I will tell u in two weeks
I've really never done this before hehe

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 22:54. Posts 2591

didn't realize to put 6max til just now as that's just standard lol

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 23:01. Posts 2591


  On August 18 2008 21:35 angryfishes wrote:
same
ill give u action 2 to 1

book me for $200, and like above, ill send the money to a better known baller if needed


it would be needed
who would u send it to?

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 18 2008 23:30. Posts 2591


  On August 18 2008 21:44 Python817 wrote:
actually it might be harder than I think I duno but if you run bad for a few days you're screwed


this is easily possible as right now I am living with my parents until I get my place after the first week of September
this is really key and right now they are out of town until Thursday, once they come back this house gets like National Lampoons xmas vacation with my little 8yr old nephew being the boss of them
him and his grandma get so loud yelling there will is no sleeping during the day
its one of the things that has me really thinking I'm an idiot for trying this as I've only played 22k hands in this last month since comin home mainly for this reason
but I think I can still do it as long as I have enough money to make me worry some and forces me to stay determined

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

whamm!   Albania. Aug 19 2008 00:55. Posts 11625

its gonna be harder than it sounds imo. but def doable.


LazyFisH   Australia. Aug 19 2008 01:29. Posts 686

I'd give you pretty much unlimited action. This is impossible.


tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 19 2008 02:04. Posts 2591

I obv don't think its impossible but don't think its as ez as some ppl might think
like I said I think this is a good bet
so LazyFisH u wanna take the action then?
Hopefully ur not levelling me, TheTrees backed out so the total $200 is open
I'm gonna go to bed and not gonna start this til I wake as now it's getting late

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

tloapc   Pitcairn. Aug 19 2008 02:54. Posts 2591

When I made this bet with my friend I didn't do any math in my head, it just seemed right and I want to focus on something else as I am waiting to move in my own place and I am running bad at a semidecent limit so I went with it.
I've still not done any math except just a very vague amount in my head because the more math I start to do the more I think this is not going to be easy at all, in fact very very very difficult
so for me here ignorance is bliss here
worse case scenario for me is I'll lose three hundred, time will fly, and I will hopefully learn alot from it

I think most of us have just seen the prop bets for 400 buyins, or 200 buyins and so this seems like nothing in comparison..
but those bets are in a months time, not two weeks
they are also for full ring, not 6 max
and I'm also far from a pro...
annnnd I'm living at home for the next three weeks where chaos is a normality when everyone comes back on Thursday (and I have to pick everyone up at the airport)

so it really surprises me I've not had leaps of ppl offering to take this bet

The probability of someone watching you is proportional to the stupidity of your action. 

CruiseR   Poland. Aug 19 2008 04:01. Posts 682


  On August 19 2008 00:29 LazyFisH wrote:
This is impossible.



this, seems like a very very hard bet for the OP imo

 Last edit: 19/08/2008 04:02

 



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