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k2o4   United States. Aug 26 2008 10:53. Posts 4803
So don't ask me about houses!!!

He's back to the good old, "I'm a POW so don't be talkin to me bout houses" shit. And after a long answer about being a POW he doesn't even get the number of houses right - he completely missed his ranch in Montana which is definitely a place he stays at quite often. I thought he had 4 places he lives in, but now it sounds like 5 + another 2-7 "investment" properties, depending on which count you believe.

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This really brings up 2 points: First he's overdoing this POW shit and it's fucking annoying. Second, is that he's, well, extremely rich, and I'll let this great article I just read called "Why McCain's Wealth Matters" explain why that is an important point. I'm gonna put the entire thing right here for you guys to read cause it gives some interesting facts that I didn't even know.


  So McCain is rich. Or, his wife is rich, and that makes him rich too. Wasn't there some movie where Dudley Moore was engaged to a women with megabucks, and he kept getting drunk and introducing her to people as my 'financier' (instead of fiancée)?

For all the ink spilled over this last week, two related issues were under-explored, the latter of which is especially important: what's 'rich,' and why does it matter? What does McCain's wealth, and the way he talks about it, reveal about his ability to be a successful president?

On the first point--what means 'rich'?--there's no simple answer, no line in the economic sand that divides the rich from the rest. I'll get to the income data in a second, but they're only of marginal help here.

For one, there's tremendous geographical variation. If your family income is $100,000 in a rural area of a low-income state, you're well off. That income in Manhattan arguably puts you in the middle-class.

This example also suggests that there's a relative component to "rich." To be rich means you breath the rarified air in the upper reaches of the income scale. In a series of recent revealing remarks, McCain said he thought an income of $5 million made you rich. There's no doubt that's true, but if that's your income cutoff, almost nobody's rich.

The often-cited work of income analysts Piketty and Saez (see Table 0) reveals that admission to the top 1% of the income scale will run you a cool $375,000. Too many common folk there for your taste? Then you'll need about $600K to move up to the top half of the top 1% (i.e., the top 0.5%).

What's that? You want to roll with some serious money? It'll cost you $2 million to break into the top 0.1% (the top tenth of the top percent), and $10.5 million for the top 0.01% -- the top one-hundredth of the top one percent, average income: $30 million.

So yes, Cindy's $100 million in wealth, inherited from her family business, puts the McCain family solidly up there in the narrowest sliver of the richest of the rich. But numbers like these only give you an upper bound. Certainly, there are more rich people in America than those who reside in the 15,000 households of the top 0.01%.

My research on income class has led me to take a less quantitative approach to the question of who's middle class, rich, poor, etc. I think it has much to do with your choices and your access to opportunities.

Rich people's choices are generally not constrained by lack of income (boy, that sounds really obvious, but read on). Years ago when I worked with poor clients in New York City, I remember someone telling me they thought about cost before making a long-distance phone call.

Move up the "choices chain" and you get the picture. Middle class people tend not to think twice about a phone call, but a baby sitter, dinner, and a movie, is not a slam dunk right now, what with prices up and incomes down. And speaking of the price of transportation, vacations don't become "stay-cations" for rich people. Their choice set isn't constrained that way.

These choices may sound kind of trivial, but of course, there are real life-changing opportunities at stake here. One of my favorite -- well, least favorite, really -- factoids to make this point has to do with access to higher education. Once you control for cognitive ability, high-testing, low-income kids have the same (low) college completion rates as low-testing high-income kids. We do not, my fellow HuffPosters, reside in a meritocracy.

(If I may shamelessly tout my own work with colleagues at EPI, please read our forthcoming chapter on income mobility from the new State of Working America, out Labor Day -- though I'll see if I can get the mobility chapter posted here ASAP. It's a tour through this critical question of how challenging it is for people to get ahead given the mobility barriers they face these days. To us, this strikes at the heart of a basic American economic value. We may not believe in equal outcomes in this country, but we sure believe in equal opportunities. And the data on inequality and mobility suggest this basic value is under siege.)

Oh, and yes, if you don't know how many homes you own, you're definitely rich. (When I told my sister about this McCain gaffe last week, she responded: "Well, I don't know how many pairs of shoes I own." See...it's all relative.)

Which brings us to he who would be president. I understand and appreciate the urgency in campaigns to frame your opponent. In this case, the Obama team jumped quickly and effectively on these gaffes to paint McCain as elite and out-of-touch. But beyond the campaign politics, what do these statements, and more pointedly, his wealth, say about McCain as president?

After all, FDR was rich, and his empathy and energy devoted to helping the have-nots was boundless. Lots of politicians who came from humbler backgrounds but ended up rich, like Bill Clinton, John Edwards, or for that matter, Barack Obama, also built a policy agenda to offset the status quo regarding inequality and opportunity. Is it simply that rich Democrats get this in a way rich Republicans don't?

Perhaps so, though I'm sure there's lots of exceptions. Problem is, I don't think McCain is one of them. It is important to view his comments in the context of his agenda, which is as unempathic as his gaffes. As I pointed out last week (see Figure 1 here), his tax plan delivers by far the biggest boost to the average incomes of the richest households; Obama's plan does the opposite. McCain really does double-down on Bushonomics, which takes the inequities inherent in today's market outcomes, and injects them with a dose of steroids.

From this perspective, the problem isn't that he's rich. It's that his wealth is part of a package that strongly suggests he can't relate to the economic struggles faced by so many people from households that don't reside in the top "fractiles" of the income distribution. And if you can't relate, you're much less likely to craft and move a policy agenda that will help, a shortcoming we've seen much too much of in recent years.

This whole dust up reminded me of a CNBC spot I was on with Phil Gramm when he was still McCain's top economic advisor. He was going on about the supply-side, trickle-down nonsense that fits ever so neatly into these guys view of wealth. Arguing his case, Gramm said something like, "I've never been offered a job by a poor person. Have you?"

If government helps rich people, so goes this mythology, they'll unleash a torrent of economic activity that they're sitting on now because tax rates are too high. Cut the regulations that bind them, the taxes that squelch their incentives, and they'll not just lift their own economic fates, but those of the least advantaged as well.

The evidence, of course, points precisely in the opposite direction, but, and here's the kicker, these folks are impenetrable to evidence, and I fear their privileged positions make them so. Their wealth insulates them from reality in a way that you don't see from the other rich folk noted above.

It's not just that McCain can't relate to have nots, it's that he doesn't really want to. He wants to pull the levers that Phil Gramm and others tell him work best, and since he doesn't relate to folks who know very well how many homes they own -- though they may be uncertain whether they'll own them next month -- he lacks the motivation to question whether these levers actually work.

I don't care how much money our president has (though the seven homes thing really does seem beyond the pale given today's housing climate). But I deeply want him or her to understand the economic plight of those with less, and the evidence regarding the policies allegedly designed to help. When their wealth operates like empathy-killing blinders, then that wealth is a problem...a big one.

To listen to McCain last week, and to do so while poring over his policy agenda, really does suggest the dangerous degree to which he's out-of-touch. The Obama folks are right. We'd better work to keep him out of yet another house: the white one on Pennsylvania Ave.



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masterfrywad   United States. Aug 26 2008 11:45. Posts 329

so Obama has never served in the military, so does the inability to empathize with those that serve qualify him to be their commander and chief? where does this line of argument end?

I think the most important criteria for developing economic policy is actually understanding economics, not one's ability to empathize. I would be surprised if either candidate could pass an intro level econ course, but it doesn't really matter because it's not like either candidate will be hugely responsible for the development of their economic policy. That's what advisers are for.




JoeDeertay   United States. Aug 26 2008 14:13. Posts 1730


  On August 26 2008 10:45 masterfrywad wrote:
so Obama has never served in the military, so does the inability to empathize with those that serve qualify him to be their commander and chief? where does this line of argument end?

I think the most important criteria for developing economic policy is actually understanding economics, not one's ability to empathize. I would be surprised if either candidate could pass an intro level econ course, but it doesn't really matter because it's not like either candidate will be hugely responsible for the development of their economic policy. That's what advisers are for.






QFMFT

The sad thing is that a very large portion of voting Americans also don't understand what the hell these guys are talking about or the right way to fix the problems in the economy, the energy crisis, the war, etc., and they just go with whoever they like better without really even knowing why. This is why education is constantly one of my biggest issues when voting -- I truly believe a better educated country would result in having better people in office.

Variance has a big brother named doomswitch. - edzwoo 

k2o4   United States. Aug 26 2008 14:19. Posts 4803


  On August 26 2008 13:13 JoeDeertay wrote:
I truly believe a better educated country would result in having better people in office.



I totally agree with you on that =)

InnovativeYogis.com 

k2o4   United States. Aug 26 2008 14:24. Posts 4803


  On August 26 2008 10:45 masterfrywad wrote:
I think the most important criteria for developing economic policy is actually understanding economics, not one's ability to empathize. I would be surprised if either candidate could pass an intro level econ course, but it doesn't really matter because it's not like either candidate will be hugely responsible for the development of their economic policy. That's what advisers are for.



Very well said. Which is why when I look at McCain's advisors (phill graham and other lobbyists) I get shivers. This is also the reason I like Obama, cause he is adamant about putting together groups of advisors which cover both sides of the issue and listening to what they have to say, and then making a decision. I trust a man who won a competitive scholarship to harvard and graduated Magna Cum Laude to have the brains to understand the advisors and come to a wise decision more than I trust the man that had a guaranteed spot to the naval academy due to his father/grandfather being admirals and then graduated at the bottom of his class. McCain is not an idiot, but I don't think he's close to as smart as Obama, and I WANT a smart, wise, calm, cool and bipartisan leader in the white house who isn't going to lose his temper or surround himself with yes men. I deeply believe Obama is that leader.



  On August 26 2008 10:45 masterfrywad wrote:
so Obama has never served in the military, so does the inability to empathize with those that serve qualify him to be their commander and chief? where does this line of argument end?



In response to this, did you read the entire article? He specifically makes the point that even if you are rich, you can still empathize. He lists presidents who were champions of the middle class and working person even though they were personally rich. The important point is that McCain is coming from that rich starting point and on top of it all the evidence points to his total disconnect from the working people. Look at the advisers he chooses, the policies he is advocating, and you'll see that. I think despite not being in the military Obama has empathized very well with soldiers (which is probably why they are donating to him at a 6-1 ratio over mccain). From health care for vets to ending the war responsibly and quickly, he's taken their side. Again, this is why I like Obama - he is capable of understanding other peoples problems and pain.


Oh, and I'd gladly bet that Obama would pass an intro level econ course - fuck I did and I know he's way smarter than I am. I'm pretty sure that McCain would too.

InnovativeYogis.comLast edit: 26/08/2008 14:30

ObsoleteLogic   United States. Aug 26 2008 21:02. Posts 21

Brett, you're terrible at replying to things. I'm not feeling the love.

Also, I've noticed that all of your supporting Obama comes as a contrast to negative comments regarding McCain. Why is that?


k2o4   United States. Aug 26 2008 23:03. Posts 4803


  On August 26 2008 20:02 ObsoleteLogic wrote:
Brett, you're terrible at replying to things. I'm not feeling the love.

Also, I've noticed that all of your supporting Obama comes as a contrast to negative comments regarding McCain. Why is that?



Cause McCain has been pissing me off lately. I'm planning to start doing a series of why Obama posts. But when McCain pisses me off I tend to just run over to my blog to vent =)

InnovativeYogis.com 

ObsoleteLogic   United States. Aug 26 2008 23:19. Posts 21

That's right Bert, way to make a difference!


MaidenFan   United States. Aug 28 2008 15:34. Posts 450

McCain = G.W. Bush^2

If you want 100 years in Iraq, or Iran, or Georgia vote McCain.
If you want your tax money to go to pay off the rich vote McCain.
If you want a president who sucks the dicks of the lobbyists and swallows vote McCain.

Although I do like his idea of going nuclear, we definitely need that right now. Otherwise Obama is clearly the lesser of two evils. Having said that I'm not voting for Obama either, here's why

Let it roll. 

 



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