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nolan Ireland. Nov 18 2008 15:21. Posts 6205 | | |
down 15bi in two days at 2/4 plo, poker EV says i should only be down $800 or so  .
43% W$SD 4k hands
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| On September 08 2008 10:07 Baal wrote: my head is a gyroscope, your argument is invalid | Last edit: 18/11/2008 15:21 |
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Baalim Mexico. Nov 18 2008 15:25. Posts 34262 | | |
isnt this super std in PLO ? |
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| Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
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NeillyJQ United States. Nov 18 2008 15:32. Posts 8947 | | |
i wouldn't worry about it, you'll bounce back |
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| Just remember you need to be god damn sure about their tendencies. -Artanis11 http://www.pocketfives.com/profiles/neillyaa/ | |
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DooMeR United States. Nov 18 2008 15:36. Posts 8559 | | |
Rubber Band man, wild as the Taliban
Nine in my right, forty-five in my other hand
I'm in trouble man, always in trouble man
Worth a couple hundred grand
Chevy's all colors man, who I'm isss
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| I just saved a bunch of money on my car insurance, by running away from the scene of an accident. | |
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Gawuss Poland. Nov 18 2008 15:45. Posts 2336 | | |
sucks :/ but it's PLO - you'll bounce it back soon imo
I'm down 20bi at 2/4 NLHE though, bleh
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| When people ask: What nationality is this guy raking in all the pots? The answer invariably comes back Poland, Poland. Again and again - Karma | |
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blunt_smokr United States. Nov 18 2008 16:15. Posts 1314 | | |
Ofcourse he will bounce back, its motherfkin Nolan. |
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Patrocle France. Nov 18 2008 17:13. Posts 623 | | |
absolutely standard.
43% W$SD% is what you can expect at PLO.
a normal day in PLO is being up 15buyins down 10buyins.
I think normal figures in low/midstake plo are WR = 10-15BB/100H and SD = 80-120BB/100H (depending on if you play deepstack).
Let's suppose you play 4000hands. Expectancy = 400BB, Standard Deviation = 630BB (SD(4000) = Sqrt(40)*SD(100h))
then you have 95% chance to be in [E-2SD,E+2SD] = [-612BB, 1412BB]
So if you buyin for 50BB your typical day of 4000 hands is between -12buyins and 28buyins.
Don't forget the variance in Omaha is huge. So you probably should not play the same limits in omaha than in he, logically, you should play 2 or 3 limits below, with the same bankroll. |
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| An apple a day keeps the doctor away | |
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JoeDeertay United States. Nov 18 2008 18:46. Posts 1730 | | |
| | On November 18 2008 16:13 Patrocle wrote:
absolutely standard.
43% W$SD% is what you can expect at PLO.
a normal day in PLO is being up 15buyins down 10buyins.
I think normal figures in low/midstake plo are WR = 10-15BB/100H and SD = 80-120BB/100H (depending on if you play deepstack).
Let's suppose you play 4000hands. Expectancy = 400BB, Standard Deviation = 630BB (SD(4000) = Sqrt(40)*SD(100h))
then you have 95% chance to be in [E-2SD,E+2SD] = [-612BB, 1412BB]
So if you buyin for 50BB your typical day of 4000 hands is between -12buyins and 28buyins.
Don't forget the variance in Omaha is huge. So you probably should not play the same limits in omaha than in he, logically, you should play 2 or 3 limits below, with the same bankroll. |
This is why I have become such a stat nerd this semester <3 |
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| Variance has a big brother named doomswitch. - edzwoo | |
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YoMeR United States. Nov 18 2008 18:48. Posts 12438 | | |
nolan quit posting results halfway through your session. the 2nd half you make it back with interest obv. |
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veryGUd United States. Nov 18 2008 20:01. Posts 625 | | | |
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bane United States. Nov 18 2008 21:21. Posts 2379 | | |
off topic, nolan i really like your vids on deuces cracked! |
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