worst run?

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nolan Ireland. Feb 16 2009 15:50. Posts 6205

some day you will run worse than ever thought possible.

that day has arrived more than a few times in my life, and unfortuantely has arrived once again in 2009.

it's funny that its coinciding with my SNE chase, but i have undoubtedly been running massively below expectation for the first two months of this year. i guess it all started when i lost a 200bb pot near the bubble of the PCA main event to a 6 outer. i've been playing PLO which is admittedly a new-ish game to me, but i just did some database leak plugging and it's undeniable that i'm running hugely below expectation. if you just look through the hands i've posted on LP, they're most of my all-in pots that don't include me having the nuts vs some rando donk's TPTK etc.

i've lost almost 80% of my 80/20's over 100k hands, that's pretty stifling. i'm not quite losing but more so breaking even, a result of my volume (good thing i'm not playing 20k hands a month or i'd probably quit over a stretch like this!). today i ended a session early (first time all year) only down 2 bi, but if you plug in my equity i shoulda been up about 10 skalansky buyins, pretty massive. it was the first time i've felt tilt as a result of this stretch. you can see the graphs i've posted in this blog, some crazy stuff.

it's tough when you're running bad because there's a sense of "well, what can i do?"

i've just worked on plugging small leaks, and it's probably been a positive in that sense, but i have the kind of expenses + tax time that I really can't just be breaking even all year long. i'm hoping i'll hop out of the funk. as it is this month, i'm break even or slightly down, mostly thanks to 5/10 shots vs. moneymaker and some gross beats in a soft 5/10 NL game. so i guess i'll have to take some time off 5/10. i might just go back to hold em, where suckouts don't necessarily feel as brutal. i was banking 50-100 buyins per month pretty regularly last year, so this is definitely becoming trying, but i shouldn't have been so accustomed to running good either.

i'm sort of rambling on some self-therapy here but i think you guys get the point.

graph of month @ PLO so far -

stuck like 2k in holdem as well.

0 votes

On September 08 2008 10:07 Baal wrote: my head is a gyroscope, your argument is invalid

Last edit: 16/02/2009 15:52

MayZerG United Kingdom. Feb 16 2009 15:56. Posts 2123

Goodluck Sean

Things will turn around soon!

I like to hold all the nuts - CrownRoyal

terrybunny19240 United States. Feb 16 2009 16:09. Posts 13829

rough stretch, I hope I don't hit anything like this for a long time as these next months are very important to my overall progress

jase Australia. Feb 16 2009 16:17. Posts 1604

the fact that you can post an entry like this and go through your DB to go over hands is a sure sign that you're going to come out on top.

obv you were always going to come out on top, everyone knows how much of a solid, consistent player you are, but i think its pretty remarkable that you can keep your cool, so to speak, over 2 months of running -ev, mad props

remember87 Sweden. Feb 16 2009 16:21. Posts 521

best of luck!

Vegetarian - an old indian word for ”bad hunter”

Darki Peru. Feb 16 2009 16:29. Posts 687

hope you start to run better im in the say boat as you right now last month i ended up winning 10k and now at the middle of the month im like -2k i will advice to work out or hang out more to make your mind feel better also sex is the best solution to tilt : )

http://reavermicro.blogspot.com/ actualizado 2013!!

collegesucks United States. Feb 16 2009 16:38. Posts 5780

harsh

YoMeR United States. Feb 16 2009 16:44. Posts 12438

welcome to the shitstorm mate.

eZ Life.

BigRed0000 This user is a quality poster

United States. Feb 16 2009 17:12. Posts 3554

dont sweat it man, PLO is gross and as a MTT player i know variance can be soooooooooooooo gay. Keep on keepin on.

ShaunR United States. Feb 16 2009 17:18. Posts 604

When people said "running worse than you ever thought possible" I really doubt they were talking about making avg $300 a day over a 14 day stretch. You big baby.