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Thx Jesus! |
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Sicks Macks   United States. Apr 01 2009 23:07. Posts 3929 | | |
So I blog about how I run bad sometimes. Well sometimes I run good too, so I'll tell you about that. +4bi in 700 hands at nl100 today. Basically just hitting two outers like it was my job, getting AA in v KK bvb, and making the effective nuts against fish. I ran +200 in all in EV, but that doesn't count the time I rivered a J on 98xx vs a reg who thinks I'm FOS and had QQ.
Please more comment on this hand. Two pair is usually the nuts in 3bets, but I got my squeeze called in two spots, and they have to know AK is a huge part of my range, so if I bet, do I b/f (Depending on which one raises) do I b/c (99,KK, AA raises?) or do I just try and check it down because this board hits my range so hard that no one will bluff. Both villains seem thinking, so I think they're aware that I have a straight or set like 70% of the time here
Submitted by : Sicks Macks
Full Tilt Poker Game #11459780618: Table Riggs (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:19:26 ET - 2009/04/01
Seat 1: BodystainTattoo ($101.50)
Seat 2: kingpinster ($63.40), is sitting out
Seat 3: Bazooka_Joe1 ($196.60)
Seat 4: roach85111 ($152.40)
Seat 5: saymond ($101.85)
Seat 6: Hero ($128)
saymond posts the small blind of $0.50
Hero posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #4
Holecards Dealt to Hero
BodystainTattoo folds
Bazooka_Joe1 has 15 seconds left to act
Bazooka_Joe1 raises to $3.50
roach85111 calls $3.50
saymond folds
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
Hero raises to $14
Bazooka_Joe1 has 15 seconds left to act
Bazooka_Joe1 calls $10.50
roach85111 has 15 seconds left to act
roach85111 calls $10.50
Flop (Pot : $42.50)
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
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Mr. Will Throwit | Last edit: 01/04/2009 23:09 |
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SugoGosu   Korea (South). Apr 01 2009 23:41. Posts 1793 | | |
you have a royal flush draw. get it in.
I would bet out and see where you are? are they flatting AK or 89 in a 3bet pot multi-way? JJ?
Plus you squeezed from the blinds, so they are going to assume you are strong. Unless you have some crazy aggro donk image. |
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Say this outloud! Why was six afraid of seven?......Because Seven Eight Nine | |
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Sicks Macks   United States. Apr 01 2009 23:49. Posts 3929 | | |
I don't think bazooka joe expects it to be multiway, he can def have TT-QQ, AK because if he shoves he doesn't get a cbet out of my squeeze bluffs.
The other guy can only really have TT... maayyyyybe JJ or 98s. I'm more worried about what happens if I bet because they assume I have the nuts a ton here. |
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palak   United States. Apr 01 2009 23:53. Posts 4601 | | |
don't 3bet QTs if you are hesitant in anyway about shipping it in on this flop |
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dont tap the glass...im about ready to take a fucking hammer to the aquarium | |
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Sicks Macks   United States. Apr 01 2009 23:53. Posts 3929 | | |
I mean here's the problem. This is a pretty loose range of what calls me on this board, and still I'm drawing to 4 outs a ton of the time, and when I'm ahead I'm never more than a 60/40.
Board: Qd Td Js
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.599% 59.41% 01.18% 29410 586.50 { 99+, AQs+, AdJd, QJs, JTs, 98s, AKo }
Hand 1: 39.401% 38.22% 01.18% 18917 586.50 { QsTs }
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Sicks Macks   United States. Apr 01 2009 23:54. Posts 3929 | | |
| On April 01 2009 22:53 palak wrote:
don't 3bet QTs if you are hesitant in anyway about shipping it in on this flop |
I wasn't 3betting for value. I wouldn't go broke on a T32r flop either. |
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palak   United States. Apr 02 2009 01:00. Posts 4601 | | |
| On April 01 2009 22:54 Sicks Macks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2009 22:53 palak wrote:
don't 3bet QTs if you are hesitant in anyway about shipping it in on this flop |
I wasn't 3betting for value. I wouldn't go broke on a T32r flop either.
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a T32r flop is way way way different then a QJT flop |
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dont tap the glass...im about ready to take a fucking hammer to the aquarium | |
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Fraser   Canada. Apr 02 2009 02:15. Posts 4605 | | |
| On April 01 2009 22:53 Sicks Macks wrote:
I mean here's the problem. This is a pretty loose range of what calls me on this board, and still I'm drawing to 4 outs a ton of the time, and when I'm ahead I'm never more than a 60/40.
Board: Qd Td Js
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.599% 59.41% 01.18% 29410 586.50 { 99+, AQs+, AdJd, QJs, JTs, 98s, AKo }
Hand 1: 39.401% 38.22% 01.18% 18917 586.50 { QsTs }
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what about KQ and KJ? you think they're calling pf to hit a pair and an OESD and just fold? |
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Sicks Macks   United States. Apr 02 2009 02:42. Posts 3929 | | |
| On April 02 2009 01:15 Fraser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 01 2009 22:53 Sicks Macks wrote:
I mean here's the problem. This is a pretty loose range of what calls me on this board, and still I'm drawing to 4 outs a ton of the time, and when I'm ahead I'm never more than a 60/40.
Board: Qd Td Js
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 60.599% 59.41% 01.18% 29410 586.50 { 99+, AQs+, AdJd, QJs, JTs, 98s, AKo }
Hand 1: 39.401% 38.22% 01.18% 18917 586.50 { QsTs }
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what about KQ and KJ? you think they're calling pf to hit a pair and an OESD and just fold?
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my read was that they were solid. I don't think solid players flat squeezes with nasty RIO hands like that other than maybe KQs. Point is I'm behind their calling range, let alone raising range. If my read that they're solid is off, so be it, but assume it isn't. |
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Mr. Will Throwit | Last edit: 02/04/2009 02:43 |
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