fold to cbet 42%, raise cbet 8% (1 out of 12 regular pots), folds 1 out of 1 3bet pot. On the other hand, he once flatted a 4bet OOP with T9s, and c/c flop with fd.
Who folds?

Pretty scary board for being 200bb deep. If he has a set you're dead. If he has a draw, he probably has ~35% equity since you do have the Ks blocker to flush draw and QJ. AT and A8 are likely hands. Tough spot. To make it most difficult for him to play, call raise and see how he reacts on the turn. For the safest result, just fold and wait for a better spot. Re-raising is out of the question as it will make it too profitable for him to jam his draws with your fold equity. Could also check this flop to avoid a situation like this, although your range becomes kind of capped because sets bet this flop always?

how is a10 and a8 likely hands?

He'd prob do this with a weaker ace. Theres flush out there and straight draw sorta. PLus you have gutter outs. Go for it bro! Never give up never surrender!

Call flop, probably call down on most runouts

edit: disclaimer i dont know how NL100 nits play

On July 06 2013 17:13 nerdonpoker wrote: He'd prob do this with a weaker ace. Theres flush out there and straight draw sorta. PLus you have gutter outs. Go for it bro! Never give up never surrender!

The fact he hass never raised me in a single raised pots makes me doubt a lot he is gonna raise flush draws on Ace high boards 200bb deep

if hes overcalling the 3b pre then decides to raise this flop you are most likely going againts a set.

and villain is about 200 bb deepish he is definitely raising this for value and never as bluff.

On July 06 2013 19:34 jvilla777 wrote: if hes overcalling the 3b pre then decides to raise this flop you are most likely going againts a set.

I'm not 100% sure exactly how people at 100NL play, but this is spot on for micro's. I would assume something like this would be similar at low stakes

On July 06 2013 18:05 MezmerizePLZ wrote: Call flop, probably call down on most runouts edit: disclaimer i dont know how NL100 nits play

you don't make friends with salad, call flop

fold