PokerStars Hand #110776992286: Holdem No Limit ($0.08/$0.16 USD) - 2014/01/26 11:42:11 ET
Table Haidea IV 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 4: INmeFortitud ($16 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero ($16 in chips)
INmeFortitud: posts small blind $0.08
Hero: posts big blind $0.16
Holecards Dealt to Hero
INmeFortitud: raises $0.32 to $0.48
Hero: calls $0.32
devon06atX   Canada. Jan 26 2014 15:04. Posts 5459
1
bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Jan 26 2014 22:34. Posts 8649
yea..
if this is one of them "no-read" spots, i think there are probably some % of nitterballs at this stake who don't even v-bet A4 / AT, which should literally be the only non-straights/flushes (which obv are never folding) in his value range on river once he checks turn, and i doubt he's vbetting lone Ax since you can presumably still have all 2p/straights/flushes.
the only thing is, i would expect Jx to barrel turn most of the time on that turn, which i guess is an argument calling. i still think it's just a fold though.
Truck-Crash Life
Last edit: 26/01/2014 22:35
1
LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Jan 27 2014 05:42. Posts 15163
he can bluf some % too in this spot
you might say "but LemOn we beat bluffs", true but since we aren't calling anyway as he rarely has enough %of them with the ace hitting it doesn't matter what he's folding and it just increases the ev of our play
93% Sure!
Last edit: 27/01/2014 05:49
1
bigredhoss   Cook Islands. Jan 27 2014 15:10. Posts 8649
it doesn't increase the ev if he's not folding any non-bluffs (not saying this is the case, but obviously that was the point of my post and it depends on a.) how likely he is to check turn with a J/flush draw, and b.) how likely he is to not vbet A4/AT on river).