Can you explain thought process for turn float? Would appreciate

guy's a winning player opens 25% utg or something with fish in BB and barrels light and I have tight image so I expected to take it down a lot on a lot of rivers either by betting when he checks or when raising. Should be +ev with the spade outs as bonus.
EDIT: I don't double float like crazy or anything, I picked this hand because I block nutflushes+50% AA QQ+have equity. It does remove hands like ASJX that'll barrel a lot on the other hand tho.

the exact ev of the turn float will be complicated tho as when I plan on bluffing a lot on the river a lot it doesn't just cost me the 3.36 (30% odds) but also my bet size when he checks/raise when he bets plus implied odds vs Ks hands Qs hands reverse implied vs boats when I hit a spade. So yeah hard to prove the turn is a good play mathematically, it would take me hours.

On the river I expected him to have a super bad spot with K hi flushes and fold lower ones and 9x most

Seat 5: Hero $48.17 USD - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 3.4, Hands: 1548348

Did you played that many hand at that table >< ?

cute

On March 20 2014 05:20 LemOn[5thF] wrote: On the river I expected him to have a super bad spot with K hi flushes and fold lower ones and 9x most

nigga is u srs

you call a rvr raise with 9x vs a tight player?

cause I'm sure as hell folding expect that from a good player too. Maybe I'm a nit?
dont think people ever bluff here.

Like even theoretically he opens 100% AXs so has all nutflushes in his range he can call the raise with is that rly a call with like 89 or QsTs?

On March 20 2014 10:18 bigredhoss wrote: Show nested quote + On March 20 2014 05:20 LemOn[5thF] wrote: On the river I expected him to have a super bad spot with K hi flushes and fold lower ones and 9x most nigga is u srs

He flatted mp. His range is super pp heavy.. Its a good play just depends what people are willing to bet fold in these stakes.

On March 20 2014 12:36 handbanana21 wrote: Show nested quote + On March 20 2014 10:18 bigredhoss wrote:   On March 20 2014 05:20 LemOn[5thF] wrote: On the river I expected him to have a super bad spot with K hi flushes and fold lower ones and 9x most nigga is u srs He flatted mp. His range is super pp heavy.. Its a good play just depends what people are willing to bet fold in these stakes.

i just don't think people fold flushes at these stakes. although i didn't read the part where he said villain is a winning player so if he's real solid for the level i guess i could see it.

On March 20 2014 11:42 LemOn[5thF] wrote: you call a rvr raise with 9x vs a tight player?

definitely fold 9x and low flushes and it's a puke spot for me with K high flush vs a tight/solid reg pretty much exactly like you said...i'm just hesitant to believe villains think the same way at micros (though like i said i missed the comment about him being a winner).

There re some regs that def fold anything but FH here