His Pf call range should be sth like this?
JJ-66, AQs-ATs, KJs+, QJs, AQo-AJo, KQo, AhKd, AsKd, AsKh, AcKd, QdQh, QdQs, QhQs, KhTh, KsTs, QhTh, QsTs, JhTh, JsTs
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Say he has 50% QQ and 33% AKo combos, and calls with KTs-JTs 50% of the time
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TURN:
say he folds most Khigh, Q high etc. on flop and gets to turn with this:
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I'm quite handily ahead of his range now
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Actually I think I should add the 2 KQs combos with a backdoors to his range for sure on flop too, he can float KQo with non 0 amount as well.
I don't really want to consider balance here so it's a question of maximising my EV with the hand - I'm unknown, it's NL25 etc.
Now turn bet is +ev for sure, we should get 2 streets from stuff like JJ for sure and we should be perceived to both hit and bluff this card a lot. Hard to say vs other floats but pretty much none of them we'll get 3 streets of value from.
But I think with KQ and the few AKo floats he has are beating us and the rest of his range being so midpair and A high heavy it seems like a good idea to take a hand like this, under rep it rep JJ etc. and check call it twice.
I think NL25 people are bad enough that even when we check turn we still get value from pps and A high on the river even tho we don't rep many bluffs as we can just barrel close to all our air ott, having AA KK AK way more than him and similar amount of Tx combos I assume.
Results:
He had AQ - which would support my line for sure, but I don't want to be results oriented.