100bb deep v utg - pf call is questionable.

calling the 3bet is lighting the $ vs 6% 3bet.

It is 4-handed.

ah whoops, i fold in general and get it in with reason.

i click buttons and find justifications when i want to gamble

call, call or jam. you have dream turn, you can't fold unless the player you're against never ever bluffs. I guess it depends on your read on the villain but if you have this dynamic, you call.

cbet stats could be helpful

some players have really high flop cbet and then totally shutdown on turn - something like 90/25/100 (cbflop/cbturn/cbriver) while others don't stop barreling once they've begun, like 67/100/100.

anyway i probably wouldnt fold here vs anyone, we have decent equity vs anything

Only turn question is if we shove or call - hes got some what 17 left lol?
if he's got just say 50% JJ, 100%QQ+ and AcQc and never folds to shove the shove's -ev barely, we need some 34% have 32%

prolly shove vs anyone semi- normal, call turn fold rag river against nits that never bluff+never fold to shove

preflop's meh

say he does some 7% polarized
I mean
Equity Win Tie
MP2 61.61% 61.21% 0.39% { JJ+, AJs+, A5s-A2s, KQs, 87s, 76s, 65s, AQo+ }
MP3 38.39% 38.00% 0.39% { KcTc }

EDIT: oops P1 folds before we act - I was cutting 8.5% off for when he 4bets but we know he folded already before we call



It'll be hardish to realize that 87%+ equity postflop without reads and initiative and with strong domination issues, even IP imo - I'd call pre only if he has some postflop leaks.

I'm not really all that sure tho on a good method to arrive at the %equity you realize when ranges are tighter. E.g. BUvBB when you peel in BB you can just look at the odds of flopping TP, draws etc. and go from there - but in this spot domination becomes an issue and hurts our post flop EV. It's hard to estimate exactly to what extent though.

Only other mathematical method I'm aware of for PF calling ranges is the nemesis approach where you defend X% range to deny him profit so you defend X% of your range. It's 3way here tho - P1 and BB comes into play, and you need to know his R too for when you see flop. Also 6% 3bettor will 3b sub optimally tight too so I'd really just call whatever hands are +ev and exploitively fold the rest. Which most likely includes KTs as a fold?

Great analysis LemOn[5thF]

Did someone say Nemesis?