Villain is 23/12/1.2 in 402 hands. Can I call the shove? Should I have shoved turn?

His turn raise is pretty polarized? I really doubt guy with those stats raises turn with a draw. Microstakes call flop/raise turn is usually a nut line. I'd probably b/f turn against this particular guy.

can't fold turn for that size with our nut flush draw and 2 outs to the nuts

i think ur line is ok, i think river call would be ok given no history. the overbet is a bit weird, given that we could easily have a ten and snap call

his stats seem to suggest a river fold (1.2 is AF right?)

Oops, didn't notice nut FD... Listen to Fira

On November 23 2014 23:55 fira wrote: can't fold turn for that size with our nut flush draw and 2 outs to the nuts i think ur line is ok, i think river call would be ok given no history. the overbet is a bit weird, given that we could easily have a ten and snap call his stats seem to suggest a river fold (1.2 is AF right?)

1.2 is 3bet%

mm low 3bettors tend to be pretty non-bluffy, though i recall a particular player who never 3bet pre yet was capable of sick bluffs postflop

i usually rely on some aggression stat for decisions like this (the one i use is AFq)

guys with lower AFq should be more likely to double-float Tx and less frequently raise draws. dunno how reliable in practice