I feel like I shouldve reraised somewhere. I donno how he calls with AK, he wasnt a calling station afaik and he loses to KQ, KT, QT, AJ, J9, 33, TT and all flushes. maybe I gave him too much credit

i think ur river bluff is good. u're not going to have much air or hands worse than this, and ull definitely have some 2pair and flushes that are valuebetting

u could maybe reduce ur sizing a bit, since u may not be betting as much with thin value hands like AA or KT. its also a spot where i'd expect villain to have some flushes of his own, but thats a complete assumption

hmm yeah maybe sizing tell. thnx

i like ur bluff and sizing seems fine, but he just didn't want to fold the AK. While you do have many hands that beat his you don't have all of them and this river spot is one where people bet a lot when checked to. It's as though by betting twice then checking river oop villain is inviting you to bet. He's saying go ahead and try to take it, turn it into a bluff. since hes telling you to bet obviously he has to call

and from a more technical standpoint if you are bluffing this you may already be bluffing too much. You are repping a flush basically so you are already more polarized than you would probably like to admit. You might have a little more value but I bet that diamond scares you too and you are not betting thin enough here especially with this sizing. The Kd and Qd are already out severely limiting your flush combos to nut flushes (which you may have raised earlier in the hand with the NFD so these can be further discounted) and 10xdd flushes or worse. That is not a ton of value combos. I'll be generous and estimate 40 value combos (prolly less than 30 but this is off the top of my head).

Now lets look at your bluffing range. Here you are turning J10o into a bluff. That alone is 12 combos. QJ is the same thing so we can assume that is 12 more bluff combos. Lets say you bluff nothing else and no air.

So you have 40 valuebets, 24 bluffs, and check the rest. 37.5% of the time hero will be bluffing.

You bet 11.54 into 15.11. So villain needs call 11.54 to win 26.65. So villain needs to be right on his call 30% of the time

In this scenario villain has a clear call so villain's call in this hand is actually not even bad when you think about it. You might argue you have more value combos, fine, I would argue you have a lot more bluff combos...

sick post trax

+1, so ur saying I should not bluff here or just bluff smaller?