continuing on prior theme of c/c leads // small bets.

this one is a bit different though. the other flop sizings were larger on wet board textures(so a decent checkback range right?). this one is a small sizing by baron, albeit on a wet board on a 3bet pot but I think can assume more linear than the others.

what makes the 3d a good lead card for llinus? I can presume that he calls 33 to baron's flop bet//baron never 3bets 33 here. i guess baron splits a4s as a call sometimes preflop? i think i generally have trouble identifying lead spots.

again, with the small bet theme fascinating on the river.

Probably leading range again with this sizing? baron probably checks back a lot on this turn card so linus may lead range for protection/equity realization/value with all his hands. But the lead should be raised a lot, not sure lol.

Not sure about river

just guessing lol.

what hands is such a river bluff designed to fold out I wonder?

None really I'd guess
Keep it coming boys. Way better than NVG hs thread !

On October 18 2017 19:12 lebowski wrote: what hands is such a river bluff designed to fold out I wonder?

i guess hands like ace high, A3, A5, A2?

well some of those are value bets then?? or do u mean not with this hand but with the range?

also do you guys think baron has ako, aks, ajs combos here on the river?

lemme run some sims cause i dont know what the fuck is goin on here; i suspect it is an exploit vs red baron though, maybe red baron isn't playing very optimal vs these leads.

alright, gto never leads turn no matter what barons cbet frequency is, whether it is 50% or 100%. it is probably an exploit and linus may think red baron is raising/checking/folding the wrong frequencies vs it, you should basically not fold AJ+ vs the lead, and it should be raised a ton, with basically 40-50% of hands. QJ should almost always raise.

On October 19 2017 05:07 Stroggoz wrote: lemme run some sims cause i dont know what the fuck is goin on here; i suspect it is an exploit vs red baron though, maybe red baron isn't playing very optimal vs these leads. alright, gto never leads turn no matter what barons cbet frequency is, whether it is 50% or 100%. it is probably an exploit and linus may think red baron is raising/checking/folding the wrong frequencies vs it, you should basically not fold AJ+ vs the lead, and it should be raised a ton, with basically 40-50% of hands. QJ should almost always raise

That seems relevant.

Also river is a value blockbet not a buff since he gets 0 hands better to fold