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Handnr: 16371 Submitted by : Day[9]
PokerStars Game #4312024235: Tournament #21184731, Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2006/03/16 - 20:59:37 (ET)
Table '21184731 263' Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: Cowboys_or72 (3070 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 2: xfull (8765 in chips)
Seat 3: ZngeLDay[9] (14675 in chips)
Seat 4: golfergod3d (631 in chips)
Seat 5: joe2012 (2090 in chips)
Seat 6: seagull211 (6465 in chips)
Seat 7: arkrud (11559 in chips)
Seat 8: tinyton80 (12233 in chips)
Seat 9: Cacahd (18075 in chips)
Cowboys_or72: posts the ante 25
xfull: posts the ante 25
ZngeLDay[9]: posts the ante 25
golfergod3d: posts the ante 25
joe2012: posts the ante 25
seagull211: posts the ante 25
arkrud: posts the ante 25
tinyton80: posts the ante 25
Cacahd: posts the ante 25
joe2012: posts small blind 200
seagull211: posts big blind 400
Holecards Dealt to ZngeLDay[9]
arkrud: folds
tinyton80: calls 400
Cacahd: folds
Cowboys_or72: folds
xfull: folds
ZngeLDay[9]: raises 800 to 1200
golfergod3d: folds
joe2012: folds
seagull211: folds
tinyton80: raises 800 to 2000
ZngeLDay[9]: calls 800
Flop (Pot : $4600)
tinyton80: checks
ZngeLDay[9]: bets 3000
tinyton80: raises 7208 to 10208 and is all-in
ZngeLDay[9]: calls 7208
Turn (Pot : $25016)
River (Pot : $25016)
Showdown tinyton80: shows (a full house, Aces full of Jacks)
ZngeLDay[9]: shows (a full house, Jacks full of Aces)
tinyton80 collected 25241 from pot
Summary Total pot 25241 | Rake 0
Board
Seat 1: Cowboys_or72 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: xfull folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: ZngeLDay[9] showed and lost with a full house, Jacks full of Aces
Seat 4: golfergod3d (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: joe2012 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: seagull211 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: arkrud folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: tinyton80 showed and won (25241) with a full house, Aces full of Jacks
Seat 9: Cacahd folded before Flop (didn't bet)
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Day[9]   United States. Mar 16 2006 19:30. Posts 3447 | | |
i was 31/500 in chips when this hand happened : [
should i have folded preflop after he call/reraised me?
it felt very KK/AA to me, but i couldn't resist after that (seemingly) beautiful flop |
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Trey   United States. Mar 16 2006 19:47. Posts 5616 | | |
The UTG limp in middle/late stages of a game scares the piss outta me, and the reraise pretty much means a monster. I think I'd find a way to get away from this hand, but after the flop there was no way you were getting away from that. |
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Pacifist   Israel. Mar 16 2006 19:49. Posts 1824 | | |
i go broke there every time |
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Those who do not BELIEVE in krablar must CONCEDE to krablar. | |
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[vital]Myth   United States. Mar 20 2006 10:46. Posts 12159 | | |
imo, check behind on flop. c/r from villain scares you here, given the preflop action. no card on the turn scares you any more than you're already scared except A/K/J.
you should have been VERY confident in your read of AA/KK given the preflop action.
preflop, after getting minreraised, the pot is 9*25 + 600 + 1200 + 2000 = 4025, so you're already getting over 5:1 on a call, and the effective remaining stack size is 10k, so you can get another 12.5:1 in implied odds playing for stacks. so best case scenario you're getting 17.5:1 effective odds on your preflop call. here are equities:
Villain (AdAs): 87.5%
You (AcQc): 12.5%
Villain (KdKh): 67.9%
You (AcQc): 32.1%
Villain (AdKd): 71.3%
You (AcQc): 28.7%
So at worst you're only 6:1 against winning right now. Preflop call of the reraise is fine.
You can't assume he has anything but AA/KK/AKs here, so your hand is demolished by his aggregate range after this flop. Check behind 100%. It's probably useful to commit these kinds of numbers to memory, so let me work out your total winning chances given the flop...
Villain (AdAs): 63.2%
You (AcQc): 36.8%
Villain (KdKh): 61.9%
You (AcQc): 38.1%
Villain (AdKd): 56.6%
You (AcQc): 43.4%
1 way to make AA, 3 ways to make KK, 2 ways to make AKs. average winning chances = [(1*36.8 + 3*38.1 + 2*43.4)/6]% = 39.7%.
So you can profitably call a ton of bets on the flop, because of the stack sizes, pot size, and fact that he's not folding a set even if he thinks you hit your flush/straight. But if you bet here, you're only ever betting into a better hand that is coming over the top. He is only check/raising this flop. Check behind because you'd rather not play for stacks right now. |
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Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser | Last edit: 20/03/2006 10:50 |
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Day[9]   United States. Mar 20 2006 16:09. Posts 3447 | | |
excellent hand analysis corwin
thx a bunch
yea i think my preflop read/call was fine, but many people have noted checking the turn would be the strongest of plays in this situation. As your analysis indicates, i'm behind basically all the hands he could possibly have, but i have huge redraw potential.
Moreover, The impact of the turn is HUGE in this sort of hand, based largely on how much i could take if i do make a hand on the turn. Many players would just accept losing a full stack if i pushed a club flush after checking the flop (in addition to the action on the turn) so, like you said, my implied odds are huge.
Excellent help. I feel like i learned alot from this hand
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