50/15 over 14 hands. Is this a call?

unless he is tilted...nope. looks like you are a little better than 50/50 with his raising range.

On July 16 2008 09:55 killThemDonks wrote: unless he is tilted...nope. looks like you are a little better than 50/50 with his raising range.

that means snapcall lol...

he has odds to...but id rather lose a dollar than make a marginal call here and lose 15

On July 16 2008 10:04 killThemDonks wrote: he has odds to...but id rather lose a dollar than make a marginal call here and lose 15

That is the biggest leak a poker player can have no matter the stakes and you will lose lots of $$$ throughtout you poker career if you don't realize how bad that mentality is. *If* we think he has at least 50% equity (with which I agree) then with proper bankroll management it is a snapcall and folding here because of variance is a HUGE mistake and kind of questions the fundamentals you are hope to improve upon. WE play to make EV+ decisions, we analyze equity vs odds and decide - and when it is as clear as in this case that based on our assumptions we have there is EV to be gained by calling, we don't fold out of fear of losing short term. OMG, 9 players shove pre in a ring game and you have AA in the BB - do you fold?

Pushing the smallest of edges, playing well and making EV+ decisions in marginal spots is what separates the winning players from the rest, and losing money in close spots is a neccessity in improving

On July 16 2008 10:14 Repusz wrote: Show nested quote + On July 16 2008 10:04 killThemDonks wrote: he has odds to...but id rather lose a dollar than make a marginal call here and lose 15 That is the biggest leak a poker player can have no matter the stakes and you will lose lots of $$$ throughtout you poker career if you don't realize how bad that mentality is. *If* we think he has at least 50% equity (with which I agree) then with proper bankroll management it is a snapcall and folding here because of variance is a HUGE mistake and kind of questions the fundamentals you are hope to improve upon. WE play to make EV+ decisions, we analyze equity vs odds and decide - and when it is as clear as in this case that based on our assumptions we have there is EV to be gained by calling, we don't fold out of fear of losing short term. OMG, 9 players shove pre in a ring game and you have AA in the BB - do you fold?

ye...you're right

im a pussy..

Ok Repusz is calling in this case EV+? I mean, I'm only hitting the flop 1/3 times.

On July 16 2008 10:18 killThemDonks wrote: im a pussy..

lol.

On July 16 2008 10:19 lazymej wrote: Ok Repusz is calling in this case EV+? I mean, I'm only hitting the flop 1/3 times.

It's AIPF, so noone cares about how frequently you hit the flop

I didn't say it is definatelly EV+ but *if* we assume your equity is 50%+ (and I think a donk with those stats won't show up with AA/KK all that often - even so that you block these hands with your A/K -, and you are favourite/flip against all other hands in his range) it is a snapcall. Also, he has less than 60 BB.

If you don't already, using programs like Pokerstove can help you with these calculations to do yourself.


EDIT: 13.1/28.55 = 45.88% equity is what you need and you have

Hand 0: 48.652% 39.52% 09.13% 34515043 7971220.00 { AcKs }
Hand 1: 51.348% 42.22% 09.13% 36870021 7971220.00 { 99+, AQs+, AQo+ }

against a reasonable range.

he's a halfstack, snap fuck him
just remember..
there's a reason the dude can't buyin full