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Handnr: 580289
Submitted by : boreHM

Full Tilt Poker Game #9281998823: Table Highland (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 12:09:22 ET - 2008/12/02
Seat 1: Hero ($110.30)
Seat 2: yCheese ($105.50)
Seat 3: apology7 ($100)
Seat 4: Davit1 ($48.50), is sitting out
Seat 5: deskjockey ($82.50)
Seat 6: 2411nbnet ($124.45)
apology7 posts the small blind of $0.50
deskjockey posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #2

Holecards
Dealt to Hero TsKs
2411nbnet has 15 seconds left to act
2411nbnet raises to $3
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
Hero raises to $10
yCheese folds
apology7 adds $0.50
apology7 folds
deskjockey folds
2411nbnet calls $7

Flop (Pot : $21.50)

   Js8s7d
2411nbnet bets $15
Hero calls $15

Turn (Pot : $51.50)

   Js8s7d4d
2411nbnet has 15 seconds left to act
2411nbnet bets $31
Hero ??

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Comments

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boreHM   Netherlands. Dec 02 2008 12:12. Posts 1595

Can call here yes because I get rest of stack if hit yes?

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Artanis[Xp]   Netherlands. Dec 02 2008 12:14. Posts 4697

worst case scenario: he has T9o with 1 spade, in which case you have 11 outs, which is 25% EV. Statistically even if he folds every time you hit (assuming you don't do anything stupid when you miss), it's a +EV call.

edit: forgot when he has the A-high FD, you're fucked.

 Last edit: 02/12/2008 12:15

Red9   Canada. Dec 02 2008 12:16. Posts 7447

id raise flop, as played turn call

I will grind you into dust. 

Artanis[Xp]   Netherlands. Dec 02 2008 12:20. Posts 4697

Figured he'll never have T9o here. Hands that make sense for him to have in this spot:
Board: Js 8s 7d 4d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.302% 29.30% 00.00% 361 0.00 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 70.698% 70.70% 00.00% 871 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 88-77, AsQs, AJs, AJo }

you can add AA-KK to the range too, doesn't change your EV much.

 Last edit: 02/12/2008 12:21

boreHM   Netherlands. Dec 02 2008 12:24. Posts 1595

Guess implied odds having about 55 left in a 110 pot too.. that's going in against all overpairs / sets / jacks on the river.

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cariadon   Estonia. Dec 02 2008 12:24. Posts 4019

retarded for 3betting preflop
avoid being a retard and this situation doesn't come up


cariadon   Estonia. Dec 02 2008 12:25. Posts 4019

i mean, it doesn't matter how this hand will play out because you will lose money doing shit like this but keep on doing what you do, you've made it this far, sky is the limit.


 

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