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Handnr: 592041
Submitted by : SemPeR

Full Tilt Poker Game #9587615874: $55 + $2.50 Heads Up Sit & Go (73121427), Table 1 - 25/50 - No Limit Hold'em - 2:41:33 ET - 2008/12/20
Seat 1: Hero (2,280)
Seat 2: johnny5cash (720)
Hero posts the small blind of 25
johnny5cash posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #1

Holecards
Dealt to Hero9sKd
Hero raises to 100
johnny5cash raises to 720, and is all in
Hero has 15 seconds left to act
Hero has requested TIME
Hero folds
Uncalled bet of 620 returned to johnny5cash
johnny5cash mucks
johnny5cash wins the pot (200)

Summary
Total pot 200 | Rake 0
Seat 1: Hero (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 2: johnny5cash (big blind) collected (200), mucked

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Comments

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SemPeR   Canada. Dec 20 2008 16:27. Posts 2288

Note that all of this is at the 10-15bb range. <10 we "have" to shove or fold, but there's still an edge to be exploited at larger stacks, right?


Vill:
Extremely passive nit running like 30/8/1. If we assume that he is only shoving premium here (A5+,22+,KTs/KJo+), we are ~35% against it. We're getting 620 into a 1440 pot, needing 43%. It's close, but just based on that, this seems like a fold.

__________________________
Since his biggest leak is pf tightness (opposed to being completely retarded and shoving trash), I think the maximally exploitative strategy would be to minraise 100% and call with a certain range that is breakeven or better with whatever odds presented to us.

Questions:

-Can we "improve" by calling with a tighter range while minraising 100%? (unlikely at 15bb?)
-Assuming he is not going to adjust to our minraises, there is no point adopting a shove-or-fold strategy, since we give up free blinds, correct?
-Assuming he IS going to adjust (by bluff-shoving a wider range), how loose would he have to get before we can profitably tighten up? Is shove-or-fold the correct adjustment here if he only opens up a little bit, or should we just minraise and call off with a wider range ourselves?

(This is off the idea at the other extreme, where he bluff shoves 100%, we realize there is no more FE minraising, so we start shove-folding or maybe limping.)

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