PokerStars Game #6237069892: Hold'em No Limit ($3/$6) - 2006/09/10 - 12:30:47 (ET)
Table 'Undina II' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Xaropinha ($630 in chips)
Seat 2: marcubs ($541.25 in chips)
Seat 3: Daut44 ($677.35 in chips)
Seat 4: mismis ($102 in chips)
Seat 5: 12 Volt Man ($890.05 in chips)
Seat 6: Oxbow Bob ($1556.05 in chips)
Seat 7: smokedapot_1 ($264.05 in chips)
Seat 8: OVVELL ($346.85 in chips)
Seat 9: Pipedream17 ($324 in chips)
mismis: posts small blind $3
12 Volt Man: posts big blind $6
Holecards
Dealt to Daut44
Oxbow Bob: folds
smokedapot_1: folds
OVVELL: calls $6
Pipedream17: folds
Xaropinha: folds
marcubs: calls $6
Daut44: calls $6
mismis: calls $3
12 Volt Man: checks
Flop (Pot : $30)
mismis: checks
12 Volt Man: checks
OVVELL: checks
marcubs: bets $12
Daut44: raises $42 to $54
mismis: folds
12 Volt Man: calls $54
OVVELL: folds
marcubs: calls $42
Turn (Pot : $192)
12 Volt Man: checks
marcubs: checks
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Daut   United States. Sep 10 2006 10:34. Posts 8955 | | |
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NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut | |
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pinbaLL   Sweden. Sep 10 2006 10:37. Posts 7243 | | |
Bet out fairly big? And u might wanna consider folding if they reraise u or something |
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pinbaLL   Sweden. Sep 10 2006 10:40. Posts 7243 | | |
Sup with the HORSE? Not anymore eh? xD |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 10 2006 11:24. Posts 2804 | | |
bet out again fully expecting to take it down |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 10 2006 11:26. Posts 2804 | | |
if voltman doesn't go away i'm concerned
if he does and mar chkrs in i'm probably calling |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 10 2006 11:29. Posts 2804 | | |
stove returns 80:10:10 (simple ranges)
against mars' chkr probable range we're still 84:16 because he should be chkshoving alot of stuff cuz our 2nd barrel doesn't mean much (i hope) |
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FEAD FEAN WDLTH | Last edit: 10/09/2006 12:49 |
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TalentedTom   Canada. Sep 10 2006 14:21. Posts 20070 | | |
With 1 card to come your a massive favorate here, prob 5:1 I'm not worried about a set cause only likley set is 333, I would lead out for $120-150 and I actually want action from someone with QT (one heart) or pair + flush draw because I want the straight getting there, I'm not afraid if the board pairs, and if flush gets there I'm just not gona pat it off.
12 Volt Man is the wild card here obv he can have the 2 funky cards that we can't predict even something like J3 is conceivable, so bet out and re-anylize based on what they do |
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Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same | |
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wolfheart   Estonia. Sep 10 2006 16:20. Posts 7592 | | |
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Logiabs~   Colombia. Sep 10 2006 16:20. Posts 9133 | | |
bet around 150$
i think it is very unlikely the have a higher flushm aybe 4 four draw flush with A
bet and see what they do |
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coreyw709   Canada. Sep 10 2006 17:27. Posts 359 | | |
The only thing to worry about here in my opinion is 12 Volt man. He really could be slow playing a flopped flush, but he would also play a set the same way. You have 2 options: Bet large enough to decline them the proper odds to call with 1 pair+flush draw/set OR check behind and see what the river brings, and decide on how they act. I dont really like the second option, but it can be considered as very safe. |
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Give nothing, but take from them Everything. | |
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Baalim   Mexico. Sep 10 2006 19:04. Posts 34262 | | |
| On September 10 2006 15:20 Logiabs~ wrote:
bet around 150$
i think it is very unlikely the have a higher flushm aybe 4 four draw flush with A
bet and see what they do |
dont give advice to BigBalls for fucks sake -.- |
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Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
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vvvQ   . Sep 10 2006 19:44. Posts 2134 | | |
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Ket   United Kingdom. Sep 11 2006 05:25. Posts 8665 | | |
is there a second part to this hand? i assume u bet like 3/4 pot and something ugly happened. right now its a very simple turn bet and i prolly crying call shove because i cant make big folds. |
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vvvQ   . Sep 11 2006 05:28. Posts 2134 | | |
Yea, the one guy probably has A high flush slowplayed or something? |
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Baalim   Mexico. Sep 11 2006 06:40. Posts 34262 | | |
| On September 11 2006 04:25 Ket wrote:
is there a second part to this hand? i assume u bet like 3/4 pot and something ugly happened. right now its a very simple turn bet and i prolly crying call shove because i cant make big folds. |
that is not really a big laydown in a limped pot |
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Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
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Ibsu Bai Hui   United Kingdom. Sep 11 2006 07:48. Posts 3390 | | |
are you kidding or what, i never lay this down |
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Floofy says: my sis always goes around in bra but its annopyying to me | |
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Ibsu Bai Hui   United Kingdom. Sep 11 2006 07:49. Posts 3390 | | |
mm you mean because of 2 cold callers |
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Floofy says: my sis always goes around in bra but its annopyying to me | |
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Daut   United States. Sep 11 2006 08:51. Posts 8955 | | |
ive talked this hand over with a few people, and i think the only person to really hit the nail on the head was tomson.
he said he would bet a little more than half the pot, about 100 or so, intending on folding to a check raise. i really liked this. heres why:
i think voltman has 3 possible hands, and the other guy has 4
voltman: Ah (could be in combination with something else, like a pair), a set, or a made high flush.
other guy: those 3 hands and some kings, like KQ KJ with 1 heart.
that being said, i think when im ahead i probably have about 75% equity+. sometimes one will have a set, another a high heart, which will drop me down to about 60%, but most of the time its usually each has a high heart. now, that is just when im ahead. when im behind, im drawing dead and a bet will induce a check raise.
ok, now, if i bet 160 as most of the people here are suggesting, naked Ah is folding, high heart is folding, hell maybe even a set would fold out of position (a smart player would fold a set here knowing im not calling a push when the board pais, and a smart player also cant do this as a bluff cause he isnt getting odds to do so, although i suppose with a high heart in his hand he could try to hit the flush and if board pairs push as a bluff, but thats neither here nor there). so a bet of 160 isnt really getting that much value at all from hands im beating, and when i get check raised, im almost certainly drawing dead. i think casper is wrong and i highly doubt someone with just a high heart or set would ever check raise me on this turn with that many players in the pot. so its getting almost no value and spewing extra when im behind.
if i bet just 100, im giving 3:1 odds to continue, which makes calling a mistake, but i would still get a call from a high heart from voltman, and i save money against a check raise. i really really like the idea of this.
i checked behind because voltman hadnt gotten out of line yet and it seemed so sketchy to cold call he 54. river was like 9o. both checked, i bet 124 they both folded.
as a side note, id like to ask people what they think about my suggestion of calling oop with naked Ah with the intention of pushing if the board pairs. anyone think thats smart? if i were to bet say 160, pot on river would be 510, and we'd each have about 400 left. thats certainly foldable. ive never thought about this sort of move before now but the more i think about it the more i like it. against smart players its so likely to get a fold, plus you have the added outs from your hand. its obviously a bad move to do in the opposite way, if you have a set bluff a heart because its very possible the opponent has Ah. its also bad to do in a heads up pot because your opponent could easily be betting the set. but with this many players in the hand i think my hand is well defined as a flush (strength of the flush is not well defined if i do bet), so a missed nut flush draw COULD rep the boat. i dunno, just an afterthought |
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NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut | Last edit: 11/09/2006 08:57 |
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Daut   United States. Sep 11 2006 08:55. Posts 8955 | | |
also when i said i was giving 3:1 that isnt correct FOR EITHER PLAYER. im 75% against both players in the hand, but against either specific player, getting those odds isnt good enough for them (note the turn 7 means a set has at most 9 outs, meaning he needs closer to 4:1 to continue, and on average he doesnt have a set) if one player calls inducing a call from the other player, thats fine because the second player probably has a hand like KxQh, meaning he needs like 5:1 odds to hit his hand, and im still not giving him odds to continue. |
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NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut | |
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wolfheart   Estonia. Sep 11 2006 08:57. Posts 7592 | | |
u tgink fishes think like u ? no just bet 160 and they call with ah hearts |
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Daut   United States. Sep 11 2006 08:59. Posts 8955 | | |
and another note is, if after my check behind, voltman fired 150 on a total blank river i think i would fold it. just seemed like such a i have the nut flush play. but i guess he just had Ah and was a total idiot for cold calling. |
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NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut | |
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Daut   United States. Sep 11 2006 09:00. Posts 8955 | | |
a fish at 3/6 is not the same as a fish at .25/.5
calling the flop is totally different to them than calling the turn. he would not call getting barely over 2:1 with 7 outs |
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NewbSaibot: 18 TIMES THE SPEED OF LIGHT. Because FUCK YOU, Daut | |
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Nazgul   Netherlands. Sep 11 2006 09:03. Posts 7080 | | |
Bet the smallest amount that you think will still look impressive to someone without the nut flush. Follow up by folding to any action. |
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You almost twin-caracked his AK - JonnyCosmo | |
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PoorUser   United States. Sep 11 2006 10:12. Posts 7471 | | |
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Rhaegar   Bulgaria. Sep 11 2006 11:28. Posts 2586 | | |
Nazgul's line looks good, I myself was gonna suggest checking behind like you've done. |
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One very suspicious player | |
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Fraser   Canada. Sep 11 2006 13:52. Posts 4605 | | |
Interesting hand..i'm pretty sure i'd have checked behind too without time to really sit down and think about it. Mar is in good position, his underbet/call doesnt make sense to me unless hes looking to build a pot. hes got no fold equity against draws.. so why doesnt he just check? small bet is good too, i guess it just depends how likely u think ur drawing dead.
having chked the turn and someone bets into u on a blank river i think u definitely have to consider a call. many players would expect a flush to bet that the whole way.
about repping the boat when the board pairs while holding the ah: i'd think that would only be a good play with 4+ ppl seeing the flop. i think in a 3 way pot with this kind of flop i'm still going to be the agressor if i'm holding a set until i run up against some major opposition. |
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pinbaLL   Sweden. Sep 11 2006 15:38. Posts 7243 | | |
Thinking about it I agree with u guys now =[
poop |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 11 2006 15:46. Posts 2804 | | |
i think that because you'd rationalize betting weak and folding to a (now higher probability of being induced) checkraise is specifically why this turn should be fired with authority
if voltman cc'd the flop and you bet weak here, he's going to call again
if he calls, the probability of the other guy shoving (imo a far bigger range then you are giving him credit for) starts to, if not skyrocket, become very signficant and you can't call that and you're folding with probable 80% equity |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 11 2006 15:50. Posts 2804 | | |
look at it this way. you're marz or whatever his name is. would bigballs bet 1/2 the pot 3way on the turn with a hand he's very comfortable with? if volt calls, all he has to decide is if he's ahead of volt or has enough FE v him. if so, he shoves. his actual hand becomes irrelevant and you basically present this to him on a silver platter. |
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Casper...   Canada. Sep 11 2006 15:54. Posts 2804 | | |
if you have significant reason to believe that volt will fold to a 1/2 pot bet, then your rationale holds and your line is the best available.
i see no reason to believe that to be the case. |
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Baalim   Mexico. Sep 12 2006 04:38. Posts 34262 | | |
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Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | Last edit: 12/09/2006 04:39 |
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[vital]Myth   United States. Sep 12 2006 04:41. Posts 12159 | | |
<3 rebuyboy
what a retard |
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Eh, I can go a few more orbits in life, before taxes blind me out - PoorUser | |
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n0rthf4ce   United States. Sep 13 2006 03:13. Posts 8119 | | |
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Baalim   Mexico. Sep 13 2006 04:27. Posts 34262 | | |
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Ex-PokerStars Team Pro Online | |
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