hm idk what to think. we're 2bi deep no history w villain he is 33/6 over 26 hands

its like $66 to me, a lil over a buyin

don't think i could find a fold

On July 10 2010 18:42 Night2o1 wrote: hm idk what to think. we're 2bi deep no history w villain he is 33/6 over 26 hands its like $66 to me, a lil over a buyin

pretty read dependent; no draws to shove
he may have QQ/TT99 here

but i think key here is you bet the turn without knowing what you were going to do against a raise

kind of hard to know what I'm going to do vs an unknown here, I think the bet is clearly +EV and makes it easy to get stacks in on river

its not like I could of arrived at the turn and said "Well I'm not sure what to do vs a raise if I bet here, I better put the hand on pause and ask for some advice"

if he's passive fish who doesn't raise draws fold imo

yeah

I feel like its probably a fold vs an unknown guy who looks like he's probably passive over the few hands I have on him. Wanted to know if people expect TT or somethin to spazz here more than I do

I think the bet is clearly +EV and makes it easy to get stacks in on river

So you kind of answered yourself here huh.
But however he could definitely have you crushed here a good amount of the times. specially since you guys are deep

33/6 probably calls pre with QJ,JT. I'd feel much happier calling against a TAG, but I'd fold against this guy.

I call and hope to see KK or something. There's just too much money in there.

good point oly, I really only need what like 28% equity to call here
a reasonable range might be..

ofc it also assumes he shoves 100% of his TT, QQ on the turn

Board: Js Jc 9h 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 33.254% 33.25% 00.00% 3336 0.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 66.746% 66.75% 00.00% 6696 0.00 { QQ-99, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, JTo }


then again, if he doesn't jam TT ever, but jams QQ 100% of the time on the turn my equity isn't good enough anymore

Board: Js Jc 9h 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.591% 21.59% 00.00% 1824 0.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 78.409% 78.41% 00.00% 6624 0.00 { QQ-JJ, 99, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AJo, KJo, JTo }

Taking out JT from this range I get 27% equity

I figure he rarely shows up with KK (or qq imo) preflop after overcalling vs TWO people rather than one anyways..

ehhh I'm comfortable with folding :/ I think its a pretty close spot.. ><

we've all seen stranger things XD