should you risk 15 to win 20 here. would have to work around 40% of the time with no equity, and with the Ad, you'll win back about $10 in the long run when called, so It only really needs to wrok about 20% of the time to break even.
If you get rasied you are likely going to have to fold and give up your equity in the pot.
break down of hands he can have and what they would do vs a bet:
-flush: likely raise
-straight: sometimes raise
-set: not going anywhere, likely call
-2 pair: might fold, might call, won't raise
-1 pair: should theoretically be terrified and fold, but maybe not if they have a daiamond
Its position wars so they can have massively wide ranges, and won't be giving you too much credit? on the other hand you could have an 8 here, as opposed to UTG
Probably a profitable bet. |
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