Villain is an aggro thinking lag-reg that will have a lot of floats in his flop range. Bet when checked to is fairly high.
I expect him to have a lot of turned equity (AT 8Q QT, club combos), semibluffs (pretty much just 86 and 56) and purebluffs (A5s A6s, KQ, 66? etc are all possibilities).
He wouldn't raise a naked jack so his value range is sets, (97s J7s J9) the the obvious T8s.
Clearly then, I want to play back, but how? Can we raise? And if so, to how much?
I'm thinking like 274 (obviously to call if shipped on, we have 160 behind and the pot will be like 950). If called we can give up and save a few $s or fold out some better if we think he's on QT/naked clubs; not a big deal since we're very rarely getting called.
|