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Handnr: 886201
Submitted by : nightstarts

***** Hand History for Game 1111111111 ***** Poker Stars
$10.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Saturday, January 22, 10:44:43 ET 2011
Table T 829241772 Real Money
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 1: Player1 $9.99 USD - VPIP: 6, PFR: 2, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 48
Seat 2: Hero $37.54 USD - VPIP: 27, PFR: 23, 3B: 5, AF: 3.7, Hands: 184286
Seat 3: Player3 $10.15 USD - VPIP: 22, PFR: 20, 3B: 10, AF: Infinity, Hands: 45
Seat 5: Player5 $18.46 USD - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 9, AF: 9.0, Hands: 120
Seat 6: Player6 $12.36 USD - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 3.2, Hands: 287
Player5 posts small blind [$0.05 USD].
Player6 posts big blind [$0.10 USD].

Holecards
Dealt to Hero [QdJd ]
Player1 calls [$0.10 USD]
Hero raises [$0.40 USD]
Player3 folds
Player5 folds
Player6 folds
Player1 calls [$0.30 USD]

Flop (Pot : $0.95)

   Td9d4c
Player1 checks
Hero bets [$0.60 USD]
Player1 raises [$1.20 USD]
Hero raises [$3.40 USD]
Player1 raises [$5.60 USD]
Hero raises [$33.14 USD]
Player1 calls [$2.79 USD]
Hero wins $27.55 USD

Turn (Pot : $17.73)

   Td9d4cQs

River (Pot : $17.73)

   Td9d4cQsAh
Player1 shows 4h4d
Hero shows QdJd
Player1 wins $19.13 USD from main pot

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Comments

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nightstarts   . Jan 22 2011 23:19. Posts 148

Villain has a set basically 100% of the time here. Still stack off on flop?

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Coaly   United States. Jan 22 2011 23:37. Posts 120

pokerstove says you're even money against a set if I can do pot math right also never say 100%


nightstarts   . Jan 22 2011 23:43. Posts 148

I thought that (even money) as well as I was playing the hand, but:

Board: Td 9d 4c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.121% 42.12% 00.00% 3753 0.00 { QdJd }
Hand 1: 57.879% 57.88% 00.00% 5157 0.00 { TT-99, 44 }

Given this and rake, getting it in shouldn't be profitable unless we have some FE. (Even if he has AA we are only 54%, which isn't enough to be better than break-even against the rake.)


Critterer   United Kingdom. Jan 22 2011 23:54. Posts 5337

god 6/2 kinda gross but only 48 hands.

your equity is so good here that stacking cant be a huge mistake.

since you are in position you could flat the minraise and try and spike your straight/flush and stack him though.

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..hole 

KeanuReaver   United States. Jan 23 2011 00:28. Posts 2022

stacking def can't be a huge mistake but his bet sizing tells me he's gonna give you good odds on turn (along with excellent odds on flop) to play passive and you're almost certainly guaranteed his stack on 6 of your outs, against a meganit i think calling is superior despite how awesome the draw is

and the endurance required for MMA, which has actions like punching and kicking bone and muscle with 1000-2500 PSI. - Taco 

TalentedTom    Canada. Jan 23 2011 00:47. Posts 20070

zzz this is sooo results oriented...

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

TalentedTom    Canada. Jan 23 2011 00:49. Posts 20070

i would not raise preflop vs this player type though, I owuld limp behind thats the only thing I'd do different

Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same 

nightstarts   . Jan 23 2011 01:08. Posts 148

@Tom: Do you really think he can show up with worse than an overpair here? Or is the point that his range contains things he might fold after the flop raise, so we have enough FE to make a flop 3bet profitable (and then stacking off is mandatory)?


Fayth    Canada. Jan 23 2011 02:23. Posts 10085

i'd prolly just flat the min raise, he probably can't fold a set once u hit ur flush and he obviously pays you off when u hit straight

Im not sure what to do tomorrow when I see her, should I shake her hand?? -Floofy 

auffenpuffer   Finland. Jan 23 2011 02:42. Posts 1429

how come limp behind? it looks like he has a small pocket pair which he will check fold 8 times out of 9 on flop?


sunnysky7   . Jan 23 2011 03:22. Posts 1549

i would just flat since fish always make the mistake to minraise and tell "I HAVE A SET" and never fold it on later streets

most important that u r in position , even u hit the flush or str8 that he would still fire the turn to see where he stand and committ himself

 Last edit: 23/01/2011 03:35

assassin   Poland. Jan 23 2011 05:44. Posts 33

say you were a little bit tighter, like 20/17 or even more

how big is chance that such a nit would fold bottom set here?


Critterer   United Kingdom. Jan 23 2011 07:45. Posts 5337

blehdoublepostsomehow

LudaHid: dam.ned dam.ned dam.ned. LudaHid: dam.ned northwooden as..holeLast edit: 23/01/2011 07:47

 

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