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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:06. Posts 5106 | | |
well that was probably a terrible fold... timeout and couldnt figure it. he probably has a few Q or QJ in his range... does it make it a call? |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:06. Posts 15163 | | |
wtf?
You have 50% equity against sets no? |
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93% Sure! | Last edit: 02/02/2011 18:07 |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:07. Posts 5106 | | |
I think hes only stacking off w like JJ on that turn, doubt he has QQ ever. |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:08. Posts 5106 | | |
this is a little over 250bb, his raise on turn is really weird, but I have trouble thinking he had JJ.. and also trouble seeing if he'd bluff river if he didnt, my thought is he would have probably |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:08. Posts 15163 | | |
So you put him on just JJ? |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:09. Posts 5106 | | |
ya mostly JJ, he may have 22 but certainly doubt he does, never really QQ, so QJ 22 JJ... oh fuck I just neglated some hands tho, like the str flush draw he might have hit :S |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:10. Posts 5106 | | |
50% equity against set wtfff? |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:10. Posts 15163 | | |
Ye so he doesn't have hands that beat us and if he does he should have same amount of 22 and QQ, with the turn bringing QJ and KTdd 9Tdd now has a combo draw I would just ship it in here |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:11. Posts 15163 | | |
| On February 02 2011 17:10 Oddeye wrote:
50% equity against set wtfff? |
Against a range of QQ,22 you have 50% equity... That's why I'd ship here, with 22 you might have an iffy spot here against some people |
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93% Sure! | Last edit: 02/02/2011 18:13 |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:12. Posts 5106 | | |
lol, he doesnt call QQ 250bb deep on flop, maybe 22 but that mean hes not confident, he may raise on turn w 22 tho |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:13. Posts 5106 | | |
so JJ isnt a set? I'm not even sure he stack off w 22 |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:15. Posts 15163 | | |
lol ok if he never has QQ...lets say he plays 50% 22 like this and he calls JJ 50% like this on flop...Still 50% ;o
So fold should be out of the question with the 2 combo draws and 2pairs coming on turn. |
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93% Sure! | Last edit: 02/02/2011 18:17 |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:16. Posts 5106 | | |
yes, that mean I should call, not jam, because he does not raise 22 on that turn 100%, so we have less than that, but factoring str flush draw I might have made a lil mistake |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:20. Posts 15163 | | |
Is he that nitty? You have to know that, it just seems weird to put him on JJ which should be discounted heavily anyway if he is so nitty as we will expect a fold on the flop so he will have like 2-3combos max of hands that beat us |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:20. Posts 5106 | | |
I think folding prob the worst option, I think call the best probably, because if he ever raise w Q or just any pair I'll get value and he's never stacking off.
Somewhat of a mistake here I think. |
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LemOn[5thF]   Czech Republic. Feb 02 2011 18:21. Posts 15163 | | |
Would he raise with a Q and then bet the river though IP this deep? |
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93% Sure! | Last edit: 02/02/2011 18:21 |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:22. Posts 5106 | | |
On flop I'm SOOOO ahead (stacking off 100%). I hope you understand that turn raise here is super weird. I think he probably had combo draw or JJ. Anyway still was a bad fold, so I guess next time I'll try to think faster. |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:23. Posts 5106 | | |
I don't think he would bet the river KQ or AQ, he would prob bet a blank w QJ I think. |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:24. Posts 5106 | | |
hes not nitty but we did not fight each other much so its somewhat unlikely he bluff here I think |
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Stim_Abuser   United States. Feb 02 2011 18:27. Posts 7499 | | |
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Hey Im slinging mad volume and fat stackin benjies I dont got time for spellin n shit - skinny pete | Last edit: 02/02/2011 18:28 |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2011 18:38. Posts 2539 | | |
Why can he not have JQ here ? j/w |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 18:41. Posts 5106 | | |
he can, he doesn't stack off with QJ tho. |
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Chewits   United Kingdom. Feb 02 2011 18:41. Posts 2539 | | |
Cuz like your hand looks a lot like a draw/weak here. Mbe it doesnt I dont play these limits, but just looking at this in a vacuum |
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I am a degen. Do not believe in any of my advice. | |
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Stim_Abuser   United States. Feb 02 2011 19:15. Posts 7499 | | |
dont set mine from the SB if you aren't happy getting it in these kind of spots? |
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Hey Im slinging mad volume and fat stackin benjies I dont got time for spellin n shit - skinny pete | |
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Oddeye   Canada. Feb 02 2011 20:16. Posts 5106 | | |
I'll stack off in some spots, quite a few, I mad some missread here and it was really deep. |
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cariadon   Estonia. Feb 02 2011 20:36. Posts 4019 | | |
yo lemon you check 3bet pots on 25nl stop trolling 400 euro players |
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