getting only 16:11 odds here, ray needs slightly more than 40% equity.
Hand Equity Wins Ties
AsTsAc5c 40.51% 4,177,225 247,967
KhK*h*, Ah*h**, 8765, 8*h*h* 59.49% 6,192,168 247,967
basically if mipwnya has only KK+hearts, any ace high flush, any 8765 and any 8+hearts, he is breaking even. thats excluding tons of sets, 2 pairs and has a few unlikely combos as well that bring the equity down. overall i think its a close fold this deep with just the aces+gutshot. if they were 200bb deep it would be auto stack off though |