I raise as he's my target...success :O
Flop turn seem like standard value bets.
Then wtf the nigga shoves on me

Got 27% v 99,77,44,K9s+,K7s,97s
Need 35%
but I just have to assume he will lol shove draws and spazzes a decent amount right? He doesn't need to have that many to make it a call.

+ Show Spoiler +

had KQ
spiked a 9

I have 0 capacity to fold this, dont know if its good or not tbh

are you going for 3 barrels if u miss river?

if not then u can chk back turn and valuebet river instead

That seems pretty bad. I don't expect a fish to shove on me on the turn that much and I lose a ton of value from draws. The only reason to check is being scared of a shove I can't think of another reason. And the bet is a clear cut value bet (I was uncertain but for a bet to pass as a value bet you need >50% equity IP when you will see rvr, not his calling range to have >50% worse hands than yours)

Perhaps you are right.

But I doubt calling turn is EV+ against his shoving range. Depends on what kind of fish obviously but from my experience they usually call down with anything that has some equity.

Also, since it's a close spot, you have to calculate how much rake is taken as well (35 $ pot and 1.75 is taken as rake)

which means you need to be good 37 % of the time