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Handnr: 920425
Submitted by : Joe

PokerStars Game #67653374433: Holdem No Limit ($3/$6 USD) - 2011/09/17 21:30:27 CET [2011/09/17 15:30:27 ET]
Table Luscinia VI 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: Joeik ($1066.10 in chips)
Seat 3: LEV250208 ($264.95 in chips)
Seat 4: Dimadu ($1148.35 in chips)
Seat 5: DRluck3 ($600 in chips)
Seat 6: maxxmeister ($699.75 in chips)
LEV250208: posts small blind $3
Dimadu: posts big blind $6
kingTclubs: sits out

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Joeik JhJs
DRluck3: folds
maxxmeister: raises $12 to $18
Joeik: raises $42 to $60
LEV250208: folds
Dimadu: folds
maxxmeister: calls $42

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $129.00)

   3s8s5s
maxxmeister: checks
Joeik: bets $55
maxxmeister: raises $89 to $144
Joeik: raises $862.10 to $1006.10 and is all-in
maxxmeister: calls $495.75 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($366.35) returned to Joeik

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $1,408.50)

   3s8s5s9s

River (Pot : $1,408.50)

   3s8s5s9sQd

Showdown
maxxmeister: shows JcJd (a pair of Jacks)
Joeik: shows JhJs (a flush, Jack high)
Joeik collected $1406.50 from pot

Summary
Total pot $1408.50 | Rake $2
Board  3s8s5s9sQd
Seat 2: Joeik (button) showed JhJs and won ($1406.50) with a flush, Jack high
Seat 3: LEV250208 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: Dimadu (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: DRluck3 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 6: maxxmeister showed JcJd and lost with a pair of Jacks

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Comments

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Joe   Czech Republic. Sep 17 2011 15:33. Posts 5987

Crazy stackoff by him imo.

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there is a light at the end of the tunnel... (but sometimes the tunnel is long and deep as hell) 

EvilSky    Czech Republic. Sep 17 2011 15:43. Posts 8918

its horrific yea


wobbly_au   Australia. Sep 17 2011 15:50. Posts 6540

how would u guys play his hand then? c/c then fold on bad turnS?

This looks pretty standard to me.

The Last Laugh. 

Twisted    Netherlands. Sep 17 2011 15:54. Posts 10422

?

He gets it in crazy bad against any valuerange of Joe. Check/call flop sounds standard as does check/folding bad turns yeah. Not much you can do in that spot. I would prefer folding out right to the cbet over going broke on this flop. He's just bluffing essentially with that flop raise and then bluffcatching for some reason.


EvilSky    Czech Republic. Sep 17 2011 16:01. Posts 8918

swear to me that you play this hand the same as villian wobbly


Joe   Czech Republic. Sep 17 2011 16:30. Posts 5987

Lets calculate then:

Say I have button 3bet 8.5%, which might look sthg like this: TT+,ATs+,KTs+,QTs+,AJo+,KQo.

Furthermore say I will bet -> get it in with the following range (~3.5%)
Board: 3s 8s 5s

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.812% 20.47% 01.34% 7904 517.50 { JcJd }
Hand 1: 78.188% 76.85% 01.34% 29671 517.50 { JJ+, TcTs, TdTs, ThTs, AsKs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, KsQs, KsJs, KsTs, AsKc, AsKd, AsKh, AsQc, AsQd, AsQh, AsJc, AsJd, AsJh, AsTc, AsTd, AsTh }

He will only have about 22% equity vs such a range.

I will probably check back hands that have possible equity but are not good enough to get in. Like KxQs, KsQx, AxJs, ... Not sure exactly but I assume it is like 30% of the whole range. Lets discard any possible further betting in this scenario for simplification.

Then I will most likely bluff bet -> fold hands that I think have very little equity. I think that is the remaining ~30%. (most likely I will just check/give up some of the time but lets discard that for simplification)

So,
in about 41% of times he will be allin with 22% equity.
in about 30% of times it will probably gets checked to showdown and I will win like ~45% of times or so.
in about 29% of times I will bet/fold and he will win $124.

EV of c/r allin = 0.41 * (($1400 * 0.22) - 700) + 0.30 * (($129 * 0.55) - 60) + 0.29 * $124 = -161 + 3 + 36 = -$122.
EV of check/fold = -$60
Difference = $62

Obviously ranges may differ a lot and it may be even good vs some players. Its definately much closer than I thought it was before making this calculation.

(Edit: I didnt go over my calculations over again, so I am not claiming this is 100% correct.)

there is a light at the end of the tunnel... (but sometimes the tunnel is long and deep as hell)Last edit: 17/09/2011 16:38

TilICollapse   United States. Sep 17 2011 17:59. Posts 218

So were you bluffing when you shoved? If he shouldn't be calling with JJ with a spade, then what worse hands do you expect to call?


 

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