lol wow, very sick bluff by him

this one was wierd, was thinking of herocalling most rivers, then when i got there i wasnt sure if he was gonna call w K high hearts, but then again i opened UTG and vs tuff shark i should jamm, if he woulda valuebet on riv w Qx or hearts he might look me up cuz i dont think he expects me to peal A high on turn so have to turn A9s T9s TT or something into a bluff

think i should jamm cuz i dont think he puts me on anything except 99 opening UTG that jamms here (+ that would take ch/call lines)

dunno close between call and jamm (but woulda called 3 clubs riv aswell as i still beat all of his bluffs and i dont see why he would go crazy with TT or something here and turn it into a bluff on the turn/go superthin as ive shown him to take check/call lines alot with overpairs and toppairs vs him HU)

Well if you were easily calling with A high here then you should probably shove, i mean its hard to fold to a shove on that massive pot if he has lower flush or AQ

not sure what his flatting range is when co vs utg, but i'll go for an estimation here of what i think he bets the turn with(and bets the river with, since i think he bets this river card with 100% of what he bets turn with)

QQ,99,55,AQs,KJs+,QJs,JTs,87s,AQo
river bet range: 4.1%
river bet range we beat: 2.7% (.659%)
river range that beats us: 1.4% (34.1%)

958$ to call on the river.

958x .341 = amount we lose shoving river when better hands call.
range of hands that we beat needed to call needs to be the same or more than his river calling range that beats us.

so i went into poker stove and took out 1.4% of preflop hands, after i took out the 1.4% of hands that beat us, which is QQ, 99, 55. starting from KJhh and working my way down to worse value hands.

He needs to call with AQs-KJhh for our shove to be profitable.



yeah i dunno what his preflop range is, would that be accurate longple or would you include other hands like KQo, QTs, KTs. if you include KQo, QTs and KTs then he needs to call with more on the river like all AQo as well, for it to be a profitable value shove.

we have alot of history and i look forward to future adjustments after this one