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Handnr: 966494 Submitted by : longple
***** Hand History for Game 5230816962117 ***** On Game
$2000.00 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Thursday, April 05, 11:08:33 ET 2012
Table Kowloon Real Money
Seat 3 is the button
Seat 3: beefcaaake $1790.00 USD
Seat 5: kliketiklok $4312.50 USD
Seat 8: eduduplo $2288.00 USD
Seat 9: spider44444 $2772.50 USD
kliketiklok posts small blind [$10.00 USD].
eduduplo posts big blind [$20.00 USD].
Holecards Dealt to beefcaaake [ ]
spider44444 folds
beefcaaake raises [$40.00 USD]
kliketiklok calls [$30.00 USD]
eduduplo raises [$160.00 USD]
beefcaaake raises [$310.00 USD]
kliketiklok folds
eduduplo raises [$2108.00 USD]
beefcaaake calls [$1440.00 USD]
Flop (Pot : $3,540.00)
Turn (Pot : $3,540.00)
River (Pot : $3,540.00)
beefcaaake wins $3618.00 USD from main pot
beefcaaake shows
eduduplo shows
eduduplo wins $498.00 USD
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n0rthf4ce   United States. Apr 05 2012 17:12. Posts 8119 | | |
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rogier   Netherlands. Apr 05 2012 17:13. Posts 1528 | | |
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YoMeR   United States. Apr 05 2012 17:13. Posts 12438 | | |
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2c0ntent   Egypt. Apr 05 2012 17:14. Posts 1387 | | |
you are a freak and very weird dude |
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n0rthf4ce   United States. Apr 05 2012 17:15. Posts 8119 | | |
a. knows hes wide
b. knows hes shoving his entire 3b range
c. induce with A9! |
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longple   Sweden. Apr 05 2012 17:24. Posts 4472 | | |
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you lost 10bb here man, give back the greenstar till you learn |
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how can u shove the river, he cant possibly call with worse -TalentedTom | |
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TalentedTom   Canada. Apr 05 2012 18:31. Posts 20070 | | |
why is he squeezing QTs ;-0 |
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Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same | |
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longple   Sweden. Apr 05 2012 18:34. Posts 4472 | | |
idk man, alot of ppl are doing it these spots from BB t_t
i think its pretty retarded 100bb deep (even less here) |
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lebowski   Greece. Apr 05 2012 18:42. Posts 9205 | | |
so he's expecting you to always bluff 4bet as the utg+1 and he ships
and you know that so you 4bet only to call vs a ship?
how the hell can such reads even be possible lol?
I imagine the swings @ such games have to be nightmarish? Or does this sort of thing only happen once in a while when there has been a lot of build up and then ppl semi tighten up? |
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new shit has come to light... a-and... shit! man... | |
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TalentedTom   Canada. Apr 05 2012 18:45. Posts 20070 | | |
preety sure his reasoning is more like "longple opens 80%+ on the button, QTs is ahead of his range lets 3b, wtf he 4-bets, how can he open 80% and have a hand, no fking way, im all in" |
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Our deepest fear is not that we are inadequate. Our deepest fear is that we are powerful beyond measure. It is our light not our darkness that most frightens us and as we let our own lights shine we unconsciously give other people permision to do the same | |
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longple   Sweden. Apr 05 2012 18:48. Posts 4472 | | |
hehe yea something like that ^^ |
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lebowski   Greece. Apr 05 2012 18:51. Posts 9205 | | |
ahh totally missed that longple's in the button... makes more sense now
lol TT you are probably spot on |
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new shit has come to light... a-and... shit! man... | |
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2c0ntent   Egypt. Apr 05 2012 20:13. Posts 1387 | | |
Pretty sure people squeeze broadway cards cuz they reduce combos of TT+?
the difference is prolly too small to overweight the disadvantages of doing so tho. Get flat called by dominating hands too often is one I can think of.
no blockers TT-AA + AK = 46 combos
broadway blockers no A, K: TT-AA + AK - (6blocked) = 40 combos
so people hold 13% fewer "real" 4betting hands
pretty small diff. gets significantly worse if opponent 4bet/gets it in w worse than AK.
-- So I will think about something more interesting, ace-rag,
No blockers: TT-AA, AK, AQ = 62
Ace blocker: TT-AA, AK, AQ - (11blocked) = 51
so people hold 17.8% fewer "real" 4betting hands
From the 3bettor with AxXx perspective:
If villain 4bet with a range of roughly bluffs 50%, happily all-ins with the other 50% "real half" of his range (TT+,AQ+)
17.8% of that "real" portion of his range disappears, so .822 * 50% = .41, so only 41% of that 50% is not blocked by AxXx. Therefore, given a 4bet, he will be bluffing 59%/41% and it is significantly (18%!) safer to 5bet jam over his bet.
I think that is the logic he followed, but non-ace broadways just block way fewer things. Q, K block more.
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btw I am pretty sure this is NOT the proper way to calculate the change in the bluff/not bluff probabilities given a partially-blocked 4bet range here. not sure of a proper method. but I think this is the logic I used like 2-3 years ago when thinking about 3bet/5bet broadways and Axs. Tho someone else prolly told me about it first..
I think you need to use a bayesian method(?) to base rate in order to get the correct adjustment to the likelihood of a bluff GIVEN a 4bet. someone who is better w/ this p(A|B), p(AUB), (AetcB) shit should do it. maybe I'll get more high instead |
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+- | Last edit: 05/04/2012 20:42 |
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