88 hands, concrete reads = cbets too much and doesn't fold enough. 1 hand to SD, he flats QTcc in CO vs my BB 3b, flats KQ3dd, checks A turn and 4h river IP (I had KJ)

His range on the river is probably AQss, 88 and maybee an optimistic JJ+

Thoughts?

Too narrow of a range i think you need to bet here maybe 40. if he bd'd you he would have led the riv 95 percent of the time. if he had a set, I would expect a raise on the turn.

size your bets so that river shove is < potsize, then shove river.

as played i think shove is still ok, you can go 64 or something if you think he folds to a shove too much though since it's a slight overbet

On May 07 2012 14:32 soberstone wrote: if he bd'd you he would have led the riv 95 percent of the time. if he had a set, I would expect a raise on the turn.

even though i agree river is a bet i think these two assumptions are pretty wrong

1) bet like a man
2) ship river.

^lol?
3b pot, dry board, nutted hand no need to bet huge

On May 07 2012 18:05 sweetbread wrote: ^lol? 3b pot, dry board, nutted hand no need to bet huge

bet sizing is the key to poker, with our current bet sizing we have almost $100 left in a $100 pot on the river, which is wayy too much

cool hand, was waiting for some greenstar input on the sizing

if your read is he likes to call then this is a pretty easy ship imo