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Show hand : 990432

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Handnr: 990432
Submitted by : Rinny

Merge Game #62856578-2240 | Holdem NL $0.02/$0.04 | 2012/11/01 14:03:18 -0400 | Version:2
Table Santiago VIII 62856578 , Seats 6
Seat 1: giddyup9 $4.45 in chips DEALER
Seat 2: SaturnAscends $4.11 in chips
Seat 3: RinnyZerg $4.30 in chips
Seat 4: TwistingAces $1.24 in chips
Seat 5: BIGB0B $10.63 in chips
SaturnAscends: Post SB $0.02
RinnyZerg: Post BB $0.04

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to RinnyZerg8c8s
TwistingAces: Fold
BIGB0B: Fold
giddyup9: Fold
SaturnAscends: Raise $0.12
RinnyZerg: Raise $0.30
SaturnAscends: Call $0.18

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $0.60)

   Tc6c3s
SaturnAscends: Check
RinnyZerg: Bet $0.45
SaturnAscends: Call $0.45

Turn (Pot : $1.50)

   Tc6c3s3h
SaturnAscends: Check
RinnyZerg: Bet $1.00
SaturnAscends: Call $1.00

River (Pot : $3.50)

   Tc6c3s3h7c
SaturnAscends: Check
RinnyZerg: Check

Summary
SaturnAscends: ShowsThKs
RinnyZerg: Mucks 8c8s]
SaturnAscends: wins $3.33

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Comments

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Rinny   United States. Nov 01 2012 16:18. Posts 600

Villian attempts to steal 21% of the time and folds to 3bet 74% of the time. In light of this is my 3bet pre correct.

Villian also had a 67% fold to cbet. I think my turn bet is correct because the fd doesn't get there and his range doesn't have many 10x because of the preflop action.

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edzwoo   United States. Nov 01 2012 18:02. Posts 5911

i think you're overthinking this and putting too much value on specific stats and not looking at the overall picture. there's more variables to the problem here, and your conclusion is too quick.

why is your 3bet correct based on the fact that he folds 75% of the time? it might be +EV but have you compared it to the value of flatting? the vast majority of your edge will come from playing postflop, not pre.

what sort of value can you get out of him if you flat and keep his whole range on certain boards? will he spaz out and jam with a lot of air on you on a 5xx board?

if you 3bet him, how often will he bluff or value town you on an overcard board?

i don't think your play is particularly bad, but i think you're approaching the game as if you can solve it with a few stats.


 

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