The river shove doesn't need to be bad, just look at his WTS, if it's under 16% or so, it's a really bad shove. Since he wouldn't get there unless he was really strong.
Can also look at his aggression, if it's really low, and he's all eager like this, he probably has something and we can just call.
Don't have stats or any reads, so hard to give good tips.
But like, if the guy opening, has a high fold to 3b, and there's a fish who called behind him, this could be a good place to squeeze, only thing scary about it is that he was opening utg. But in spots where CO opens, and a fish calls behind, awesome spot to squeeze. Since the regular can't do anything, since he has a guy behind, so has to play very straightforward, and the reg usually folds, and the fish calls, and we get to play in a bigger pot with a fish who has a fairly weak holding.
As played, and without stats and reads, as played, line seem to be call, call call. Seem legit when he bet into 3 people on the river. If his river agg is a bit to high, and/or if he has a little high WTS, we can maybe flip it over, like min raise. If he's even worse, we can raise a little more. And if he's insanely bad super fish, we can shove. |