He was getting frustrated by the minsteals and snap3bet smaller than usual . ..I heavily discounted TT+ because of that and was ready to play for stacks cause the board is so draw heavy. Is the sizing bad against someone who seems to be on the tilted size?

Board: 6c4d9cKh
Equity Win Tie
MP2 65.71% 65.71% 0.00% { 9s3s }
MP3 34.29% 34.29% 0.00% { 87s, 76s, 87o, KcQc, KcJc, QcJc, JcTc, Ac9c, Qc9c, Jc9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, Kc8c, Qc8c, Jc8c, Tc8c, 9c8c, Ac7c, Kc7c, Qc7c, Jc7c, Tc7c, 9c7c, Kc6c, Qc6c, Jc6c, Tc6c, 9c6c, 8c6c, Ac5c, Kc5c, Qc5c, Jc5c, Tc5c, 9c5c, 8c5c, 7c5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, Kc4c, Qc4c, Jc4c, Tc4c, 9c4c, 8c4c, 7c4c, 6c4c, Kc3c, Qc3c, Jc3c, Tc3c, 9c3c, 8c3c, 7c3c, Kc2c, Qc2c, Jc2c, 8c2c }

If I give him random shit draws that I expected here a lot of the time he isn't making a mistake OTT by c/calling with his drawing hands against my hand so should I be betting bigger if I expect to be well ahead of his calling range?

It gives him room to shove tho and makes my hand look like what it is or weaker and I don't expect NL10 regs to know that I won't give any credit for Kx in his range

Lol reading this, I watched on Giggy's HU vid and am over analyzing shit again like in the past :D

I'll just focus on bum hunting again until NL Fiddy, fuck regs they can play each other this was the first time I didn't sit out just cause I watched that vid.

i think you make a lot of assumptions for 35 hands w/some guy.

snap 3bet smaller than usual seems a lot like missclick fwiw.

Xmas went good btw, got a flu over the whole stint and had one disaster sesh totally unfocused but started to pick up again BR at $370 now, was frustrated from NL10 at one point but now cracked it pretty much again after watching some NL25 vids from BFP and Giggy playing loose at NL50.
I still can't mindlessly 15+table 3.5x every position and expect to be more than breakeven tho, where at NL5 I still sustain 5bb/100 with that style so I play it in the morning/when tired or after a big meal and print money and play NL10 only when I can focus on 6tabling only.

I started 2.5X BU 3X CO 3.5X MP 4X UTG 4X SB and it works like charm play tons of pots IP. Don't think NL25 will be much different prolly harder than when I played in fulltime last year but Ima take shits at $500 at 4 tables bumhunting asap. The NL10 regs are pretty much the same as level higher I take it I am meeting tons of people I had notes from NL25 /NL50 even 2.5 years ago lol

On December 20 2012 02:21 LemOn[5thF] wrote: i wouldnt overestimate stats after 250 hands, the sample will be hardly signifficant

Ye hoss I'd take the same logic at the start of a HU match but as I said fuck regs I stack off he turns out to be nitty and there is fuck all I can do with it as he's on my left when table fills up no need to play marginal spots I'm flipping with draws anyway on flop

I'll just fold pre flat flop prolly flat this turn fold rvr next time think more about it if I play actual HU with him and expect a longer match.

On January 01 2013 11:09 jeffv8x_-_16 wrote: Show nested quote + On December 20 2012 02:21 LemOn[5thF] wrote: i wouldnt overestimate stats after 250 hands, the sample will be hardly signifficant

I didn't consider stats at all :O
Was his 3rd 3B in 5 hands or something tho I guess that+the timing made me think his range will be wider/full of shit

lol wtf

hell of a lot of theory vs an opponent like that

seriously man, sometimes i just sit there and read through your analysis and think to myself... Wow.

anyways, best of luck to you in 2013

I read my notes spreadsheets, stalker book on TT from when I was playinng fulltime and I always was doing too much theory, I'm trying my best to focus on doing instead of thinking this time around but sometimes I can't help myself