I guess against a too tight of a exploitable player with hardly squeezers behind I should be flatting AXs and 3b AXo :/

He folded to 3bets a ton so far and PFR is nitty, but I guess I kinda have to cbet there with le kang on flop right?

kind of a good turn for dbarrel

ye? He was like super tight vs 3bets and PFR just like 20% that posish I felt like I shouldnt barrel him once he calls twice oh well.

I'll give him 4 combos of QQ lets say he calls 4/6 3 combos of TT as he'd fold flop half the time roughly 3 combos of random PP that flatted =10
AK JJ is 12 combos he'd fold 45% of the time with that distribution. KQ shouldn't be in his range

a 1.49 bet needs to work 38% of the time.

Guess it all depends how often I think he'll flat/fold underpairs on flop the more he calls the better turn bet gets

with him seeing a nit I expected him to fold them most of the time tbh, they call QQ a lot cause it's QQ and they flatted

Play less weak tight

You over think certain things way too much arent focusing on what is actually important/approaching hands the wrong way.

you cannot assume he folds 1010 half the time qq 4/6 and 45% ak jj or w/e how do you even come up with those numbers? Doubtful he is making a certain play x% of the time he probably just either calls 1010 on this flop or he doesn't

you estimate the range based on the info you have at hand when the hand was played, super simple stuff basic poker. Some players with same stats/reads will fold tt 100pct some callpct but on average if you put them together with the incomplete information it would be 50pct or whatever you believe it to be. Seems like basic thinking to me you read maths of poker right?

I don't read books or watch videos just crush

In this hand the 3bet is a mistake IMO but having made it he has a pretty obvious range and I think it's better to give him all combos of qq ak etc unless you have reason to believe he takes another line with those hands some Percent of the time