PRE
Fuck him not folding v 3bb hand too good to 3bet too
TURN
Need 30% OTT direct equity to call
Board: 5sKs2c7c
Equity Win Tie
MP2 70.05% 69.80% 0.25% { TT+, 77, 55, 22, K8s+, 98s, 86s, 43s, KTo+, AsKs, AcKc, AsQs, AcQc, AsJs, AcJc, QsJs, QcJc, AsTs, AcTc, QsTs, QcTc, JsTs, JcTc, As9s, Ac9c, Qs9s, Qc9c, Js9s, Jc9c, Ts9s, Tc9c, As8s, Ac8c, Ts8s, Tc8c, As7s, Ac7c, Ks7s, Kc7c, 9s7s, 9c7c, 8s7s, 8c7c, As6s, Ac6c, Ks6s, Kc6c, 7s6s, 7c6c, As5s, Ac5c, Ks5s, Kc5c, 7s5s, 7c5c, 6s5s, 6c5c, As4s, Ac4c, 6s4s, 6c4c, 5s4s, 5c4c, As3s, Ac3c, As2s, Ac2c }
MP3 29.95% 29.70% 0.25% { Qs9s }
with implied odds should be fine.
I don't rly don't know him well enough to raise turn/didn't establish a nitty image either and not sure what to do river prolly have to shove cause AXcc AXss would beat me.
RIVER
A lot of regs pot control on this card I thought he will cc Kx a decent amount so sizing that could have some bluffs in it since its BvB.
NOtes
how can I use the fact that he did that? What would you note down?
I cant rly float im light when he has a tendency to CC when scared, I wouldn't bluff river if I missed cause so many draws bombed.
I guess it removes valuebets from his river betting range so I should call him a bit lighter provided he's capable of bluffing rivers? |