UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2 - Page 5

I just made my bets only Connor and Magny for this event.

Conor has been emotional in several videos this week.

He used to say he never let himself get emotional. Now that he lost a fight, he's the one showing emotions, while the guy who finished him 5 months ago is as calm as ever.

True.

Easy to be calm when you've got your degenerate crew of 20+ backing you up though.

I'm rootin' for Conor, but I do worry about his emotional involvement.

Some armchair psychology from me. It seems that Conor is losing the mental warfare with Nate pretty badly.

Usually we see him annoying his opponents and laughing his ass off, but here the roles are reversed. He looked genuinely frustrated that Diaz walked off the press conference. ( great move by Nate, imo :D ), also it is clear that his confidence has taken a big hit.

Don't know if that has any bearing on the fight, but if He comes out emotional trying to take Nate out, he is going to play right into his hands.

As for other fights on the card, I think Garbrandt - Mizugaki line atm is way off. Garbrandt is unproven and basically has no legit wins on his record and Mizugaki is a solid vet who can grind out a victory here.

On August 19 2016 14:57 northsails wrote: As for other fights on the card, I think Garbrandt - Mizugaki line atm is way off. Garbrandt is unproven and basically has no legit wins on his record and Mizugaki is a solid vet who can grind out a victory here.

Garbrandt is better in every area of MMA when compared to Mizugaki.

- better boxer
- better kicker
- power advantage
- hand + foot speed advantage
- better wrestler (offensive & defensive)
- 7 years younger and less wear & tear

Mizugaki is good at what he does, but he hasn't upgraded his skills in many years and everyone knows what they get when they fight him. He's been used as a stepping stone for Garbrandt, as Garbrandt was originally supposed to fight #4 ranked Bryan Caraway, but Caraway pulled out. This isn't a short notice fight, but there wasn't anyone else for Garbrandt to fight and he's expected to get a title shot after this win.

Everyone made weight.

I mean... Nate s probably gonna weight 5kgs more during the fight + he has the emotional game won, we didn't think Conor would be affected last time, but he was and things are just looking worse.

On August 19 2016 16:55 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On August 19 2016 14:57 northsails wrote: As for other fights on the card, I think Garbrandt - Mizugaki line atm is way off. Garbrandt is unproven and basically has no legit wins on his record and Mizugaki is a solid vet who can grind out a victory here. Garbrandt is better in every area of MMA when compared to Mizugaki. - better boxer - better kicker - power advantage - hand + foot speed advantage - better wrestler (offensive & defensive) - 7 years younger and less wear & tear Mizugaki is good at what he does, but he hasn't upgraded his skills in many years and everyone knows what they get when they fight him. He's been used as a stepping stone for Garbrandt, as Garbrandt was originally supposed to fight #4 ranked Bryan Caraway, but Caraway pulled out. This isn't a short notice fight, but there wasn't anyone else for Garbrandt to fight and he's expected to get a title shot after this win.

Agree with you on most points and if I got to pick who takes this fight, I will for sure pick Garbrand and probably by TKO/KO, but at the same time He has not been tested so far in his career. He has fought a bunch of cans and his best win is Almeida where he starched him early.

Who knows what happens if Mizugaki withstands the storm early and starts putting the pressure on Cody. He is tough and capable of doing so. Worth a small stab at this odds, imo.

On August 19 2016 18:50 northsails wrote: Show nested quote + On August 19 2016 16:55 PuertoRican wrote:   On August 19 2016 14:57 northsails wrote: As for other fights on the card, I think Garbrandt - Mizugaki line atm is way off. Garbrandt is unproven and basically has no legit wins on his record and Mizugaki is a solid vet who can grind out a victory here. Garbrandt is better in every area of MMA when compared to Mizugaki. - better boxer - better kicker - power advantage - hand + foot speed advantage - better wrestler (offensive & defensive) - 7 years younger and less wear & tear Mizugaki is good at what he does, but he hasn't upgraded his skills in many years and everyone knows what they get when they fight him. He's been used as a stepping stone for Garbrandt, as Garbrandt was originally supposed to fight #4 ranked Bryan Caraway, but Caraway pulled out. This isn't a short notice fight, but there wasn't anyone else for Garbrandt to fight and he's expected to get a title shot after this win. Agree with you on most points and if I got to pick who takes this fight, I will for sure pick Garbrand and probably by TKO/KO, but at the same time He has not been tested so far in his career. He has fought a bunch of cans and his best win is Almeida where he starched him early. Who knows what happens if Mizugaki withstands the storm early and starts putting the pressure on Cody. He is tough and capable of doing so. Worth a small stab at this odds, imo.

If you give Mizugaki any type of chance, the only bets I'd suggest would be:

o1.5 rounds @ -147
Mizugaki decision +715

Cody won't gas and it's unlikely he gets taken down, so you're basically hoping Mizugaki can win a decision, which is how he always wins fights anyways.

conor's arms looking huge

On August 19 2016 22:39 traxamillion wrote: conor's arms looking huge

He doesn't look much different to me, aside from the vertical muscles in his armpits being more defined in the most recent picture.

He weighed in at 168. Same as before when he was eating steaks all day errrday.

There's also the lighting difference. The first pic was from the official weigh-in, while the second pic doesn't have all bright lights turned on.

ITD everyone sayin mcgregor is emotional af which is clearly true, this shows in the embedded videos. Comparing these to the last embedded videos mcgregor cool af.

As much as I want Gregor to win I so we can see a trilogy I am most likely gonna end up betting diaz just from all the preview videos and subtle tells I can see from both fighters.

I don't see many ways Diaz can win.

On August 20 2016 02:22 Minsk wrote: I don't see many ways Diaz can win.

Thanks for your amazing insight on the fight.

I'm worried about nate's eyebrow. would hate to see it end via doctor stoppage

On August 20 2016 02:22 Minsk wrote: I don't see many ways Diaz can win.

lol this post

Mike Perry's records and the odds... pretty crazy.

Smashed this bet ML

On August 20 2016 02:22 Minsk wrote: I don't see many ways Diaz can win.

Ways Nate Diaz can win:
1) Standing up
2) On the ground

You may be on to something here...

On August 20 2016 06:23 jvilla777 wrote: Mike Perry's records and the odds... pretty crazy. Smashed this bet ML

1. Perry is just a boxer/brawler who throws 1 big punch at a time. He has no wrestling or BJJ skills.
2. Perry only has Round 1 to get this finished, or he'll start to gas. Not to mention he's making his UFC debut, which often means nervousness and an energy dump due to the excitement/jitters.
3. He's undersized for welterweight, and he's facing 1 of the 2 biggest guys at welterweight who is much taller, longer reach, stronger, and has better cardio.
4. Perry has been knocked out before in boxing (he's 0-1), and has been dropped a few times in a few of his pro MMA fights. In one fight, he got dropped at the end of the round and used the 1 minute break to recover.

If I were going to bet Perry, it'd only be via KO/TKO @ +465, or Perry in Round 1 @ +725.