UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy

Date: Saturday, January 18
Preliminary Card (ESPN+): 00:30 LP.net / 3:30pm PST / 4:30pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN): 2:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Main Card (ESPN): 4:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN+)

Conor McGregor (21-4) vs. Donald Cerrone (36-13) (Welterweight)
Anthony Pettis (22-9) vs. Carlos Diego Ferreira (16-2) (Lightweight)
Claudia Gadelha (17-4) vs. Alexa Grasso (11-3) (Women's Strawweight)
Holly Holm (12-5) vs. Raquel Pennington (10-7) (Women's Bantamweight)
Andre Fili (20-6) vs. Sodiq Yusuff (10-1) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN)

Roxanne Modafferi (23-16) vs. Maycee Barber (8-0) (Women's Flyweight)
Nasrat Haqparast (11-2) vs. Drew Dober (21-9) (Lightweight)
Grant Dawson (14-1) vs. Chas Skelly (18-4) (Featherweight)
Aleksei Oleinik (57-13-1) vs. Maurice Greene (8-3) (Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (UFC Fight Pass)

Tim Elliott (15-9-1) vs. Askar Askarov (10-0-1) (Flyweight)
Brian Kelleher (19-10) vs. Ode Osbourne (6-2) (Bantamweight)
Sabina Mazo (7-1) vs. JJ Aldrich (8-3) (Women's Flyweight)

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First impression of the match-ups:

• McGregor > Cerrone
• CDF > Pettis
• Gadelha > Grasso
• Holm > Pennington
• Fili vs. Yusuff (dunno)
• Barber > Modafferi
• Haqparast > Dober
• Dawson > Skelly
• Greene > Oleinik
• Askarov > Elliott
• Kelleher vs. Osbourne (dunno)
• Mazo vs. Aldrich (dunno)

Cerrone looks like a bum on that poster.

By the way, I will be flying out to Vegas for this event. If any of you plan to be there, let me know.

I met up with a couple of MMA bettors from Sherdog when I was in Vegas for UFC 245. It was fun to break down fights and sweat the fights together.

that poster is not kind to Cerrone at all

also... welterweight fight, da fuck?

I'd normally say McGregor takes this, but I honestly don;t see him having the motivation anymore. No idea why he s back, he s made millions and accomplished his goals, I wouldn't feel too confident about him, while Cerrone legitimately just loves fighting

On December 29 2019 23:22 Spitfiree wrote: No idea why he s back, he s made millions and accomplished his goals, I wouldn't feel too confident about him, while Cerrone legitimately just loves fighting

My best guess is that his new venture (Proper 12) is an extremely capital intensive business, and without his checks and free marketing via the UFC, this venture becomes unfeasible.

Going to enjoy the fight regardless.. should be a fun one

Don't think he has as huge negotiation weigh nowadays though after Khabib smacked his ass and him being away for practically 3 years (excluding the Khabib fight)

dont see a world where clawja beats grasso

On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote: dont see a world where clawja beats grasso

You should meet me in Vegas for this card. You will be able to get +100 or better on Grasso's money line on fight day.

On January 02 2020 06:44 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote: dont see a world where clawja beats grasso You should meet me in Vegas for this card. You will be able to get +100 or better on Grasso's money line on fight day.

enlighten me.

On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote: dont see a world where clawja beats grasso

On January 02 2020 21:23 Into Infinity wrote: Show nested quote + On January 02 2020 06:44 PuertoRican wrote:   On January 01 2020 11:27 Into Infinity wrote: dont see a world where clawja beats grasso You should meet me in Vegas for this card. You will be able to get +100 or better on Grasso's money line on fight day. enlighten me.

You essentially said that Grasso beats Claudia.

If you feel really strong about Grasso beating Claudia, then you should go to Las Vegas and place a big bet on Grasso over Claudia, as Grasso's money line will be at least +100 on fight day.

I will be in Las Vegas for this card, so if you want to meet up with me and a couple of other guys I know from Sherdog, you can chill with us and watch + bet on the fights while we eat and drink.

lol im an idiot for taking your first response as you saying i don't know what im talking about

I might be out there to sweat the fights, if I am I will let you guys know.

I imagine McGregor by 1st round finish is the favored result (-105 or more)

Ehh they are both counter-strikers and both like to establish their range, McGregor won't have a size advantage ... and even if he does he's not going to be much bigger, so he can't come out and be too overly aggressive right off the bat

On January 03 2020 16:43 traxamillion wrote: I might be out there to sweat the fights, if I am I will let you guys know.

Sounds good.

If you end up going, send me your phone number and real name via PM, and I'll text you so we can meet up.

Like Holm and Gadelha odds. I think Holly just matches up really well vs Pennington and would win 8 of 10 even though the actual overall skill difference isn't that much. But I've been pretty bad recently so Raquel probably wins

Barber is a -1000 favorite. Haven't seen that in MMA in awhile. Probably justified

Conor within 2 if he's in form

i actually thought the fight would be a lot closer than what people were speculating, something along the lines of 60/40 in favor of conor. then i rewatched cowboys recent fights since they were uploaded to youtube and immediately changed my mind.

i still think donald is probably the value bet but fuck i'd hate betting on him. i can see him winning if it somehow ends up on the ground early, like the olivera and perry fights

conor > cowboy
holm > pennington
grasso > gadelha
ferreira > pettis
barber > roxy
gastelum jr > dober

not sure what it is but something about macey barber makes me not like her; she'll probably cruise to a title shot then get demolished by valentina.

Conor's worst enemy is cardio. The man could fight Henry Cejudo and lose in 5 rounds. If Conor had 5 good rounds in his tank he can beat anyone and everyone in LW, could probably be WW champion even. If his cardio is much worse now because of the layoff, he'll be having a tough time getting the FW belt