- A bout between Kamaru Usman and Gilbert Burns was expected to headline the event. However, it was announced on July 3 that Burns was pulled from the contest after he and his coach, Greg Jones, tested positive for COVID-19. Jorge Masvidal replaced Burns on July 5.
- A heavyweight bout between Marcin Tybura between Alexander Romanov was scheduled for the event. However, Romanov was pulled from the event for an unknown reason and replaced by promotional newcomer Maxim Grishin on July 3.
Rekrul is a newb
Last edit: 09/07/2020 02:32
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 01 2020 22:19. Posts 13158
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First impression of the match-ups:
• Usman > Burns
• Holloway > Volkanovski
• Yan > Aldo
• Andrade > Namajunas
• Ribas > PVZ
• Prochazka > Oezdemir
• Santos > Salikhov
• Henry > Amirkhani
• Santos vs. Bogatov (dunno)
• Tybura vs. Romanov (dunno)
• Paiva vs. Zhumagulov (dunno)
• Rosa > Melo
• Day > Grant
Rekrul is a newb
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 01 2020 22:20. Posts 13158
I mean is it worth risking some on Burns at the current line?
And I'm leaning Holloway... He could make some adjustments like checking the leg kicks and could be starting the fight at south paw, anticipating Volkanovski's approach with a knee. Dunno...
Just watched Burns vs Woodley again. I think Burns is slightly better at striking compared to Covington? If the line was any better, I think under 4.5 rounds could be a good bet.
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 04 2020 04:37. Posts 13158
Oh damn, I think a short notice fight is the only way Masvidal has a chance to win this. This is gonna be good (Unless Kamaru lies on top of him for 5 rounds ofc)
Last edit: 06/07/2020 10:49
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 06 2020 11:54. Posts 13158
I was going to bet $1k on Usman -200 or better against Burns. I don't feel as confident now that Usman is fighting Masvidal.
I am currently waiting to see what the Under will be priced at. Assuming it's set at 4.5 rounds.
Curious on your Andrade pick. You think the first bout has a huge psychological effect on Namajunas? Judging from that bout, I couldn't think of any way how Namajunas could lose here.
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 08 2020 02:34. Posts 13158
On July 08 2020 01:20 captainhook wrote:
Curious on your Andrade pick. You think the first bout has a huge psychological effect on Namajunas? Judging from that bout, I couldn't think of any way how Namajunas could lose here.
Depending who you ask, 5 rounds favors Andrade more than it does Namajunas.
This fight is 3 rounds. I think Andrade is going to be able to empty the tank with strikes and get multiple take downs (pick-ups/throws/dumps) in every round to win a decision -- possibly a TKO.
Round 1 is always Namajunas' bets round. She gets worse with each round after R1. I plan to live bet this fight (all fights), as Andrade will most likely win and dominate R3.
On July 08 2020 01:20 captainhook wrote:
Curious on your Andrade pick. You think the first bout has a huge psychological effect on Namajunas? Judging from that bout, I couldn't think of any way how Namajunas could lose here.
Depending who you ask, 5 rounds favors Andrade more than it does Namajunas.
This fight is 3 rounds. I think Andrade is going to be able to empty the tank with strikes and get multiple take downs (pick-ups/throws/dumps) in every round to win a decision -- possibly a TKO.
Round 1 is always Namajunas' bets round. She gets worse with each round after R1. I plan to live bet this fight (all fights), as Andrade will most likely win and dominate R3.
You don't think Namajunas could maintain sticking and moving for the whole three rounds this time around?
I think I gotta watch the first fight again and see how Namajunas got her back at the cage..
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PuertoRican United States. Jul 08 2020 07:48. Posts 13158
On July 08 2020 01:20 captainhook wrote:
Curious on your Andrade pick. You think the first bout has a huge psychological effect on Namajunas? Judging from that bout, I couldn't think of any way how Namajunas could lose here.
Depending who you ask, 5 rounds favors Andrade more than it does Namajunas.
This fight is 3 rounds. I think Andrade is going to be able to empty the tank with strikes and get multiple take downs (pick-ups/throws/dumps) in every round to win a decision -- possibly a TKO.
Round 1 is always Namajunas' bets round. She gets worse with each round after R1. I plan to live bet this fight (all fights), as Andrade will most likely win and dominate R3.
You don't think Namajunas could maintain sticking and moving for the whole three rounds this time around?
I think I gotta watch the first fight again and see how Namajunas got her back at the cage..
Even if Namajunas wins a decision, it's highly unlikely that she wins Round 3. She starts fast and slows down, while Andrade keeps the same high pace for 3 rounds and has even shown to turn it up in Round 3, since her opponents don't have as good of a gas tank as her.
That being said, Namajunas is a -210 favorite for a reason. I just think that Andrade will win again, and any dog odds are great for me.
On July 08 2020 01:20 captainhook wrote:
Curious on your Andrade pick. You think the first bout has a huge psychological effect on Namajunas? Judging from that bout, I couldn't think of any way how Namajunas could lose here.
Depending who you ask, 5 rounds favors Andrade more than it does Namajunas.
This fight is 3 rounds. I think Andrade is going to be able to empty the tank with strikes and get multiple take downs (pick-ups/throws/dumps) in every round to win a decision -- possibly a TKO.
Round 1 is always Namajunas' bets round. She gets worse with each round after R1. I plan to live bet this fight (all fights), as Andrade will most likely win and dominate R3.
You don't think Namajunas could maintain sticking and moving for the whole three rounds this time around?
I think I gotta watch the first fight again and see how Namajunas got her back at the cage..
Even if Namajunas wins a decision, it's highly unlikely that she wins Round 3. She starts fast and slows down, while Andrade keeps the same high pace for 3 rounds and has even shown to turn it up in Round 3, since her opponents don't have as good of a gas tank as her.
That being said, Namajunas is a -210 favorite for a reason. I just think that Andrade will win again, and any dog odds are great for me.
I already bet Andrade +180 around 2 weeks ago.
Nono.. It's not that I don't think you're right. I'm just trying to learn and pick some info here and there by asking these questions.
Anway, who you got for the main event? Already dropped something something on Masvidal. Lol. But what do you think of the under 4.5 at -165?
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