UFC FN 172: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2

Date: Saturday, July 18
Main Card (ESPN/ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+): 22:00 LP.net / 2pm PST / 5pm EST
Live Streams: http://crackstreams.com/mma/2/




Main Card (ESPN/ESPN+)

Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Joseph Benavidez (Flyweight Championship)
Jack Hermansson vs. Kelvin Gastelum
Marc Diakiese vs. Rafael Fiziev
Ariane Lipski vs. Luana Carolina
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Askar Askarov

Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+)

Khadis Ibragimov vs. Roman Dolidze
Grant Dawson vs. Nad Narimani
Joseph Duffy vs. Joel Alvarez
Brett Johns vs. Montel Jackson
Malcolm Gordon vs. Amir Albazi
Davi Ramos vs. Arman Tsarukyan
Sergey Spivak vs. Carlos Felipe

What you think about Alvarez vs Duffy? It could be another good underdog pick.

And interested in your thoughts on Gordon vs Albazi and Hermansson vs Gastelum. Those could be good underdog picks too.

First impression of the match-ups:

• Figueiredo > Benavidez
• Hermansson > Gastelum
• Diakiese > Fiziev
• Lipski vs. Carolina (dunno)
• Pantoja > Askarov
• Ibragimov vs. Dolidze (dunno)
• Dawson > Narimani
• Duffy Alvarez
• Jackson > John's
• Gordon > Albazi
• Tsarukyan > Ramos
• Spivak > Felipe

On July 17 2020 08:18 captainhook wrote: What you think about Alvarez vs Duffy? It could be another good underdog pick. And interested in your thoughts on Gordon vs Albazi and Hermansson vs Gastelum. Those could be good underdog picks too.

I will live bet it.

Alvarez is BJJ and kicking. Duffy is BJJ and technical boxing.

Doesn't seem likely that Duffy will lose the first round in this fight. He has shown cardio issues, but Alvarez isn't the type to make him work hard and gas.

I think we might see one close round, but it looks like a fight to get Duffy a win, since he's coming off of 2 losses.

On July 17 2020 08:32 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On July 17 2020 08:18 captainhook wrote: What you think about Alvarez vs Duffy? It could be another good underdog pick. And interested in your thoughts on Gordon vs Albazi and Hermansson vs Gastelum. Those could be good underdog picks too. I will live bet it. Alvarez is BJJ and kicking. Duffy is BJJ and technical boxing. Doesn't seem likely that Duffy will lose the first round in this fight. He has shown cardio issues, but Alvarez isn't the type to make him work hard and gas. I think we might see one close round, but it looks like a fight to get Duffy a win, since he's coming off of 2 losses.

But how do you think would Alvarez's size advantage play out in this match?

On July 17 2020 09:09 captainhook wrote: Show nested quote + On July 17 2020 08:32 PuertoRican wrote:   On July 17 2020 08:18 captainhook wrote: What you think about Alvarez vs Duffy? It could be another good underdog pick. And interested in your thoughts on Gordon vs Albazi and Hermansson vs Gastelum. Those could be good underdog picks too. I will live bet it. Alvarez is BJJ and kicking. Duffy is BJJ and technical boxing. Doesn't seem likely that Duffy will lose the first round in this fight. He has shown cardio issues, but Alvarez isn't the type to make him work hard and gas. I think we might see one close round, but it looks like a fight to get Duffy a win, since he's coming off of 2 losses. But how do you think would Alvarez's size advantage play out in this match?

He is tall and slim. That's all.

He is a kicker with BJJ skills. He needs to land more kicks and avoid getting punched in the face. I would only live bet after R1, since you will get better than the current +300 odds.

Alvarez won't finish Duffy by submission, and it's not likely he will finish via knockout, so you're hoping for a decision win for Alvarez. Alvarez decision is +685.

Did a tape review. You're right. It's like the bookies dangling Alvarez line.

And I think Fiziev is a bad match up vs Diakiese. Dunno... Just feels like Fiziev could use his explosiveness and overwhelm Diakiese.

On July 17 2020 15:23 captainhook wrote: Did a tape review. You're right. It's like the bookies dangling Alvarez line. And I think Fiziev is a bad match up vs Diakiese. Dunno... Just feels like Fiziev could use his explosiveness and overwhelm Diakiese.

Fiziev is a good striker, but I think Diakiese will use his size and strength to wrestle Fiziev and win by decision.

Diakiese is known for his striking, but he has been going for take downs in most of his UFC fights. He is also a smarter fighter now when compared to 4 fights ago, so I expect him to fight smart and do what he needs to do in order to win.

On July 17 2020 08:29 PuertoRican wrote:

Lipski vs Carolina. Will we see another McMann incident here. Carolina seems to look good size wise in her division. Not sure with skills tho.

On July 18 2020 06:53 captainhook wrote: Lipski vs Carolina. Will we see another McMann incident here. Carolina seems to look good size wise in her division. Not sure with skills tho.

Total crapshoot. Both girls suck, which is different from the McCann vs. Santos matchup from Wednesday.

Both are near even odds, and their decision lines are only +140 and +145, which means there is no value on either side in this matchup.

Their ML or decision prop will need to change a lot before I even lay $5 on either girl.

I plan to mostly live bet this card. Hopefully there are some good spots.

My bets: Fighereido, Gastelum, Lipski, Fiziev and Askarov

- Figuereido is gonna crush benavides, I just saw again his last fight and Benavides has nothing for figuereido in the ground, and in the stand up only hard wild shots but Figuereido have a good control of the distance.

- Gastelum just because I think he is better

- Fiziev has the better striking so I am only hoping Diakese dont take him down to a decision

- Lipski because Luana Carolina sucks hard

- Askarov cause the odds, hard match imo to pick but Askarov is the underdog so I decided to bet on him

$50 on Tsarukyan decision -115 = cashes

That's what I get for blind betting a UFC newcomer.

-$20 Gordon +175.

-$87 after Montel Jackson lost.

I give it to Askarov, but both guys didn't push the pace in R3. Both afraid of losing.

R2 was the only clear round, which was for Askarov.

Ouch. That was the only fight I wasn't able to live bet. Fiziev started fast and won early that the betting line was lopsided from the start.

Wow.. Some how I knew this was gonna happen.

And I went with the consensus and bet on Diakeise. Lol.