UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2

Date: Saturday, April 24
Main Card (ESPN+): 3:00 LP.net / 7pm PST / 10pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+): 1:00 LP.net / 5pm PST / 8pm EST
Preliminary Card (ESPN2 / ESPN+): 22:45 LP.net / 2:45pm PST / 5:45pm EST
Live Streams: http://ripple.stream/mmastreams




Main Card (ESPN+)

Kamaru Usman (18-1) vs. Jorge Masvidal (35-14) (Welterweight Championship)
Zhang Weili (21-1) vs. Rose Namajunas (9-4) (Women's Strawweight Championship)
Valentina Shevchenko (20-3) vs. Jessica Andrade (21-8) (Women's Flyweight Championship)
Uriah Hall (16-9) vs. Chris Weidman (15-5) (Middleweight)
Anthony Smith (34-16) vs. Jimmy Crute (12-1) (Light Heavyweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN/ESPN+)

Alex Oliveira (22-9-1) vs. Randy Brown (12-4) (Welterweight)
Dwight Grant (10-3) vs. Stefan Sekulic (12-3) (Welterweight)
Karl Roberson (9-3) vs. Brendan Allen (15-4) (Middleweight)
Patrick Sabatini (13-3) vs. Tristan Connelly (14-6) (Featherweight)

Preliminary Card (ESPN2/ESPN+)

Danaa Batgerel (8-2) vs. Kevin Natividad (9-2) (Bantamweight)
Kazula Vargas (11-4) vs. Rong Zhu (16-3) (Lightweight)
Qileng Aori (18-6) vs. Jeffrey Molina (8-2) (Flyweight)
Na Liang (13-4) vs. Ariane Carnelossi (12-2) (Women's Strawweight)

Other

- Johnny Walker was expected to face Jimmy Crute in a light heavyweight bout. However, Walker pulled out due to an injury and was replaced by Anthony Smith on February 9.

My bets thus far:

• Zhang/Namajunas ITD +105 $50 for $52.50
• Valentina Shevchenko ITD +135 $100 for $135
• Jeff Molina -105 $157.50 for $150

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First impression of the match-ups:

• Usman > Masvidal
• Zhang > Namajunas
• Shevchenko > Andrade
• Hall > Weidman
• Crute > Smith
• Oliveira > Brown
• Grant > Sekulic
• Allen > Roberson
• Sabatini vs. Connelly (dunno)
• Batgerel vs. Natividad (dunno)
• Vargas vs. Zhu (dunno)
• Molina > Aori (dunno)
• Liang vs. Carnelossi (dunno)

What: PFL - Pettis vs. Collard
When: Friday, April 23, 2021


ESPN 2 Card (6pm PT / 9pm ET)

Anthony Pettis vs. Clay Collard
Natan Schulte vs. Marcin Held
Movlid Khaybulaev vs. Jason Soares
Lance Palmer vs. Bubba Jenkins


ESPN+ Card (2:30pm PT / 5:30pm ET)

Loik Radzhabov vs. Johnny Case
Joilton Lutterbach vs. Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Akhmed Aliev vs. Mikhail Odintsov
Jo Sungbin vs. Tyler Diamond
Brendan Loughnane vs. Sheymon Moraes
Featherweight TBA vs. Featherweight TBA

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My bets:

• Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50
• Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83
• Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60

On April 23 2021 19:08 PuertoRican wrote: My bets: • Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 • Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 • Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60

My bets:

• Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50
• Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83
• Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60
• Brendan Loughnane -155 $155 for $100
• Parlay: Held/Schulte O1.5, Khaybulae ITD $30 for $34

On April 23 2021 23:16 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On April 23 2021 19:08 PuertoRican wrote: My bets: • Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 • Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 • Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60 My bets: • Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 • Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 • Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60 • Brendan Loughnane -155 $155 for $100 • Parlay: Held/Schulte O1.5, Khaybulae ITD $30 for $34

Brendan Loughnane with an impressive striking performance and KO in Round 1. Feels good to start the card by going 1-0 and cashing my biggest bet of the card. +$100.

On April 24 2021 00:34 PuertoRican wrote: Show nested quote + On April 23 2021 23:16 PuertoRican wrote:   On April 23 2021 19:08 PuertoRican wrote: My bets: • Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 • Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 • Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60 My bets: • Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 • Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 • Bubba Jenkins decision +672 $5 for $33.60 • Brendan Loughnane -155 $155 for $100 • Parlay: Held/Schulte O1.5, Khaybulae ITD $30 for $34 Brendan Loughnane with an impressive striking performance and KO in Round 1. Feels good to start the card by going 1-0 and cashing my biggest bet of the card. +$100.

Cassius Clay Collard did what I expected him to do, and then some.

• Clay Collard +425 $10 for $42.50 = cash
• Clay Collard +415 $20 for $83 = cash
• Clay Collard +360 $50 for $180 = cash
• Clay Collard -129 $129 for $100 = cash

I bet usman at -285 when the line opened and he's like -450 everywhere so got good value. Don't really see how masvidal can win when Usman's head is a big iron helmet that takes 0 damage.

On April 24 2021 03:31 K40Cheddar wrote: I bet usman at -285 when the line opened and he's like -450 everywhere so got good value. Don't really see how masvidal can win when Usman's head is a big iron helmet that takes 0 damage.

Usman took damage in his Burns fight, but Burns somehow gassed out before the 4 minute mark of Round 1. After the fight he said he used all of his energy going for the finish, but I saw the fight when it happened and on YouTube and he didn't go hard for the finish like a lot of people do when they have someone rocked/hurt. Burns is known for having a weak gas tank, but it was the worst ever against Usman -- could've been pressure/nerves that helped him gas faster, or maybe not.

Kamaru Usman (169.5) vs. Jorge Masvidal (170)
Zhang Weili (114.5) vs. Rose Namajunas (114.5)
Valentina Shevchenko (124.5) vs. Jessica Andrade (124.5)
Uriah Hall (185) vs. Chris Weidman (186)
Anthony Smith (206) vs. Jim Crute (205.5)
Alex Oliveira (171) vs. Randy Brown (171)
Dwight Grant (170) vs. Stefan Sekulic (171)
Karl Roberson (185) vs. Brendan Allen (186)
Pat Sabatini (146) vs. Tristan Connelly (146)
Danaa Batgerel (136) vs. Kevin Natividad (135.5)
Kazula Vargas (155) vs. Rong Zhu (156)
Aori Qileng (126) vs. Jeffrey Molina (126)
Liang Na (116) vs. Ariane Carnelossi (115)

I just noticed that UFC recently changed the early prelim from UFC Fight Pass to ESPN2 & ESPN+.

No stream needed until the last 5 fights on the card.

Parlay Crute/Usman, Zhang/Shevchenko. Thinking about the under 4.5 on the main event.

On April 25 2021 02:00 captainhook wrote: Parlay Crute/Usman, Zhang/Shevchenko. Thinking about the under 4.5 on the main event.

2 Team Parlay: Jimmy Crute, Weidman/Hall Over 1½ $30 for $34

I like Crute a lot, but I don't want to pay for a single bet on his money line, and I'm not sure how he will win the fight since he's live to win via TKO, submission, and decision.

I think Weidman will win, but I feel safer about it going Over 1.5 rounds.

Yea no... I’m on the Hall side.

On April 25 2021 02:20 captainhook wrote: Yea no... I’m on the Hall side.

It doesn't matter now. My 2-team parlay with Jimmy Crute is dead now.

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I am glad I decided to avoid Crute's hefty money line and only had him in a small parlay.

That being said, all of my DraftKings teams are dead now because Anthony Smith just got a Round 1 KO win via leg kick.

I like Chris Weidman to win, but his money line is at -162, and the Over 1.5 rounds is super juiced. Gonna try to live bet accordingly.

Wow. Anderson Silva moment right there.