Chemical Imbalance

Why is it that every time I 3bet AA or KK and flop a set on dry board and check, they make a flush by river? Halp?

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So I started playing the daily 80k regularly. I've made it to the FT twice in about 50 of them played, winning one of them. Today was almost #3, but I got into unlucky gay spots a few times and busted out in 17th. In general, that tourney seems to have become extremely soft with all the new people on stars. I've made it ITM 4 of 9 times I played it this month, 2ce getting into the top 100. 17th today and 98th 2 days before that. Hopefully, will get another FT. Cash is good.

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Comments (4)

It all starts with a mistype. Maybe I should incorporate 1/4 stack raise into my regular game...

Submitted by : phexac

PokerStars Game #24269506678: Holdem No Limit ($1/$2) - 2009/01/25 15:32:57 ET
Table Gondola II 6-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Aribert88 ($112 in chips)
Seat 2: ex-superhero ($222.90 in chips)
Seat 3: bukithepro ($216.25 in chips)
Seat 4: pobolero ($337.30 in chips)
Seat 5: victor-chen ($283.35 in chips)
Seat 6: Hero ($229.40 in chips)
pobolero: posts small blind $1
victor-chen: posts big blind $2

Holecards(Odds)
Dealt to Hero
Hero: raises $45 to $47
Aribert88: folds
ex-superhero: folds
bukithepro: folds
pobolero: folds
victor-chen: calls $45

Flop(Odds) (Pot : $95.00)

   
victor-chen: bets $64
Hero: calls $64

Turn(Odds) (Pot : $223.00)

   
victor-chen: bets $156
Hero: calls $118.40 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($37.60) returned to victor-chen

River (Pot : $459.80)

   

Showdown
victor-chen: shows (a straight, Seven to Jack)
Hero: mucks hand
Hero said, "wow "
victor-chen collected $456.80 from pot

Summary
Total pot $459.80 | Rake $3
Board  
Seat 1: Aribert88 folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 2: ex-superhero folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 3: bukithepro (button) folded before Flop (didnt bet)
Seat 4: pobolero (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: victor-chen (big blind) showed and won ($456.80) with a straight, Seven to Jack
Seat 6: Hero mucked

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So I am recovering from my downswing. Dropped down to NL200. There is a good amount more fish than at NL400, and a lot of the regs are much weaker. Plus it helps that, despite occasional gayness, I am not running too bad.

Today was fun. Several separate laggy players kept getting and making hands versus me. You know the guys who 3bet from blinds 20+% of the time and just HAVE to make a play post-flop, no matter what? All day they kept flopping sets and getting AA/KK/AK. I ended up around break-even, but it was amusing (amusing since I wasn't down 5 BIs; if I was down 5 BIs it would have been tragic). I ended up actually laughing out loud and got a weird look from my gf the 4th time it happened and my AQ got take out by AK from a conservative 22/25 (SB 3bet/BB 3bet) player.

Now I got a desire for some reason to install WarCraft 3 and watch some reps. Haven't had that game on my comp in almost 3 years...heh. It's like girls caving chocolate...

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Comments (2)

Just as I thought my downswing was over and I was recovering, I hit another one. Just dropped 2k in under 30 minutes, losing 800 after I hit "sit out next BB" because of stop loss. For the voyers out there, enjoy:

My first AA in about 2,400 hands (not kidding):
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/581816

And here I thought I was 3betting for value:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/581818

I knew I should have CF that river...
http://www.liquidpoker.net/h/581819

Sessions like these really make me wonder wtf is the point. No matter how bad my opponent's situation is, they either catch up or flop a random miracle. I am roughly 12k under expectation at this point over the past 4 weeks, and that does not take into account hands such as the last one, where the opponent calls down with worse and hits a miracle river, or setups. ARRRGGHH!!!

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Comments (9)

So my downswing seems to be over. It continued for a bit into NL200, and I dropped another 1.7k there as well before turning around. So after just over 9,000 hands at NL200, I am back to being rolled for NL400.

One things I noticed is how much easier NL200 is compared to NL400. When I first moved to NL400 a few months ago, it really did not seem like it was all that much more difficult than the level below. There is a lot more fish, and regulars tend to be weaker and more predictable. Overall, it was a good confidence-building experience, and after losing horribly for 12k hands straight, I definitely needed that.

I still haven't cleared the $2,000 milestone bonus or the $1,500 supernova bonus, so those should pad my BR further. Hope the downswing is indeed over so that I can have a strong finish to the month.

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Comments (4)

I don't typically make venting blogs...but er venting helps. Over the past 2.5 days I have hit so many beats and setups that I have lost count. I dropped down from NL400 to NL200 to keep my losses in check, but I still can't sit down at the table without losing 2-3 buyins in a short session. Here are some fun hands for those of you who are into that sort of thing...

The key to poker is knowing your opponents. Villain is raising flop for value because he knows he can't lose vs me:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572717

There must be separate set of drawing odds for playing against me:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572718

True goal of slowplaying is to allow your opponent to turn the nuts so that you can stack him:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572720

People on the forums would make fun of me for considering a check-fold on turn, but I KNOW he turned 2 pair. It's simple probability really, and I have no chance.
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572721

This turn is such trivial check-fold for me, but I am afraid of what the general midstakes forum population would say, so I persevere:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572724

Did you know that flopping sets has reverse implied odds?
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572728

76s OOP 3bets are generally for value when they are against me:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=572731

There is quite a bit more. I am down over 5k at NL400 and NL200...mostly because it's impossible for me to win a pot. I know I am playing correctly for most part, but when you can't win no matter what you do or how badly your opponents play, it obviously chafes away at your attitude. Luckily, I will be getting the $2,000 milestone bonus and $1,500 supernova 100k VPP bonus in the next 2-3 week, so that should help counteract this downswing. I honestly haven't run this bad in a long time. Combined with a downswing a few weeks back, where the theme was, you flop a set and get 2-outered 22 times (that's the actual number...I was curious, so I counted), and me cashing out about 5k, my bankroll is rather shrunken. I am still well-rolled for NL200, and if I can win some back by the time I clear the bonuses, I should be back at NL400 soon, but I sincerely hope this particular episode is at its end.

Cheers.

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So over the past week 10 days I have moved up to NL400 and managed to qualify for the $1050 WCOOP event, as was my goal (albeit I did it though a sat rather than direct FPP buyin). The tourney was going quite well, despite a pretty rough start where I lost pots with KK and two instances of AK, dropping me down to 1/2 starting stack. Unfortunately, I busted right out of the money with 66 vs JJ blind button battle. In retrospect, that might have been a mistake since the guy seemed quite tight, but I had so little information on him that I could not be sure as to its reliability. Oh well. For most part, I think I played well.

NL400 has been going quite well. It is quite impressive, the kind of money you can make at this level considering it's far from high stakes online.

I also played a $109 MTT on Monday, and had a deep run in that, busting in 33rd when my opponent flopped a set with his 55 vs my 99. Got about $300 for my trouble, which is all right, but somewhat frustrating considering I came within a shouting distance of making another FT.

In the coming weeks I'm going to try to play 1-2 MTTs every other day. I tend to do well in them overall, but that's not the main reason. The best thing for me I noticed is that playing in an MTT forces me to spend certain time playing, making it easier to meet my number of hands per day goals.

So all in all, these past few days have been nicely profitable despite the 2 frustrating tourney runs, just missing the money in the 1k WCOOP event and just missing the FT in the $109. I will spend about $500 and what ever FPPs I get this week trying to qualify for the WCOOP Main Event. It's not much, but let's see what happens. Playing in that event would be very nice since it's going to be soft due to all the publicity it gets, and even barely cashing in it is a respectable tourney score.

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Comments (1)

Down 5 buyins. Every single hand, the opponent got there with 2-4 outs.

Once again, this is why trapping does not work:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=525046

One time, just don't let them get there:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=525048

PLZ don't get there? (Does anyone see a fold there somewhere?)
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=525050

What if I said "plz" twice, will a station ever lose?
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=525053

I didn't lose much...but seriously...wtf
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=525056

There are also so many smaller hands where I put all money in good, either by betting or calling, but they hit their outs by river. And let's not forget AA vs AK hand... So annoying.

Of course, I also appreciate any comments you guys have on the hands here. If you think I misplayed something, I'd definitely want to know.

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Comments (4)

So the world seems set on not letting me get the necessary hands in to reach my FPP goal. Today my dog was sick, and I spent a lot of time cleaning up after him and washing stuff, so only got about 500 hands in. Those hands went well though, and I was able to net almost 3 buyins. I have been focusing on taking advantage of regulars at these stakes by exploiting their propensity to play too many tables, not pay attention, and have hard notions about how a certain ranges of hands are played. Most important of all, I just did not run into any coolers or bad beats today. It's nice when that happens

Here are some fun hands from today:

I am a station:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=519732

This guy was handing out moneys:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=519733

Then I misclicked away a buyin and considered breaking something but decided against it in the end:
http://www.liquidpoker.net/hand/hand.php?hand=519738

Pretty much all the big hands were pretty standard. I tried to get something going by picking on other regulars, but they just kept folding, so that didn't come to much.

I am still trying to get the necessary FPP for the $1050 event, but it is going to be quite difficult. At the end of the day, I can afford to pay to play since I will make that money up in a week and a half or so of 5,400 FPP Sunday million sats once those are running again, but I really would prefer to buy in without putting up any of my own money. It's still doable, but it will take a lot of work considering I only play 6 tables of 6-max at a time and do not intend to add any more.

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