24k hands so far

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Motiva United States. Feb 22 2009 20:41. Posts 104

I've been doing good about sticking to my bankroll and I've played more hands this month, than any before. 24k hands this month. I haven't gotten busto where I would have normally. I'm having trouble with NL5. Horrendous Trouble. I am 11 buy ins below expectation on my EV graph. But that would still put me at roughly -20 buy ins at NL5 over 7k hands. I'm running 17/14/2.5 fullring NL5.

I'm still beating NL2 at 10bb/100 over 18k hand sample (EV graph puts me at roughly 5bi over EV in NL2) running 20.5/14.5/2.5. 3betting 6.6% across all 24k hands. My WTSD is 27% @ NL5 and 29% @ NL2. Winning @ Showdown is 37.5% NL5 and 50.2% NL2.

I think I've largely been going in to NL5 with the wrong mindset. I think this is because NL2 is easy and people will stack off with middle pair frequently. I need to go into NL5 with the NL25 mindset I used to have when I was a bankroll degen. I've come a long way in the last 6 months and I'm getting more confident the more I experience retarded swings because I'm finally using proper bankroll management. For the last 6 months i've just been degenning it up playing everything from NL2 to NL100 and eventually losing 3/4 of my roll in a single buy in and starting over or going broke. I've stopped doing that... I've learned my lesson.

I had been 6-8 tabling NL2 and 4-6 tabling NL5 when I was taking shots. Last night I ran really hot 12 tabling for the first time and it was more enjoyable. I loaded up to 16 tables and it was a bit too much for me. I think I'll prolly start playing 10 tables of NL2 until I'm ready for my next shot of NL5 which I'll 4-6 table again.

Thanks for reading.

Total Graph in big blinds.
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Last edit: 22/02/2009 20:45

terrybunny19240 United States. Feb 22 2009 20:47. Posts 13829

gj discipline is gr8

you're 3betting too much IMO

probably playing a bit too loose too

tight up in UTG and MP

ShadowDrgn United States. Feb 22 2009 20:50. Posts 1156

Your graph looks like an earthquake hit it.

27% WTSD is a bit high, which could explain a bit of your 37.5% W$SD, but playing 17/14 you're definitely running bad too.

Motiva United States. Feb 22 2009 20:57. Posts 104

Thanks for the advice Night... and I agree especially about UTG and UTG+1....

Hmmm What would a standard WTSD be at NL5? I still don't have a good feel for NL5 cause noone ever folds in NL2 lol.

longple

Sweden. Feb 22 2009 21:01. Posts 4472

17/14 pretty loose in full ring? DL this chart and stick to it: http://rapidshare.com/files/86099578/fullring_chart.pdf

Im sure just sticking to that would make you beat NL5

Motiva United States. Feb 22 2009 21:08. Posts 104

Hmmm Interesting to see that chart. Yea my EP range is pretty much the MP and my MP is pretty much the same maybe add a few hands. and my LP has some suited connectors in it... I prolly overplay my blinds too looking at this..

So what would be standard for FR? 14/12? 12/10?

ShadowDrgn United States. Feb 22 2009 21:26. Posts 1156

I never played NL5, but my NL10 WTSD at FR was 22.4% (17ptbb/100 win rate). 25-26% is good for 6max and it makes sense that you'd want to see fewer showdowns in full ring.

You're right about no one folding at these stakes though, which makes it hard to keep a positive red line. If that was the whole story, you'd be winning significantly more showdowns; instead, it looks like you're calling down light too.

17/14 is just fine imo. It's more likely that your bigger leaks are postflop.