Stats, ballerism, random, etc
Daut, Feb 13 2007
Just a quick comment on the hand i posted last time. I talked it over with some very good players and the one who's opinion i consider highest (i wont say who cause he likes anonymity) told me he shoves here cause of stacksizes and folding with that little less on a paired board seems really hard. But if we were a bit deeper he thinks flat calling he could be a very very smart play. I agree with him (assuming we werent too too deep, in which case it would become very hard to get any value out of sets on a flush board).
Ok, so my first full month at 25/50 is over (I got back from pca on the 11th and started playing on the 13th). here are my stats for the month for PLO and NL respectively:
Things went pretty well for my first month at higher stakes, I dont think I ran particularly well or bad, so I hope this is sustainable. Ran pretty bad in omaha at the end there but I still feel I have a pretty significant edge in the games on stars.
ok, so i basically made 150k the past month. Now for the ballerism:
So I called my credit card company earlier because the limit on my card was $1900 a month and I needed it raised a bit for hotels and flying to tournaments and stuff. I'm on the phone with some lady when the following mini-convo comes up:
After that, she asked me if I wanted my credit card limits raised up to 35k, the highest I offer. My mom (also on the phone, it was a 3way call) yelled at me for telling her I made that much and I decided to just raise them up to 6k, enough for hotels/flights/creditcard roulette degeneracy at restaurants.
Oh yeah, one little tiny rant. Pokerstars wont sponsor me for the monte carlo tournament, WTF.
| Hello Ryan,
My name is xxxxxxx, I work in marketing at PokerStars. I recently
received an email from Tamar regarding a sponsorship for you to our Monte Carlo event. Unfortunately we are choosing not to sponsor any additional players to Monte Carlo at this time. This decision has been made in part because of the ever-changing state of online gaming in the U.S right now. We are scaling back much of our U.S marketing and sponsoring players located in the U.S falls under this part of the budget.
Please feel free to reply with any questions, and I'll be sure to be in
touch if our U.S marketing strategy changes in the near future.
Best regards, and congratulations on your PCA win!
Talk soon,
xxxxxxx
|
That sort of sucks considering last year's champion is on team stars. I hope the US online stuff clears up. I really wanted to be a part of team stars and bring a young face to some of the tournaments. Oh well, its just donkaments.
My new goal for the year is to have my cash game winnings for the year surpass my PCA win total. I think it's attainable, ill be playing a lot of poker this year, and I basically have to avg 130k a month or so, which is hard but doable if i put him like 40k hands a month.
Ok, thats a fairly long blog entry.
Analysis of an interesting hand i played
Daut, Feb 10 2007
This might not seem as interesting to some of you as it does to me, but I think this is a really interesting situation. I'll walk through my street by street thinking.
POKERSTARS GAME #8370647007: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($25/$50) - 2007/02/10 - 11:54:47 (ET)
Table 'Siri' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: H@££INGGOL ($5000 in chips)
Seat 3: casinocasino ($12644.70 in chips)
Seat 4: alex987 ($2252 in chips)
Seat 5: $tinger 88 ($4997 in chips)
Seat 6: eskimo ($1072 in chips)
Seat 7: Daut44 ($5123 in chips)
Seat 8: arulx ($11040 in chips)
Seat 9: hotmark777 ($5322 in chips)
hotmark777: posts small blind $25
H@££INGGOL: posts big blind $50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Daut44 [4c 5c]
casinocasino: raises $100 to $150
alex987: folds
$tinger 88: calls $150
eskimo: calls $150
I'm in the cutoff, have over 100bb effective stacks against 2 of the 3 players already in as well as position, so this seemed like a pretty good spot to see a flop with a suited connector. This is a pretty trivial call.
Daut44: calls $150
arulx: calls $150
hotmark777: calls $125
H@££INGGOL: folds
So we're seeing a 6 way flop. It feels like play money. The potsize at this point is 950.
*** FLOP *** [3h Kc Ac]
hotmark777: checks
casinocasino: bets $900
$tinger 88: folds
eskimo: raises $22 to $922 and is all-in
Hotmark checked, casino bets out nearly potsize into 5 other players, stinger folds and the shortstack pushes for $22 more. This means, if I were to call, casino wouldnt have the option of raising because this is not a legal raise, so he can only call.
Now, there's no way im going to raise and bluff the dry sidepot, and since casino cant reraise all I have to worry about is the 2 players left to act behind me. One of these players is hotmark, who already checked. The other player is not likely to have a huge hand so I dont really have to worry about them. Also, if they do, im only investing 900 here, I can decide to do something later based on their action. So I flat called.
Daut44: calls $922
arulx: folds
hotmark777: folds
casinocasino: calls $22
Luckily the two other players fold. so now, the shortstack is all in and I am hu with casino with a gutshot+flushdraw. the potsize is now roughly 3700.
*** TURN *** [3h Kc Ac]
casinocasino: bets $1550
Ok, so i turn the nuts and casino bets out kind of weak (about 40% pot). Now here is where the hand really gets interesting. I have 2500 remaining. Most people would consider this a trivial decision, I have the nuts, WITH a redraw, wtf kind of decision do you have here?
Ok, look at the action up to this point. Casino raised utg in an 8 handed game. He then led a 6 way flop with a potsize bet, and then led the turn. Since a player is all in and we have a dry sidepot hes not going to be bluffing at it. So we can rule out QJcc, JTcc and QTcc. Since the A and K on board are both clubs, there are no other strong hand+draws out there.
He also isnt ever bluffing here (dry sidepot). Additionally, theres almost no way he plays weaker aces or middle pair like this ever. That leaves the following hands making up the majority of his range: AA KK AK 33. Outside possibility of A3 and AQ. So lets say 90% of the time he has a set or top two pair here, very very strong hands.
Now, I know if I push he will call, but that isnt the issue. The issue is, is it better to flat call and then possibly save money by folding on a board pairing river?
Consider it this way: If he misses boat and the river isnt a club, he is definitely getting the rest of his money in. If he misses a boat and the river is a club, he STILL may put the rest of his money in, i mean after all the pot would be about 6800, he has 2500 left, and i have position. That makes it really like I get paid off even on a club river. Finally, if the board pairs and he shoves, I still can fold, saving myself money when he hits his boat.
I heavily heavily considered flat calling. But instead, I decided to shove for the following reasons:
1) he always calls
2) he might fold on a club river
3) he might shove a board pairing river with top 2pair and i could fold the winning hand
Obviously if the board pairs A or K ill fold to the shove, he now has a boat no matter what (basically). But if the board pairs 2 or 3 and he shoves, i think I would have to fold, ESPECIALLY if its a club. The reason behind this is he would probably check AK if the river were 2c or 3c, cause now hes not really beating anything (which does mean i lose some value by not shoving the turn if i do indeed check behind here or if he folds to my shove when i bet).
So it seems that reason 3 wont come up very often (1 time in 11 when he has AK), and AK is probably only 20-30% of his hand range.
Reason 1/Reason 2 are related. If the river is any non club he will go all in. Thus, i COULD be losing value 1 in 5 times. This is sort of an issue, but remember that im also saving money 1 in 4.5 tries when the board pairs (and im only folding the best hand maybe 1 in 40).
as for results:
Daut44: raises $2501 to $4051 and is all-in
casinocasino: calls $2501
*** RIVER *** [3h Kc Ac 2s]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
casinocasino: shows [Ad As] (three of a kind, Aces)
Daut44: shows [4c 5c] (a straight, Ace to Five)
Daut44 collected $8102 from side pot
eskimo: mucks hand
Daut44 collected $3713 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $11818 Main pot $3713. Side pot $8102. | Rake $3
Board [3h Kc Ac 2s 7h]
Seat 1: H@££INGGOL (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: casinocasino showed [Ad As] and lost with three of a kind, Aces
Seat 4: alex987 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: $tinger 88 folded on the Flop
Seat 6: eskimo mucked [Qc 8c]
Seat 7: Daut44 showed [4c 5c] and won ($11815) with a straight, Ace to Five
Seat 8: arulx (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 9: hotmark777 (small blind) folded on the Flop
I got pretty lucky there considering the shortstack had a higher flush draw =).
I think this is really really close, but it seems like calling is actually a better play. I'd like to hear the input of others on this. Maybe I'll post it on liquidpoker and 2p2 and ask opinions of friends.
hope you guys enjoyed a poker post for once, next time more randomness!
It's too bad I dont have a girlfriend
Daut, Feb 09 2007
Cause for Valentine's day, she would get the royal treatment......
Check this out:
http://www.whitecastle.com/valentinesday/
That's right. You can bring your lady to an amazing dinner at White Castle for Valentine's day. Cheap, romantic, what could be better? I mean they even have hostess seating and candles at your table. Make sure you make reservations soon though cause im sure they will fill up fast.
Nothing is more disturbing than mid meal your girlfriend getting the runs. At least you get to share the whole place with Harold and Kumar, and if youre lucky, NPH might show up.
Poker is going great lately. So far this year, I'm up 118k at the 25/50nl game on stars, and up another 36k in plo. Things are going insanely well. Maybe next time I will have a treat for you and do a street by street analysis of a hand. That's only if youre lucky though.
A tale of two players
Daut, Feb 06 2007
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.
So here are my stats since the beginning of the year.
25/50 nl:
10/20 and 25/50 plo:
3/6, 5/10, 10/20 nl:
WTF is wrong with me when i play lower stakes NL. It's basically a combination of me going crazy in certain spots where I want to fight for every pot and running bad. Whatever. Die msnl. I think im just not going to play it anymore because I have PLO as a backup when the 25/50 NL tables are somewhat dead. Still, it saddens me to have all those red spots in my PT. oh well, i guess they are there to stay.
I've been pretty lazy in terms of paint, but I got a good one from my buddy brian, hes a math phd student up at UM.
So there is this site, www.3xterrorists.com. Check it out. Basically, 3 former terrorists go around campaigning for freedom. Well anyway, last week these 3 guys were giving a talk up at brian's school. he decided to draw a little picture of what went on during the talk.
As you can see these guys are not to be trusted. If they are coming to your school run for your lives.
So I'm totally addicted to the wire. Have watched the first 2 seasons in a week, am going to buy the 3rd season tomorrow. The best part about the show is that every recurring character is awesome, and they are all so well developed.
OH SHIT. LOST comes back tomorrow. totally forgot about that. oh baby im pretty pumped. shit was going down last episode, hopefully it doesnt end in a lame retard way, especially after a 16 week break.
ok, enough rambling for now. i promise more artwork next time.
GG 25/50 and some pictures
Daut, Jan 22 2007
So I have finished my first week at 25/50 with some pretty good results.
I made a few adjustments to adapt better to the game and things are going really well there. I dont know if i can sustain a winrate that good, but I'm very certain im one of the biggest winners in the 7-9 handed games.
I also drew a few pictures and would like to share them with you. So my ex's sister was having problems with her eye, she has a corneal ulcer. I was having some eye problems too, i was seeing those little transparent eyeworms and they were really bugging the shit out of me. here's a picture of one:
pretty scary. i also drew a picture of king kong getting shot at on top of the empire state building. basically the most awesome picture of all time.
im getting fairly good with paint and it's a lot of fun to draw stupid things when i get bored. ill post more pictures later
Sidebets, movies, and bad beats (from life)
Daut, Jan 21 2007
So last night me and a few guys went out to this bar. It sucked so we left soon after. As we're walking home, we get pretty hungry because you know its like 2 am and we're drunk and you just need to go stuff your face with something, might as well be a delicious sandwich.
So on the way home we go into jimmy john's, this sandwich place. My 2 buddies each order a sandwich. Im looking over the menu and my eyes come across the gargantuan. here is the description of it:
| This sandwich was invented by Jimmy John's brother Huey. It's huge enough to feed the hungriest of all humans! Tons of genoa salami, sliced smoked ham, capicola, roast beef, turkey & provolone, jammed into one of our homemade french buns then smothered with onions, mayo, lettuce, tomato, & our homemade italian dressing. |
what a fucking massive sandwich, the workers told me there was over a pound of meat on it, so the sandwich was probably at least 1.5 pounds including the lettuce, tomato, bread and condiments. so we sit down to eat and im mowing down my sandwich like none other. I sort of took a deep breath about 2/3 the way through and my buddy Georger looks at me and goes I bet you I could eat 3 of those in one sitting. Obviously im like SIDEBET!!!
Since Georger had already eaten a sandwich, we had to make the bet 2 more sandwiches. I gave him 3:1 odds on a 20 dollar bet and he got to take a shit before he started. However, he had to finish both sandwiches in 25 minutes and he couldnt puke for an hour. He's a big guy, like 6'0 320, but I still thought it was a good bet because all the Jimmy John's workers were screaming YOU HAVE NO CHANCE MAN and it took me a while to finish that sandwich.
so we start the bet at 2:37, i set an alarm on my phone for 3:00 meaning the 2 minute warning for him. He fucking sat there with a fork demolishing the sandwiches. Things werent looking good for me when he finished the first sandwich at 2:46. I thought he would slow up as I saw him give a few deep breaths and stretches but the man just kept going and finished at 2:58. i scowled and said "I'm tired and going to bed", so i threw 60 dollars down on the table and start walking to my room. Then to add insult to injury my fucking phone alarm starts going off reminding me of how badly I was destroyed. I went to bed angry at myself for making a food bet against a fat man.
So I wake up this morning and georger is obviously feeling like shit, but he wanted to go to best buy to spend my money on a bunch of movies, so I tagged along and ended up buying the whole fucking store. I spent 310 dollars on fucking movies. Here's what i got:
the wire season 1, prison break season 1, the godfather 1, layer cake, gladiator, fight club, magnolia, city of god, robocop/terminator double feature (awesome purchase baby), true lies, braveheart, saving private ryan. ong bak (that tony ja thai warrior movie), american history x, donnie darko and scarface. I'm pretty happy with my purchase.
But now I have the worst bad beat of all time. Nothing in the world pisses me off more than removing those fucking secure labels from the new dvd box. why would the fucking dvd distributors find the need to not only throw the celophane wrapping on the dvd but also put the annoying secure label which takes like 20 minutes to remove on there. Nobody is going to fucking change the movie thats inside, thats what the wrapping is for. At least make those things easier to remove, I dont want to have to spend like 2 hours opening my fucking movies up. it irritates me to no end.
oh actually there is one thing i hate more than that. THE NEW STARS BUY CHIPS BOX OMFG. It's fucking the most annoying thing of all time. Look at this piece of shit:
fucking, when you reload or buy in, you have to click INSIDE THE LITTLE CIRCLE. you cant even click the line. whats worse is you cant press up and then press enter, it doesnt work. so rigged and annoying, i hope PS comes out with a patch and 1984s this thing and I can pretend like it never happened.
ok time to shower and get ready for some football baby. id like to see a pats/saints super bowl but i suspect it will be colts/bears. oh well whatever, the jets are playing golf right now so who really gives a shit what happens as long as i get to see good games and maybe rex grossman suffering a broken collar bone.
Some quick playing updates
Daut, Jan 16 2007
After getting back from PCA i went back to 5/10 then said fuck it and threw down the gauntlet and started playing 10/20 and 25/50. I feel like I adjusted to the game really fast (having a bottomless bankroll helps with that) and I do feel very comfortable and like I'm one of the better players on full ring.
Some stats so far:
I think I can do fairly well in the 25/50 game because most of the really good players are a little weaker at 9max than shorthanded. Hopefully I get some good sh sessions with GP in soon. Got a funny story to tell but I'll leave that for tomorrow.
I still hate donkaments
Daut, Jan 11 2007
So i won pca wooo. i cant wait to see it on tv.
pretty sweet stuff. live events are awesome, the structure is really deep and its great to meet everyone youve been playing and talking with for a long time.
i got to talk to lee jones for like an hour after i won. SHIP IT.
ok that is all. no porno in this entry
System Restore and bad beat from life
Daut, Dec 18 2006
So the other day was going just awesome. During the day this girl I was kind of seeing at the beginning of the year came over and ended my bad run, woohooooo. About time I caught some cards.
Anyway, there is this girl Laura who I kind of wanted all semester, but I never really got to hang out with her, and from what was relayed to me through others she wanted me too. My roommate Joe is good friends with one of her roommates, but we never got the chance to all hang out together. Joe told me that tonight was going to be her last night before xmas break, and she wanted to go out, YESSSSSS, WHEN IT RAINS IT POURS BABY TONIGHTS THE NIGHT.
Anyway, we go out to some bars and her roommates are acting all sad the whole time, saying that its so sad that this was her last night on campus. I was thinking to myself "you guys need to chill out, youll be back in like 3 weeks". I was kind of bummed out because bad beat city arrived and her brother showed up to the bar. I was like oh god wtf. First off the kid was like 6'3 220, a lot bigger than me, second off, he seemed kind of protective, and third off I didnt really feel like disrespecting him.
So I told her roommate, Anna, that I wanted to hit on her so bad but I didnt want to disrespect her brother. so she goes "ill tell laura that". THANK YOU ROOMMATE WINGMAN!!! So she went over to relay the information to laura and man was i pumped.
Ok, so her brother goes to some other bar or something, but we were going to meet up with him later, so i saw a chance (which seemed like the only opportunity id get any time to talk with her without her brother there). I walk over and say "so i really wanted to ask you out all semester but i never really got the chance, and now were with your brother and i dont want to hit on you and disrespect him, do i have to wait till next semester to get some time with you?"
she looked up kind of surprised and i thought i was in until i hear "why didnt you ask me out all semester, this is my last night here im not coming back" OMG SUCH A TERRIBLE BEAT. i got owned so hard, apparently shes going to ENGLAND next semester then who knows after that. at least i have the satisfaction of knowing i WOULD HAVE BEEN IN if i wasnt such a retard timing wise lol.
so the night ends up unsuccessful, i decide to not try to viciously hook up with her that night while her brother is there, so i go home and notice the grim reaper of blue screens of death on my monitors. i try restarting, but something is wrong with windows and it wont start. so i go to bed and decide to fix it the next day.
i wake up and mess around for a little while, but no matter what i just cant get windows to start. so i say fuck it, do a system restore back to october, and manage to get windows back up and running. oh yeah, i rule. so my computer is up, im happy, decide to open minesweeper and play a little and then i realize IT DELETED ALL MY SCORES. Then my mind quickly runs things over and realize not only did it delete my minesweeper high scores, but it also deleted all my PT stats since october AND MY PORNO.
oh well, at least that day started off well, i guess i am still running bad.
gotta go study for my 2 finals tomorrow. math 501 and math 535, gonna be a fucking blast. lets just hope and pray i dont fail my ass out of here.
The saddest part of my day
Daut, Dec 08 2006
So I'm sitting around doing homework at like 2 am chatting on ventrilo with some friends from liquidpoker when someone tells me to open up the 25/50 table on stars cause grandiose is babbling incoherently at GP about why he is angry that people think he is a losing player. Blah Blah whatever who cares.
Anyway, GP constantly mentions that he is watching a softcore porno with his roommate, I guess in an attempt to get grandiose to shut the fuck up. Regardless, he mentioned it several times. When grandiose was finally booted from the table, talk of this porno resumed, and GP said the following:
GreenPlastic: about this mssage guy
GreenPlastic: that hooks up w all these chicks he massages
GreenPlastic: pretty baller actually
GreenPlastic: roommate turned it on
GreenPlastic: the sex spa
GreenPlastic: is the name
Sadly, I have seen this porno. The chick the main character worked with (another masseuse) was very hot, exotic looking girl. I watched most of the movie, but fell asleep towards the end, I want to know if they got the money from that hot lady's husband to open their own place. I guess I will have to find out another time. Hopefully GP finishes it up and I can ask him tomorrow.
Im gonna go watch scrambled softcore porno cause I dont get hbo on my tv in here, but I can see it fuzzy, so hopefully I can spot some titties occasionally and at least hear the dialogue and the bom chickkaaa wahhh wahhhh music.
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