Those of u who have been to a poker game that has been raoded by the cops or personally know someone or a game that has.. what day did the raid fall on?
I am wondering if there is any chance of validity to the theory of them happening more on weekdays than weekends as the cops have more going on during the weekend..
On June 13 2012 19:12 DustySwedeDude wrote:
If you live in a Euro country, the possible exception being Germany which seems fine for the time being, make sure to have some stockpiled food home, enough to last for a week or two, keep enough cash home that you and your family would be fine in cash the banks top working for a few weeks. Make sure to have enough saving to survive unemployment for 6 months or preferably more. If you're a poker player, make sure that at least some of your profits are reachable even if your bank account would stop working for extended amounts of time.
If you lived in Cyprus you sure as hell would've liked cash at home.
Bank accounts stopped working for a few days on Cyprus.
Don't think there's been any food crisis yet, but I still think it'd be good to have some around. I should get some canned foods.
Youth unemployment (and in some parts real unemployment) is at record levels.
I'd say that was pretty good advice.
On June 13 2012 19:12 DustySwedeDude wrote:
Obviously this crisis might blow over, but my guess is that it'll be a lot worse before it gets better and while we've seens some riots in big European cities and bank runs in Greece, that shit is very likely to happen a lot more.
Not that much riots. I guess a little bit of it in Greece. I assume bank runs will start as soon as the banks on Cyprus opens and a lot of people are calling for the withdrawal of any savings or investments form the Euro zone or at least from the South of Europe. Not that far of.
On June 13 2012 19:12 DustySwedeDude wrote:
I live in Sweden and since the Swedish currency is not pegged to anything and Sweden is doing better then most of Europe (even though private debt is soaring due to retarded mortgages and that will, not might, will blow up in our face sooner or later) so I'm ok to have most of my money in this currency, but if you live in a Euro country, get hold of some Swiss money, gold and/or silver if you want to be on the safe side.
The SEK is doing well, the Euro is not really. Gold is doing ok but it's down the last 6 months or so. Still feel that gold is a lot safer then the Euro.
We will face another batch of news of "recovery" and crap before the election in the US and politicians in Europe will say that it's about to turn around. That will all be lies. Watch how country after country in the EU will need to be bailed out and eventually the Bundesbank won't be able to stop ECB from printing money and creating inflation. Inflation is a lot like a tax on money, and it's sneaky as hell. The FED will soon (within the year) start some kind of QE3 in disguise and print a shit ton of money and create even more inflation. Sooner or later China won't be able to drive the world economy. This fractional reserve banking system we have will most likely cause a fairly big collapse.
Still hearing stuff about "recovery". QE3, or QE to infinity, was announced and implemented. Inflation is under control they say. Shadowstats, other web sites and people who buy stuff ins stores. Doesn't seem to agree. Japan elected some guy who makes Ben Bernanke seem like a hawk.
China is still going (relatively) strong and the FRB-system has not collapsed yet.
On June 13 2012 19:12 DustySwedeDude wrote:
I'm aware that I sound like a paranoid gold bug (and I am, no argument there), but at least take the time to think about it next time you see a big European country in need of a bail out (I'm guessing Italy sometime this fall) or congress raising the debt ceiling.
I'm still a gold bug. Maybe I can take away the "paranoid" part now? Italy did not need a bail out so far, and right now it seems like France is closer. Congress has messed around a little with the debt ceiling. You can read about it here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_debt-ceiling_crisis_of_2013
I won't rant more about this since I do know that people who don't believe in it probably won't be convinced and people who do can read up on it much better elsewhere. Take care, feel free to ask stuff and remember that being prepared is the best insurance against things turning ugly.
I guess I was half right so far? Now I only need to be right about stuff that's relevant for my investments, lol.
I'm going to Gustafsson vs Mousasi and I'm going to do a bit of betting.
I've put a large bet on Laflair over Alloway. Odds was 1.85 so he has to win a little more then half the time for me to breakeven. While Laflair has something of a can crushing record he seems like he's a solid fighter with good athleticism and Alloway just seems to lose whenever he fights someone good. Also TUF contestants are almost always overvalued when it comes to odds.
I put a small bet on Peralta vs Akira, mostly because while Akira is a solid bad ass in his own right and fairly decent in most parts of fighting Peralta is just a monster who is only getting better and simply doesn't lose standing. Akira do have some KO-power but other then that I think he's fucked as far as the match up goes. Odds was 1.5 on Peralta so I need him to win more then 67% to make money.
I think the main even is kinda unplayable because Mousasi is just too much hit or miss and while Gustafsson should win the odds are simply not good enough to bet against Mousasi. Couture vs Pearson seems like it'd be a stomp from Pearson but again the odds just isn't there.
Picket vs Easton will be a hell of a fight but I'm not familiar enough with the fighters so I probably won't bet it.
Brandao should win vs Garza but Garza tends to spoil parties and Brandao's conditioning seems slightly suspect.
As far as the preliminary card goes I picked against Madidi and basically said he was drawing dead last fight but he ended up "losing" the fight because of bad judges so I can't really pick against him again. Johnson is fairly solid though so I'm not at all sold on it.
Havn't found odds on Troeng vs Cella yet, but considering how Troeng has fought a lot of really good fighters and Cella has yet to fight anyone with a winning record (except on TUF) and 3 of his 4 wins are against people with 0 wins I will put down a fairly big bet on Troeng if there's decent odds. I'm also fairly sure that he'll look better fighting in Sweden then Cella who probably isn't used to travel around the world for fights.
Don't know why Spång is a favorite over Amagov, I was hoping to bet Spång as an underdog. Dude has some serious striking. Thinking of betting Amagov hoping that the Russin comes with a game plan and grapplefucks Spång, which might happen. Not sold on it yet though, gonna read up a little more and watch the line.
Brimage vs McGregor will be fun to watch. No idea who wins.
Kuiper vs Lawlor seems fun too. The problem is that Lawlor is pretty good and Kuiper is kind of the Struve of the middleweights. I'm not sold on how smart he fights. Might bet him as an underdog anyway just because of his potential, but I'm not at all sure about that.
Abedi vs Yousef is one of those fights I can't decide what will happen in either. On one hand I'm not sure if Yousef can survive the first round. On the other I think he will win easy if he does. Abedi and conditioning is just a match made in hell for some reason. Might put in a bet on Yousef but I have seen to little of them for me to feel good about that.
I need some advice plz... relationship stuff =/by sodarage, March 22
So I've been with this site forever. I just made this account because I forgot the password to my other account and I'm pretty sure it is linked to my deactivated school account.
Anyway I want to get this whole thing off my chest and out my mind by posting about it. Please give me advice from your own personal experiences if you can... thanks.
So... my first love and my other firsts(yeahyeahyeah). The relationship lasted a bit over two years (our third and fourth year of college plus the next 6 months long distance). We did the whole planning out our future thing with each other which would have us spending five years long distance (sucks but we thought we were meant to be... as all couples do) before getting back together. I thought the long distance was going fine, she was busy with her job and I was busy with my own applications and stuff, but then she started becoming non responsive. I called her out on it and she asked if we could take a break. I said break = breakup so she asked if she could take that back. I said yes but the day after that I initiated the breakup because you don't just ask someone for a break for no reason. She had to have been wanting to see other people or was already cheating, right? So we broke up. Even though we broke up mutually, it feels like she broke up with me.
Anyway, She said she still loved me and if we ended up single in the same area when we're 30 we can give it another chance. I agreed because she's the one... right? So she wanted to keep talking as if we were friends in the meantime because that's how we got along together. We were friends. Honestly I wanted to keep talking to her too, but it hurt talking to her so I blocked her on FB and told her I wouldn't talk to her until I was ready.
I got through two months without talking to her until she texted me one day asking talk. I thought I was fine so I called. We spent the next three days talking just like when we were together, but we acknowledged we were single and hoped each other found someone else since we were each other's last resort... kinda. She told me she already slept with a coworker but it was a rebound. It shocked me since we literally just broke up, but we're both single now so whatever. However, it seemed like she was moving on while I'm stuck still thinking about her so I cut contact with her again.
So this is my current situation. Have any of you kept contact with an ex? How long should I not contact her for? Couple week/months/forever? I'd like some advice please.
Ryan Gosling article hinting at happinessby mnj, March 21
Thought Gosling is more insightful than it I thought and might have a point. But at the same time it comes off as very risky to say these kind of things especially publicly.
I'm currently selling MTGO "event tickets" for pokerstars $1 each. Can be handy because MTGO charges taxes to customers from certain countries to deposit money on there, or if you're just a poker baller who likes MTG and wants to do some drafts or whatever
plz send me a PM here or on MTGo (my ID is TheSquanderer) and help a busto out
I normally do not have to worry about it - I leave it turned off and typically use a regular USB mouse in a sort of desktop fashion with my laptop.
Whenever I am on the go, or take laptop to work, etc, and I do not have my mouse, I have to use my mouse pad / track pad.
It is so horrible, I swear I feel homicidal mania swelling inside of me. What motivated the killers in America of all the recent horror? I am pretty sure they were just trying to type a f***ing paragraph and had to type it like 100 times because the track pad would highlight and erase everything, or jump around, etc.
I had not made a blog in awhile and thought this would be good for some flames or for sympathetic souls who also utterly despise the track pad.
My friend has a Mac book pro and it doesn't behave this way at all. Maybe it is just the HP laptop track pads. Turning it off and typing is an easy solution, except its a constant on and off switch like every other second that it makes everything "not worth it."
Just wanted to make random blog bitching about something random cause why not
This post is to discuss something I've been mindful of lately. I think it would be good if more people are mindful as well. In today's and tomorrow's world, everything you do on the internet is permanent and public record. It's prolly a good idea to adjust your way of living to take into account this fact. Whatever you share with the internet today is going to be accessible forever, once it's up it can't come back down. There are a myriad of ways, some obvious and others you wouldn't have seen coming, that what you think is a good idea to share now will come back to bite you in the ass at some point in the future.
If you have just one lapse of judgement you can't count on definitely being able to erase any trace. I think the best way to proceed in this world is to assume anything about you that gets digitally recorded is public and permanent. My personal policy will be to try to keep as little information about myself publically findable as possible, and try to be very careful about the data I do volunteer to the interwebs, have a kind of "PR game face" on so to speak. It's much better to be too paranoid and go overkill than not do enough, and on that vein I'm gonna post on lp anonymously from now, with an account that cannot be tied to my real identity. Better would be to not post anything at all to forums/facebook/twitter/whatever else, but there are clear upsides to taking part in these activities as well.
Thought this is worth a share since if you look on youtube, blogs, facebooks today, there seem to be a heck of a lot of people who seem to very much NOT be mindful of the possible future rammifications of what they're doing on the internet today.
Before I get into this post I just wanted to make sure you guys knew to add me on facebook. I'm trying to create a bit of an atmosphere there and build towards launching my website that is about to come together at some point or another. You guys are mostly poker players, you should know, we can be a lazy bunch when it comes to this kind of thing. It's still in the works though, just takes some time. Anyways my point was, add me on facebook ....facebook.com/peter.jennings.944
Anyways, on to the post:
It's not something I've done a ton of talking about in this blog in general because I would like to be the type of person who doesn't focus much on the negative and who perpetuates positive beliefs and positive thoughts.
I'm in the middle of the biggest downswing of my life right now though. I can't be exact because I really don't even know what my actual net worth is. Money is spread out too far among too many different places and people for me to figure that out. I would guess this downswing has fallen roughly near the 60k mark though over the last 5 weeks.
My life has been a lot better since the start of 2013. Finding that perfect balance is almost an impossibility, but I had clearly tipped too far in the direction of only playing poker and grinding to earn as much money as possible. Over the course of this year I've done everything pretty much the opposite. I have been going out or having friends by 5-6 nights a week. Usually up til 5AM, sometimes even 10AM. It's been a good change of pace, and fun.
I'm not necessarily looking to completely re-direct all of my goals back towards poker. That wouldn't be the right thing for me to do right now. What I'm gonna do is just keep living my life making the best decisions I can for each moment I have. I think this is the only sane way to live.
I assume most of you guys reading this blog regularly are pros so you should be able to relate with what I'm going through. Obviously I can't claim to be on the level of these world beating players who win and lose half a mil a day, but I really can't remember too many people lately blogging about being on a 60k downswing over the course of 5 weeks.
I do remember Sauce wrote a pretty insightful blog post a while back about his biggest downer and how he began to question whether he was even ever a winning player. If someone at that level of the game can feel that way, you gotta realize that it happens to all of us. The amount of money isn't really what we are getting at here though, it's all a matter of degree. How big of a portion of your bankroll was the loss? How far down in stakes do you have to drop in order to get back to the position you were previously at? How long do you need to stay there until you will feel comfortable stepping back up?
Personally, I talk to quite a few of the guys I play with on a regular basis. I would say we have a mutual respect for one another. That type of thing definitely helps a ton. Nothing is easier than to think you are a terrible player and that you can't possibly win no matter what you do when EVERYTHING is going wrong. Having some other people around who have been in thoat same spot and can relate to what you are going through while having the intellect to be able to connect with you that you actually are a smart winning player is something that just helps a ton.
Regardless, this is the type of thing that will make or break you as a pro. How well do you handle your downswings? Can you stick with it and keep a level head despite losing day after day buy in after buy in? Those who can continue to make the right decisions and realize the results are merely an afterthought are the ones who survive in this world. I know because I've been doing it for almost 7 years now.
This is as much a reminder to myself as it is to any of you guys out there who I'm sure struggle with the same thing. How strong is your will? Can you continue to believe in yourself when nothing goes your way, when you just got sucked out on for the 6th time straight this session, when the same thing has happened the last 15 sessions you've played? When you just mistakenly bluffed off a stack in a stupid way because you were frustrated about a number of bad beats? When you can do that and not lose your mind, you'll know you've made it.
Anyways, on a side note. I made like 6 cardrunners on the go HH review videos. Each about 5-7 minutes in length. Hope you guys enjoy those.
It's been quite a while since I felt I really needed to drop down below 5/10 but I guess this might be the time to do it.
So i guess ive either fallen out of touch with some poker players along the way, or else they have moved on from poker (guys like nolan and rockman). I'm sure i used to have more poker people on msn too but i dunno what happened, because i sure dont have many now. Probably due to me not really playing much poker in 2011,2012 after failing miserably to learn PLO (hah). So anyway been playing alot more poker lately (NL obviously), was putting in most of my hands at 200 zoom, but lately have been down at 100 alot, and so obviously id love to have more poker guys on my skype to chat. This was by far the best thing for my game back in the days when i was doing well (in 2010 when i made SNE and playing 200-600nl mostly). I clearly now suck hard from not playing and am rusty as shit, but id love to get back into it and fix my game up again. So if anyone who plays 100nl up wants to add me on skype to talk poker, or just to berate me about being an aussie, wrestling crocs and riding kangaroos (nolan & gawdawaful) then send me a PM and ill give you my details.
Tonights thread saver comes courtesy of my girlfriend watching a rerun episode of the OC a few days ago, hah + Show Spoiler +
I have watched porn for ~ 13 years now and recently i have noticed a sigificant increase in acted "rape" porn.
I think in the first 10 years of watching porn i have never seen a "rape" porn
I havent really watched one to the end till today since i am completely and utterly turned off and find it absolutely disgusting.
But fact is recently the chance you come across one of those is pretty high.
The last 6 months alone i came across 4 of those movies without even searching for them.
Even big companies like Brazzers and Asstraffic and stuff seem to make them nowadays.
WTF is wrong with people ?
WTF are those pornstars both male and females thinking when they agree to act in such a porn film ?
Wtf is wrong with people to wank of seeing 2 males break into a house and brutally raping a girl there.
These movies suggest to wired and sick minds that it is a fun and pleassure experience to break in someones house and rape him.
Most of the movies suggest its fun for the girl , too since first she resists and punches and stuff and then after a while of getting fucked in the ass hard enough she starts to enjoy ...
Once more i am completely disgusted by humans and their willingness to do everything for money.
I bet 5 out of 10 people would agree to rape a 4year old child in the ass for 150.000$ if they are save of not getting caught.
This makes me sick.
Well there is nothing i can change about it
And thats just the way humans are.
Still i had to write this since i have a shitload of anger towards
a) pornstars who agree to play in this movies
b) Guys who wank of to rape movies.
c) Guys who actually do this stuff in real life
can we play poker online in the usa yet?by asdf2000, March 19
like on stars or FTP?
a couple states are supposed to be legal to play online right? how does that work? I want a way to make more money than I just make from my jerb (could go to the casino but it wouldn't be as efficient cuz it could only be weekends)
The one time I decide to hold a position over the weekend, this fucking bullshit happens. Now I'm down 30 pips from my entry. Was up 150 on Friday. Should've taken profit, but I am trying to hold my positions rather scalp. (eur/usd)
I know many of You invest in the stocks and bonds market. Do You know of any good websites with analysis of corporate bonds (their valuation, risk etc.)?
Also, do You know of any good websites to manage bonds or stocks portfolio?
I am writing a masters thesis about the valuation of bonds and since the polish bond market is very young there is lack of resources to learn.
Thanks in advance!
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